The standings after Malaysia:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Brawn BGP 001 202 101 = Costaz 202 101 = KWSN-DSM 202 101 = The Snowman 202 101 5) Apex 200 101 = DutchQuicksilver 200 101 = jjcale 200 101 = Wander 200 101 9) noikeee 199 101 10) AcuraF1 198 101 = scheivlak 198 101 12) mark f1 197 101 13) fisichella_2001 196 101 = HeidfeldsBeard 196 101 15) Makarias 195 101 = M2000-5 195 99 17) Bleu 192 101 = kismet 192 101 = wattoroos 192 101 20) Barty 191 101 = d_view7 191 101 = JAW97 191 101 23) Grayson 188 101 = MJB5990 188 101 = SpaceHorseParty 188 101
After the scoring mayhem of Australia, Malaysia offers a way more normal early season scenario with almost everyone scoring a full 101.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Nasr 118,5 34,5 16 Eric 92,6 14,8 15 Sain 30,8 15,4 1 Vett 23,3 19,3 0 Vers 20,7 7,9 0 Hülk 19,5 8,8 1 Mass 12,8 10,3 0 Hami 11,7 10,4 0 Rosb 10,3 8,8 0 Räik 8,3 4,7 0 Bott 5,1 4,0 0 Ricc 4,8 3,6 0 Pere 4,6 2,1 2 Kvya 1,7 1,1 0
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EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Vettel Hamilton Rosberg Räikkönen Bottas * Potential 465 * Potential 468 * Potential 458 * Potential 437 * Potential 435 * Forecast 380 JAW97 413 Barty 376 M2000-5 256 Costaz 248 scheivlak 206 mark f1 410 jjcale 375 Barty 208 d_view7 240 wattoroos 205 * Forecast 409 d_view7 355 kismet 167 M2000-5 236 M2000-5 203 M2000-5 408 M2000-5 353 noikeee 165 Apex 230 fisichella_2001 197 MJB5990 405 The Snowman 336 MJB5990 163 Barty 230 noikeee 197 Makarias 401 noikeee 330 DutchQuicksilver161 AcuraF1 218 The Snowman 196 Brawn BGP 001 400 MJB5990 329 KWSN-DSM 160 fisichella_2001 210 Makarias 191 noikeee 382 Costaz 320 Wander 156 Grayson 210 mark f1 190 Costaz 375 Grayson 320 d_view7 155 The Snowman 208 Grayson 180 kismet 375 mark f1 320 wattoroos 150 JAW97 207 KWSN-DSM 180 d_view7 370 KWSN-DSM 317 Bleu 140 Brawn BGP 001 201 DutchQuicksilver173 Grayson 370 * Forecast 314 jjcale 140 Bleu 200 HeidfeldsBeard 168 SpaceHorseParty 365 SpaceHorseParty 313 mark f1 140 SpaceHorseParty 199 Wander 168 DutchQuicksilver362 HeidfeldsBeard 312 scheivlak 140 noikeee 192 MJB5990 167 fisichella_2001 362 kismet 312 The Snowman 138 scheivlak 190 kismet 166 Apex 360 DutchQuicksilver311 AcuraF1 130 DutchQuicksilver188 d_view7 165 KWSN-DSM 359 Apex 310 Grayson 130 mark f1 185 AcuraF1 164 jjcale 350 Wander 310 SpaceHorseParty 130 Wander 185 Brawn BGP 001 163 Wander 350 wattoroos 307 JAW97 126 wattoroos 185 SpaceHorseParty 159 HeidfeldsBeard 346 JAW97 305 HeidfeldsBeard 124 HeidfeldsBeard 172 Bleu 158 Bleu 345 Makarias 303 * Forecast 114 Makarias 170 JAW97 157 AcuraF1 344 AcuraF1 302 fisichella_2001 113 MJB5990 164 jjcale 151 Barty 341 Brawn BGP 001 302 Costaz 112 KWSN-DSM 160 Costaz 145 scheivlak 335 fisichella_2001 301 Brawn BGP 001 97 kismet 154 Barty 125 wattoroos 330 scheivlak 290 Makarias 97 jjcale 114 Apex 120 The Snowman 312 Bleu 280 Apex 95 * Forecast 95 * Current 40 * Current 43 * Current 33 * Current 12 * Current 10
Now based on a 19 race season, Hamilton's forecast took an instant dip from finishing P2 to a level where the top guesses are... Vettel looks set for a 100% surprise right now!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Massa Verstappen Sainz Kvyat Ricciardo * Potential 445 * Potential 431 * Potential 431 * Potential 427 * Potential 434 M2000-5 193 scheivlak 75 * Forecast 57 jjcale 185 jjcale 250 * Forecast 190 jjcale 73 The Snowman 38 MJB5990 154 Makarias 229 AcuraF1 184 * Forecast 57 Brawn BGP 001 33 HeidfeldsBeard 138 AcuraF1 224 SpaceHorseParty 181 Brawn BGP 001 55 Makarias 28 Makarias 135 Barty 218 The Snowman 175 Makarias 48 jjcale 27 DutchQuicksilver132 DutchQuicksilver216 Makarias 173 Bleu 35 SpaceHorseParty 27 wattoroos 131 HeidfeldsBeard 215 JAW97 169 Grayson 35 Barty 25 kismet 130 Costaz 204 Brawn BGP 001 168 The Snowman 32 fisichella_2001 25 Costaz 126 scheivlak 200 wattoroos 165 wattoroos 31 Grayson 25 fisichella_2001 124 Bleu 195 Apex 160 fisichella_2001 30 scheivlak 25 noikeee 121 JAW97 192 Barty 160 mark f1 30 kismet 24 Apex 115 Wander 191 Grayson 160 kismet 27 Apex 23 Wander 113 noikeee 190 KWSN-DSM 160 Apex 25 Costaz 22 AcuraF1 112 kismet 189 MJB5990 159 JAW97 25 KWSN-DSM 20 JAW97 112 Apex 180 fisichella_2001 158 SpaceHorseParty 24 wattoroos 20 SpaceHorseParty 112 KWSN-DSM 180 Bleu 157 DutchQuicksilver 20 JAW97 19 Grayson 110 mark f1 180 noikeee 155 HeidfeldsBeard 20 Wander 16 mark f1 110 wattoroos 176 HeidfeldsBeard 150 KWSN-DSM 20 mark f1 15 Barty 105 fisichella_2001 175 mark f1 150 MJB5990 20 DutchQuicksilver 14 d_view7 104 d_view7 170 Wander 150 noikeee 20 Bleu 13 Bleu 100 Grayson 170 Costaz 149 d_view7 19 MJB5990 12 KWSN-DSM 96 MJB5990 166 DutchQuicksilver138 Wander 19 AcuraF1 10 scheivlak 95 SpaceHorseParty 162 scheivlak 131 AcuraF1 18 d_view7 8 The Snowman 88 Brawn BGP 001 135 d_view7 125 Barty 10 noikeee 8 Brawn BGP 001 86 The Snowman 130 jjcale 125 M2000-5 8 HeidfeldsBeard 6 M2000-5 26 M2000-5 126 kismet 97 Costaz 7 * Current 6 * Forecast 19 * Forecast 86 * Current 20 * Current 6 M2000-5 4 * Current 2 * Current 9
STR ahead of RBR?!? Sainz beat M2000-5's guess, more to come soon from the "junior" bulls...
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP.
