The standings after China:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Brawn BGP 001 303 101 = The Snowman 303 101 3) Costaz 300 98 = jjcale 300 100 5) KWSN-DSM 299 97 = noikeee 299 100 7) Wander 297 97 8) Apex 296 96 = DutchQuicksilver 296 96 = scheivlak 296 98 11) AcuraF1 294 96 = mark f1 294 97 13) fisichella_2001 292 96 = HeidfeldsBeard 292 96 15) d_view7 291 100 = Makarias 291 96 = M2000-5 291 96 18) Bleu 288 96 = kismet 288 96 = wattoroos 288 96 21) JAW97 287 96 22) Grayson 284 96 = MJB5990 284 96 = SpaceHorseParty 284 96 25) Barty 282 91
The Saubers got back into the points again and fun stuff happened to the scores. Perfect scores down to two after three rounds!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Nasr 165,9 48,3 20 Eric 115,7 18,5 18 Vett 32,0 26,6 0 Sain 30,8 15,4 1 Vers 20,7 7,9 0 Hülk 19,5 8,8 1 Mass 19,3 15,5 0 Hami 18,5 16,4 0 Räik 16,7 9,3 0 Rosb 16,0 13,5 0 Gros 10,5 6,5 1 Bott 9,2 7,2 0 Ricc 5,9 4,4 0 Pere 4,6 2,1 2 Kvya 1,7 1,1 0
Marcus Ericsson joined his teammate to become the second driver to make it past his expectation mark this season. Fantastik! Wönderfül!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Rosberg Vettel Räikkönen Massa * Potential 468 * Potential 451 * Potential 455 * Potential 424 * Potential 430 * Forecast 431 Barty 376 * Forecast 348 M2000-5 256 M2000-5 193 JAW97 413 jjcale 375 scheivlak 206 Barty 208 * Forecast 190 mark f1 410 d_view7 355 wattoroos 205 kismet 167 AcuraF1 184 M2000-5 408 M2000-5 353 M2000-5 203 noikeee 165 SpaceHorseParty 181 MJB5990 405 The Snowman 336 fisichella_2001 197 MJB5990 163 The Snowman 175 Makarias 401 noikeee 330 noikeee 197 DutchQuicksilver161 Makarias 173 Brawn BGP 001 400 MJB5990 329 The Snowman 196 KWSN-DSM 160 JAW97 169 noikeee 382 * Forecast 323 Makarias 191 Wander 156 Brawn BGP 001 168 Costaz 375 Costaz 320 mark f1 190 d_view7 155 wattoroos 165 kismet 375 Grayson 320 Grayson 180 * Forecast 152 Apex 160 d_view7 370 mark f1 320 KWSN-DSM 180 wattoroos 150 Barty 160 Grayson 370 KWSN-DSM 317 DutchQuicksilver173 Bleu 140 Grayson 160 SpaceHorseParty 365 SpaceHorseParty 313 HeidfeldsBeard 168 jjcale 140 KWSN-DSM 160 DutchQuicksilver362 HeidfeldsBeard 312 Wander 168 mark f1 140 MJB5990 159 fisichella_2001 362 kismet 312 MJB5990 167 scheivlak 140 fisichella_2001 158 Apex 360 DutchQuicksilver311 kismet 166 The Snowman 138 Bleu 157 KWSN-DSM 359 Apex 310 d_view7 165 AcuraF1 130 noikeee 155 jjcale 350 Wander 310 AcuraF1 164 Grayson 130 HeidfeldsBeard 150 Wander 350 wattoroos 307 Brawn BGP 001 163 SpaceHorseParty 130 mark f1 150 HeidfeldsBeard 346 JAW97 305 SpaceHorseParty 159 JAW97 126 Wander 150 Bleu 345 Makarias 303 Bleu 158 HeidfeldsBeard 124 Costaz 149 AcuraF1 344 AcuraF1 302 JAW97 157 fisichella_2001 113 DutchQuicksilver138 Barty 341 Brawn BGP 001 302 jjcale 151 Costaz 112 scheivlak 131 scheivlak 335 fisichella_2001 301 Costaz 145 Brawn BGP 001 97 d_view7 125 wattoroos 330 scheivlak 290 Barty 125 Makarias 97 jjcale 125 The Snowman 312 Bleu 280 Apex 120 Apex 95 kismet 97 * Current 68 * Current 51 * Current 55 * Current 24 * Current 30
Hamilton's forecast goes back into 100% surprise territory, Kimi's is recovering from the Australia DNF.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Bottas Grosjean Nasr Ricciardo Ericsson * Potential 418 * Potential 406 * Potential 414 * Potential 411 * Potential 405 Costaz 248 SpaceHorseParty 92 * Forecast 89 jjcale 250 * Forecast 32 d_view7 240 KWSN-DSM 90 The Snowman 28 Makarias 229 Barty 26 M2000-5 236 scheivlak 80 d_view7 25 AcuraF1 224 Costaz 19 Apex 230 The Snowman 79 noikeee 20 Barty 218 KWSN-DSM 10 Barty 230 M2000-5 77 Brawn BGP 001 18 DutchQuicksilver216 Brawn BGP 001 8 AcuraF1 218 Wander 70 jjcale 17 HeidfeldsBeard 215 The Snowman 8 fisichella_2001 210 AcuraF1 68 * Current 14 Costaz 204 mark f1 5 Grayson 210 HeidfeldsBeard 68 scheivlak 12 scheivlak 200 Wander 5 The Snowman 208 Apex 65 Costaz 11 Bleu 195 * Current 5 JAW97 207 Makarias 64 Apex 10 JAW97 192 DutchQuicksilver 4 Brawn BGP 001 201 JAW97 63 KWSN-DSM 10 Wander 191 fisichella_2001 4 Bleu 200 Bleu 62 AcuraF1 8 noikeee 190 Makarias 4 SpaceHorseParty 199 mark f1 60 DutchQuicksilver 8 kismet 189 kismet 3 noikeee 192 DutchQuicksilver 59 M2000-5 8 Apex 180 AcuraF1 2 scheivlak 190 d_view7 56 Wander 8 KWSN-DSM 180 Apex 2 DutchQuicksilver188 MJB5990 51 HeidfeldsBeard 6 mark f1 180 Bleu 2 mark f1 185 wattoroos 51 mark f1 5 wattoroos 176 HeidfeldsBeard 2 Wander 185 Grayson 50 fisichella_2001 4 fisichella_2001 175 jjcale 2 wattoroos 185 fisichella_2001 49 wattoroos 4 d_view7 170 M2000-5 1 HeidfeldsBeard 172 Costaz 45 JAW97 3 Grayson 170 noikeee 1 Makarias 170 kismet 45 Makarias 3 MJB5990 166 d_view7 0 MJB5990 164 * Forecast 38 Bleu 2 SpaceHorseParty 162 Grayson 0 KWSN-DSM 160 Brawn BGP 001 37 kismet 1 Brawn BGP 001 135 JAW97 0 kismet 154 noikeee 29 Barty 0 The Snowman 130 MJB5990 0 jjcale 114 jjcale 23 Grayson 0 M2000-5 126 scheivlak 0 * Forecast 114 * Current 6 MJB5990 0 * Forecast 70 SpaceHorseParty 0 * Current 18 Barty 0 SpaceHorseParty 0 * Current 11 wattoroos 0
Grosjean opens his points tally and Barty isn't cheering. 100% surprises look very possible for the Saubers, while the RBR:s look very troubled indeed.
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP.
