The standings after Spain:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Brawn BGP 001 505 101 = The Snowman 505 101 3) Costaz 502 101 = jjcale 502 101 5) KWSN-DSM 501 101 = noikeee 501 101 7) Wander 499 101 8) Apex 498 101 = DutchQuicksilver 498 101 = scheivlak 498 101 11) AcuraF1 496 101 = mark f1 496 101 13) fisichella_2001 494 101 14) Makarias 493 101 15) HeidfeldsBeard 492 99 16) M2000-5 491 99 17) Bleu 490 101 = kismet 490 101 = wattoroos 490 101 20) d_view7 489 101 = JAW97 489 101 22) Grayson 486 101 = MJB5990 486 101 = SpaceHorseParty 486 101 25) Barty 470 97Just a few missed points here, due to Grosjean and Sainz.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Nasr 165,9 48,3 20 Eric 115,7 18,5 18 Vett 46,6 38,6 0 Sain 41,1 20,5 2 Räik 36,2 20,2 0 Hami 30,3 26,8 0 Rosb 28,5 24,1 0 Gros 27,9 17,2 1 Mass 25,0 20,1 0 Pere 22,8 10,6 2 Bott 21,4 16,9 0 Vers 20,7 7,9 0 Hülk 19,5 8,8 1 Ricc 13,4 10,0 0 Kvya 4,4 2,7 0No news here.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Rosberg Hamilton Vettel Bottas Räikkönen * Potential 441 * Potential 461 * Potential 430 * Potential 392 * Potential 402 Barty 376 * Forecast 422 * Forecast 304 Costaz 248 M2000-5 256 jjcale 375 JAW97 413 scheivlak 206 d_view7 240 Barty 208 d_view7 355 mark f1 410 wattoroos 205 M2000-5 236 * Forecast 198 M2000-5 353 M2000-5 408 M2000-5 203 Apex 230 kismet 167 * Forecast 346 MJB5990 405 fisichella_2001 197 Barty 230 noikeee 165 The Snowman 336 Makarias 401 noikeee 197 AcuraF1 218 MJB5990 163 noikeee 330 Brawn BGP 001 400 The Snowman 196 fisichella_2001 210 DutchQuicksilver161 MJB5990 329 noikeee 382 Makarias 191 Grayson 210 KWSN-DSM 160 Costaz 320 Costaz 375 mark f1 190 The Snowman 208 Wander 156 Grayson 320 kismet 375 Grayson 180 JAW97 207 d_view7 155 mark f1 320 d_view7 370 KWSN-DSM 180 Brawn BGP 001 201 wattoroos 150 KWSN-DSM 317 Grayson 370 DutchQuicksilver173 Bleu 200 Bleu 140 SpaceHorseParty 313 SpaceHorseParty 365 HeidfeldsBeard 168 SpaceHorseParty 199 jjcale 140 HeidfeldsBeard 312 DutchQuicksilver362 Wander 168 noikeee 192 mark f1 140 kismet 312 fisichella_2001 362 MJB5990 167 scheivlak 190 scheivlak 140 DutchQuicksilver311 Apex 360 kismet 166 DutchQuicksilver188 The Snowman 138 Apex 310 KWSN-DSM 359 d_view7 165 mark f1 185 AcuraF1 130 Wander 310 jjcale 350 AcuraF1 164 Wander 185 Grayson 130 wattoroos 307 Wander 350 Brawn BGP 001 163 wattoroos 185 SpaceHorseParty 130 JAW97 305 HeidfeldsBeard 346 SpaceHorseParty 159 HeidfeldsBeard 172 JAW97 126 Makarias 303 Bleu 345 Bleu 158 Makarias 170 HeidfeldsBeard 124 AcuraF1 302 AcuraF1 344 JAW97 157 MJB5990 164 fisichella_2001 113 Brawn BGP 001 302 Barty 341 jjcale 151 KWSN-DSM 160 Costaz 112 fisichella_2001 301 scheivlak 335 Costaz 145 * Forecast 160 Brawn BGP 001 97 scheivlak 290 wattoroos 330 Barty 125 kismet 154 Makarias 97 Bleu 280 The Snowman 312 Apex 120 jjcale 114 Apex 95 * Current 91 * Current 111 * Current 80 * Current 42 * Current 52Nico's forecast took a leap of joy.