The standings after Britain:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Brawn BGP 001 909 101 2) jjcale 906 101 3) The Snowman 905 97 4) KWSN-DSM 903 101 5) Wander 901 101 6) scheivlak 900 101 7) mark f1 898 101 8) noikeee 897 95 9) fisichella_2001 896 101 10) Makarias 895 101 11) HeidfeldsBeard 893 101 12) Bleu 892 101 = kismet 892 101 = wattoroos 892 101 15) DutchQuicksilver 891 93 16) JAW97 889 99 17) Grayson 888 101 = SpaceHorseParty 888 101 19) AcuraF1 885 95 = Apex 885 86 21) MJB5990 882 101 22) Costaz 880 93 23) d_view7 864 93 24) M2000-5 863 92 25) Barty 839 89Brawny takes the longest perfect streak award this season as The Snowman begins to melt in July!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Nasr 189,5 55,2 20 Eric 115,7 18,5 18 Vett 78,6 65,2 2 Hülk 78,1 35,3 7 Pere 68,4 31,9 7 Rosb 55,4 46,9 0 Hami 52,9 46,9 0 Räik 52,9 29,6 0 Mass 47,5 38,1 0 Sain 46,2 23,1 4 Bott 39,3 30,9 0 Vers 34,4 13,2 2 Mald 33,7 15,0 2 Gros 29,7 18,3 1 Kvya 23,6 14,5 1 Ricc 19,3 14,3 0 Butt 5,8 3,7 0 Alon 1,1 0,8 0Alonso joins this list with unusually little fanfare.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Rosberg Vettel Massa Bottas * Potential 444 * Potential 427 * Potential 385 * Potential 324 * Potential 327 JAW97 413 Barty 376 * Forecast 285 M2000-5 193 Costaz 248 mark f1 410 jjcale 375 scheivlak 206 AcuraF1 184 d_view7 240 * Forecast 410 * Forecast 374 wattoroos 205 SpaceHorseParty 181 M2000-5 236 M2000-5 408 d_view7 355 M2000-5 203 The Snowman 175 Apex 230 MJB5990 405 M2000-5 353 fisichella_2001 197 Makarias 173 Barty 230 Makarias 401 The Snowman 336 noikeee 197 JAW97 169 AcuraF1 218 Brawn BGP 001 400 noikeee 330 The Snowman 196 Brawn BGP 001 168 fisichella_2001 210 noikeee 382 MJB5990 329 Makarias 191 wattoroos 165 Grayson 210 Costaz 375 Costaz 320 mark f1 190 Apex 160 The Snowman 208 kismet 375 Grayson 320 Grayson 180 Barty 160 JAW97 207 d_view7 370 mark f1 320 KWSN-DSM 180 Grayson 160 Brawn BGP 001 201 Grayson 370 KWSN-DSM 317 DutchQuicksilver173 KWSN-DSM 160 Bleu 200 SpaceHorseParty 365 SpaceHorseParty 313 HeidfeldsBeard 168 MJB5990 159 SpaceHorseParty 199 DutchQuicksilver362 HeidfeldsBeard 312 Wander 168 fisichella_2001 158 noikeee 192 fisichella_2001 362 kismet 312 MJB5990 167 Bleu 157 scheivlak 190 Apex 360 DutchQuicksilver311 kismet 166 * Forecast 156 DutchQuicksilver188 KWSN-DSM 359 Apex 310 d_view7 165 noikeee 155 mark f1 185 jjcale 350 Wander 310 AcuraF1 164 HeidfeldsBeard 150 Wander 185 Wander 350 wattoroos 307 Brawn BGP 001 163 mark f1 150 wattoroos 185 HeidfeldsBeard 346 JAW97 305 SpaceHorseParty 159 Wander 150 HeidfeldsBeard 172 Bleu 345 Makarias 303 Bleu 158 Costaz 149 Makarias 170 AcuraF1 344 AcuraF1 302 JAW97 157 DutchQuicksilver138 MJB5990 164 Barty 341 Brawn BGP 001 302 jjcale 151 scheivlak 131 * Forecast 163 scheivlak 335 fisichella_2001 301 Costaz 145 d_view7 125 KWSN-DSM 160 wattoroos 330 scheivlak 290 * Current 135 jjcale 125 kismet 154 The Snowman 312 Bleu 280 Barty 125 kismet 97 jjcale 114 * Current 194 * Current 177 Apex 120 * Current 74 * Current 77Vettel is beating people! With just 72 points left to a 100% surprise he would be able to rush through his list quickly, except there is just one GP over the next seven weeks...
