The standings after Canada:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Brawn BGP 001 707 101 = The Snowman 707 101 3) jjcale 704 101 4) noikeee 702 101 5) KWSN-DSM 701 101 6) Costaz 699 100 = Wander 699 101 8) Apex 698 101 = DutchQuicksilver 698 101 = scheivlak 698 101 11) mark f1 696 101 12) fisichella_2001 694 101 13) Makarias 693 101 14) AcuraF1 691 101 = HeidfeldsBeard 691 101 16) Bleu 690 101 = kismet 690 101 = wattoroos 690 101 19) JAW97 689 101 20) Grayson 686 101 = MJB5990 686 101 = SpaceHorseParty 686 101 23) M2000-5 682 99 24) d_view7 680 97 25) Barty 657 94Not a super action big changes kind of round...
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Nasr 189,5 55,2 20 Eric 115,7 18,5 18 Vett 62,9 52,2 0 Pere 50,2 23,4 5 Räik 50,1 28,0 0 Sain 46,2 23,1 4 Rosb 41,9 35,5 0 Hami 41,2 36,5 0 Hülk 32,5 14,7 3 Mass 30,2 24,2 0 Gros 29,7 18,3 1 Bott 29,1 22,9 0 Vers 20,7 7,9 0 Ricc 18,8 13,9 0 Mald 16,9 7,5 1 Kvya 16,6 10,2 0 Butt 5,8 3,7 0Maldonado takes his first points of the season, and there is much rejoicement.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Rosberg Bottas Räikkönen Vettel * Potential 451 * Potential 434 * Potential 357 * Potential 372 * Potential 408 JAW97 413 Barty 376 Costaz 248 M2000-5 256 * Forecast 293 mark f1 410 jjcale 375 d_view7 240 Barty 208 scheivlak 206 * Forecast 410 * Forecast 364 M2000-5 236 * Forecast 195 wattoroos 205 M2000-5 408 d_view7 355 Apex 230 kismet 167 M2000-5 203 MJB5990 405 M2000-5 353 Barty 230 noikeee 165 fisichella_2001 197 Makarias 401 The Snowman 336 AcuraF1 218 MJB5990 163 noikeee 197 Brawn BGP 001 400 noikeee 330 fisichella_2001 210 DutchQuicksilver161 The Snowman 196 noikeee 382 MJB5990 329 Grayson 210 KWSN-DSM 160 Makarias 191 Costaz 375 Costaz 320 The Snowman 208 Wander 156 mark f1 190 kismet 375 Grayson 320 JAW97 207 d_view7 155 Grayson 180 d_view7 370 mark f1 320 Brawn BGP 001 201 wattoroos 150 KWSN-DSM 180 Grayson 370 KWSN-DSM 317 Bleu 200 Bleu 140 DutchQuicksilver173 SpaceHorseParty 365 SpaceHorseParty 313 SpaceHorseParty 199 jjcale 140 HeidfeldsBeard 168 DutchQuicksilver362 HeidfeldsBeard 312 noikeee 192 mark f1 140 Wander 168 fisichella_2001 362 kismet 312 scheivlak 190 scheivlak 140 MJB5990 167 Apex 360 DutchQuicksilver311 DutchQuicksilver188 The Snowman 138 kismet 166 KWSN-DSM 359 Apex 310 mark f1 185 AcuraF1 130 d_view7 165 jjcale 350 Wander 310 Wander 185 Grayson 130 AcuraF1 164 Wander 350 wattoroos 307 wattoroos 185 SpaceHorseParty 130 Brawn BGP 001 163 HeidfeldsBeard 346 JAW97 305 HeidfeldsBeard 172 JAW97 126 SpaceHorseParty 159 Bleu 345 Makarias 303 Makarias 170 HeidfeldsBeard 124 Bleu 158 AcuraF1 344 AcuraF1 302 MJB5990 164 fisichella_2001 113 JAW97 157 Barty 341 Brawn BGP 001 302 KWSN-DSM 160 Costaz 112 jjcale 151 scheivlak 335 fisichella_2001 301 * Forecast 155 Brawn BGP 001 97 Costaz 145 wattoroos 330 scheivlak 290 kismet 154 Makarias 97 Barty 125 The Snowman 312 Bleu 280 jjcale 114 Apex 95 Apex 120 * Current 151 * Current 134 * Current 57 * Current 72 * Current 108The Ferrari guys aren't far from beating some guesses now. Next race already for Vettel?