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Massa Ricciardo Grosjean Sainz Kvyat * Potential 389 * Potential 375 * Potential 366 * Potential 358 * Potential 355 M2000-5 193 jjcale 250 SpaceHorseParty 92 The Snowman 38 jjcale 185 AcuraF1 184 Makarias 229 KWSN-DSM 90 Brawn BGP 001 33 MJB5990 154 SpaceHorseParty 181 AcuraF1 224 scheivlak 80 * Forecast 30 HeidfeldsBeard 138 The Snowman 175 Barty 218 The Snowman 79 Makarias 28 Makarias 135 Makarias 173 DutchQuicksilver216 M2000-5 77 jjcale 27 DutchQuicksilver132 JAW97 169 HeidfeldsBeard 215 Wander 70 SpaceHorseParty 27 wattoroos 131 Brawn BGP 001 168 Costaz 204 AcuraF1 68 Barty 25 kismet 130 wattoroos 165 scheivlak 200 HeidfeldsBeard 68 fisichella_2001 25 Costaz 126 Apex 160 Bleu 195 Apex 65 Grayson 25 fisichella_2001 124 Barty 160 JAW97 192 Makarias 64 scheivlak 25 noikeee 121 Grayson 160 Wander 191 JAW97 63 kismet 24 Apex 115 KWSN-DSM 160 noikeee 190 Bleu 62 Apex 23 Wander 113 MJB5990 159 kismet 189 * Forecast 61 Costaz 22 AcuraF1 112 fisichella_2001 158 Apex 180 mark f1 60 KWSN-DSM 20 JAW97 112 Bleu 157 KWSN-DSM 180 DutchQuicksilver 59 wattoroos 20 SpaceHorseParty 112 noikeee 155 mark f1 180 d_view7 56 JAW97 19 Grayson 110 HeidfeldsBeard 150 wattoroos 176 MJB5990 51 Wander 16 mark f1 110 mark f1 150 fisichella_2001 175 wattoroos 51 mark f1 15 Barty 105 Wander 150 d_view7 170 Grayson 50 DutchQuicksilver 14 d_view7 104 Costaz 149 Grayson 170 fisichella_2001 49 Bleu 13 Bleu 100 * Forecast 148 MJB5990 166 Costaz 45 MJB5990 12 KWSN-DSM 96 DutchQuicksilver138 SpaceHorseParty 162 kismet 45 AcuraF1 10 scheivlak 95 scheivlak 131 Brawn BGP 001 135 Brawn BGP 001 37 d_view7 8 The Snowman 88 d_view7 125 The Snowman 130 noikeee 29 noikeee 8 Brawn BGP 001 86 jjcale 125 M2000-5 126 jjcale 23 * Current 8 M2000-5 26 kismet 97 * Forecast 95 * Current 16 HeidfeldsBeard 6 * Forecast 19 * Current 39 * Current 25 Barty 0 M2000-5 4 * Current 5More scalps to come for Sainz. His dad is awesome too!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- M2000-5 1671,0 57,0 mark f1 1631,4 16,1 MJB5990 1610,6 33,1 noikeee 1605,8 39,3 KWSN-DSM 1600,4 19,6 The Snowman 1588,8 45,3 Makarias 1574,2 11,9 JAW97 1564,2 20,2 Grayson 1561,4 13,1 Wander 1556,4 16,1 DutchQuicksilver 1553,6 23,9 wattoroos 1553,4 9,1 d_view7 1542,4 54,2 Brawn BGP 001 1541,8 11,1 fisichella_2001 1541,4 6,6 SpaceHorseParty 1541,2 17,4 scheivlak 1538,0 9,5 kismet 1522,6 1,6 HeidfeldsBeard 1508,4 17,9 Barty 1508,0 42,7 Costaz 1495,8 29,3 Bleu 1487,2 10,4 AcuraF1 1486,6 26,6 jjcale 1473,4 20,9 Apex 1467,2 13,9The first forecast of the season shows M2000-5 as favourite for the title, with an entry that was low on Red Bull and McLaren but high on Mercedes and Ferrari. But eight points short of 2020!