Massa shows decent form right now.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Kvyat Hülkenberg Räikkönen Perez Alonso * Potential 277 * Potential 274 * Potential 326 * Potential 265 * Potential 251 jjcale 185 kismet 67 M2000-5 256 kismet 46 Brawn BGP 001 126 MJB5990 154 Bleu 63 Barty 208 Bleu 40 MJB5990 114 HeidfeldsBeard 138 * Forecast 51 kismet 167 jjcale 35 kismet 113 Makarias 135 jjcale 47 noikeee 165 mark f1 35 Apex 110 DutchQuicksilver132 scheivlak 45 MJB5990 163 SpaceHorseParty 33 fisichella_2001 106 wattoroos 131 KWSN-DSM 44 DutchQuicksilver161 * Forecast 32 HeidfeldsBeard 106 kismet 130 Apex 43 * Forecast 160 Apex 30 Bleu 105 Costaz 126 mark f1 40 KWSN-DSM 160 KWSN-DSM 30 wattoroos 104 fisichella_2001 124 fisichella_2001 36 Wander 156 Wander 30 Costaz 99 noikeee 121 Grayson 35 d_view7 155 fisichella_2001 27 Wander 99 Apex 115 Wander 35 wattoroos 150 scheivlak 27 noikeee 98 Wander 113 HeidfeldsBeard 31 Bleu 140 Grayson 25 DutchQuicksilver 96 AcuraF1 112 Barty 30 jjcale 140 Makarias 25 d_view7 95 JAW97 112 MJB5990 28 mark f1 140 wattoroos 25 AcuraF1 94 SpaceHorseParty 112 JAW97 27 scheivlak 140 Brawn BGP 001 24 The Snowman 94 Grayson 110 Makarias 27 The Snowman 138 HeidfeldsBeard 22 JAW97 87 mark f1 110 Brawn BGP 001 26 AcuraF1 130 MJB5990 19 Grayson 85 Barty 105 SpaceHorseParty 26 Grayson 130 noikeee 15 scheivlak 75 d_view7 104 wattoroos 26 SpaceHorseParty 130 The Snowman 15 Barty 70 Bleu 100 * Current 24 JAW97 126 * Current 15 SpaceHorseParty 62 KWSN-DSM 96 AcuraF1 20 HeidfeldsBeard 124 JAW97 13 KWSN-DSM 60 scheivlak 95 The Snowman 20 fisichella_2001 113 DutchQuicksilver 12 mark f1 60 The Snowman 88 DutchQuicksilver 18 Costaz 112 Costaz 9 Makarias 58 Brawn BGP 001 86 noikeee 17 Brawn BGP 001 97 AcuraF1 6 jjcale 51 * Forecast 57 Costaz 9 Makarias 97 M2000-5 5 M2000-5 20 * Current 27 M2000-5 8 Apex 95 Barty 0 * Forecast 2 M2000-5 26 d_view7 0 * Current 76 d_view7 0 * Current 1Kvyat beats M2000-5's guess, which still looks better than most other's guesses. Even more outstanding is the Alonso guess!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- mark f1 1694,7 8,3 KWSN-DSM 1670,0 5,9 noikeee 1653,6 10,1 M2000-5 1651,0 -7,6 MJB5990 1644,7 12,4 Grayson 1623,7 3,2 The Snowman 1616,7 3,2 Makarias 1614,3 6,3 Wander 1614,3 2,0 wattoroos 1610,7 4,5 fisichella_2001 1604,3 6,3 JAW97 1604,2 13,7 Brawn BGP 001 1601,3 9,7 kismet 1595,3 -3,9 scheivlak 1593,4 -3,6 d_view7 1589,3 -0,8 SpaceHorseParty 1588,3 4,0 DutchQuicksilver 1587,8 -1,3 jjcale 1581,0 2,1 Bleu 1566,7 17,4 HeidfeldsBeard 1554,3 2,0 Costaz 1533,9 -2,2 Apex 1533,7 3,4 Barty 1532,0 -0,8 AcuraF1 1527,6 8,2Kvyat's forecast went up by almost 12 points and helped most forecasts to improve even though the same old top three drivers keep snatching the big points and Kimi is floundering...