Guesses on P6-P10:
Massa Maldonado Hülkenberg Kvyat Grosjean * Potential 347 * Potential 306 * Potential 310 * Potential 319 * Potential 317 M2000-5 193 SpaceHorseParty 79 kismet 67 jjcale 185 SpaceHorseParty 92 AcuraF1 184 M2000-5 65 Bleu 63 MJB5990 154 KWSN-DSM 90 SpaceHorseParty 181 HeidfeldsBeard 57 jjcale 47 HeidfeldsBeard 138 scheivlak 80 The Snowman 175 The Snowman 52 scheivlak 45 Makarias 135 The Snowman 79 Makarias 173 KWSN-DSM 51 KWSN-DSM 44 DutchQuicksilver132 M2000-5 77 JAW97 169 AcuraF1 50 Apex 43 wattoroos 131 Wander 70 Brawn BGP 001 168 Apex 45 mark f1 40 kismet 130 AcuraF1 68 wattoroos 165 mark f1 45 fisichella_2001 36 Costaz 126 HeidfeldsBeard 68 Apex 160 Wander 42 Grayson 35 fisichella_2001 124 Apex 65 Barty 160 Grayson 40 Wander 35 noikeee 121 Makarias 64 Grayson 160 scheivlak 40 HeidfeldsBeard 31 Apex 115 JAW97 63 KWSN-DSM 160 DutchQuicksilver 35 Barty 30 Wander 113 Bleu 62 MJB5990 159 JAW97 34 MJB5990 28 AcuraF1 112 mark f1 60 fisichella_2001 158 d_view7 32 * Forecast 27 JAW97 112 DutchQuicksilver 59 Bleu 157 wattoroos 30 JAW97 27 SpaceHorseParty 112 d_view7 56 noikeee 155 Costaz 28 Makarias 27 Grayson 110 MJB5990 51 HeidfeldsBeard 150 Bleu 25 Brawn BGP 001 26 mark f1 110 wattoroos 51 mark f1 150 Brawn BGP 001 25 SpaceHorseParty 26 Barty 105 Grayson 50 Wander 150 kismet 25 wattoroos 26 d_view7 104 fisichella_2001 49 Costaz 149 Makarias 25 AcuraF1 20 Bleu 100 * Forecast 46 DutchQuicksilver138 jjcale 23 The Snowman 20 KWSN-DSM 96 Costaz 45 scheivlak 131 fisichella_2001 22 DutchQuicksilver 18 scheivlak 95 kismet 45 * Forecast 128 * Forecast 16 noikeee 17 The Snowman 88 Brawn BGP 001 37 d_view7 125 noikeee 13 * Current 10 Brawn BGP 001 86 noikeee 29 jjcale 125 MJB5990 6 Costaz 9 * Forecast 52 jjcale 23 kismet 97 * Current 6 M2000-5 8 M2000-5 26 * Current 17 * Current 47 Barty 0 d_view7 0 * Current 19 Barty 0Maldonado instantly beats Barty's very pessimistic guess.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- M2000-5 1670,0 34,3 mark f1 1660,3 29,0 noikeee 1633,0 16,2 KWSN-DSM 1631,4 22,9 MJB5990 1630,3 18,8 The Snowman 1595,9 11,9 Grayson 1595,0 23,2 d_view7 1593,9 12,4 Makarias 1593,9 21,4 kismet 1591,0 17,8 Wander 1588,4 22,9 wattoroos 1585,4 21,9 DutchQuicksilver 1581,4 14,9 scheivlak 1580,0 22,5 JAW97 1578,3 33,8 fisichella_2001 1578,0 24,2 Brawn BGP 001 1571,7 23,4 SpaceHorseParty 1565,7 16,2 jjcale 1557,1 -7,9 Barty 1540,0 13,0 HeidfeldsBeard 1531,6 23,1 Costaz 1524,6 19,9 Bleu 1515,4 18,1 AcuraF1 1504,4 16,9 Apex 1495,4 22,9A positive round for the forecasts, mainly due to Maldonado and Bottas.
