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Place The Points Competition 2015 after Hungary


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 27 July 2015 - 14:13

The standings after Hungary:

Pos Name             Tot Latest
1)  Brawn BGP 001    1010 101
2)  The Snowman      1006 101
3)  KWSN-DSM         1002  99
4)  scheivlak        1000 100
5)  mark f1           998 100
=   Wander            998  97
7)  jjcale            997  91
8)  fisichella_2001   996 100
9)  Makarias          995 100
=   noikeee           995  98
11) kismet            992 100
=   wattoroos         992 100
13) HeidfeldsBeard    991  98
14) Bleu              990  98
15) DutchQuicksilver  989  98
16) Grayson           988 100
17) SpaceHorseParty   987  99
18) JAW97             986  97
19) AcuraF1           981  96
20) MJB5990           980  98
21) d_view7           961  97
22) Apex              960  75
23) Costaz            954  74
24) M2000-5           933  70
25) Barty             897  58

An interesting race result, and the scores are spreading out more and more!

The entries

The Drivers' list

Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Nasr    189,5     55,2   20
Eric    138,9     22,2   20
Vett     93,1     77,3    7
Hülk     78,1     35,3    7
Vers     75,7     28,9   11
Pere     68,4     31,9    7
Rosb     56,6     48,0    0
Hami     55,1     48,8    0
Räik     52,9     29,6    0
Mass     47,5     38,1    0
Sain     46,2     23,1    4
Gros     40,1     24,7    1
Kvya     39,3     24,2    1
Bott     39,3     30,9    0
Mald     33,7     15,0    2
Ricc     27,3     20,3    0
Alon     12,6      8,7    0
Butt      8,7      5,6    0

Vettel gets quite close to his expectation mark and very much looks like a 100% surprise down the road. Perhaps the only one this season?

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2015 this is 25.


Guesses on P1-P5:

Vettel                 Kvyat                  Ricciardo              Verstappen             Alonso              
* Potential     385    * Potential     270    * Potential     276    * Potential     247    * Potential     236
* Forecast      304    jjcale          185    jjcale          250    scheivlak        75    Brawn BGP 001   126
scheivlak       206    MJB5990         154    Makarias        229    jjcale           73    MJB5990         114
wattoroos       205    HeidfeldsBeard  138    AcuraF1         224    Brawn BGP 001    55    kismet          113
M2000-5         203    Makarias        135    Barty           218    Makarias         48    Apex            110
fisichella_2001 197    DutchQuicksilver132    DutchQuicksilver216    * Forecast       42    fisichella_2001 106
noikeee         197    wattoroos       131    HeidfeldsBeard  215    Bleu             35    HeidfeldsBeard  106
The Snowman     196    kismet          130    Costaz          204    Grayson          35    Bleu            105
Makarias        191    Costaz          126    scheivlak       200    The Snowman      32    wattoroos       104
mark f1         190    fisichella_2001 124    Bleu            195    wattoroos        31    Costaz           99
Grayson         180    noikeee         121    JAW97           192    fisichella_2001  30    Wander           99
KWSN-DSM        180    Apex            115    Wander          191    mark f1          30    noikeee          98
DutchQuicksilver173    Wander          113    noikeee         190    kismet           27    DutchQuicksilver 96
HeidfeldsBeard  168    AcuraF1         112    kismet          189    Apex             25    d_view7          95
Wander          168    JAW97           112    Apex            180    JAW97            25    AcuraF1          94
MJB5990         167    SpaceHorseParty 112    KWSN-DSM        180    SpaceHorseParty  24    The Snowman      94
kismet          166    Grayson         110    mark f1         180    * Current        22    JAW97            87
d_view7         165    mark f1         110    wattoroos       176    DutchQuicksilver 20    Grayson          85
AcuraF1         164    Barty           105    fisichella_2001 175    HeidfeldsBeard   20    scheivlak        75
Brawn BGP 001   163    d_view7         104    d_view7         170    KWSN-DSM         20    Barty            70
* Current       160    Bleu            100    Grayson         170    MJB5990          20    SpaceHorseParty  62
SpaceHorseParty 159    KWSN-DSM         96    MJB5990         166    noikeee          20    KWSN-DSM         60
Bleu            158    scheivlak        95    SpaceHorseParty 162    d_view7          19    mark f1          60
JAW97           157    The Snowman      88    Brawn BGP 001   135    Wander           19    Makarias         58
jjcale          151    Brawn BGP 001    86    The Snowman     130    AcuraF1          18    jjcale           51
Costaz          145    * Forecast       86    M2000-5         126    Barty            10    * Forecast       21
Barty           125    * Current        45    * Forecast       97    M2000-5           8    M2000-5          20
Apex            120    M2000-5          26    * Current        51    Costaz            7    * Current        11

Very interesting

Guesses on P6-P10:

Hamilton               Grosjean               Rosberg                Button                 Ericsson            
* Potential     427    * Potential     248    * Potential     406    * Potential     231    * Potential     231
JAW97           413    SpaceHorseParty  92    Barty           376    Brawn BGP 001   106    Barty            26
mark f1         410    KWSN-DSM         90    jjcale          375    d_view7         101    Costaz           19
M2000-5         408    scheivlak        80    d_view7         355    Bleu             98    * Forecast       11
MJB5990         405    The Snowman      79    M2000-5         353    Apex             95    KWSN-DSM         10
Makarias        401    M2000-5          77    * Forecast      344    Barty            94    Brawn BGP 001     8
Brawn BGP 001   400    Wander           70    The Snowman     336    Costaz           91    The Snowman       8
* Forecast      384    AcuraF1          68    noikeee         330    wattoroos        80    * Current         6
noikeee         382    HeidfeldsBeard   68    MJB5990         329    kismet           79    mark f1           5
Costaz          375    Apex             65    Costaz          320    HeidfeldsBeard   77    Wander            5
kismet          375    Makarias         64    Grayson         320    Grayson          75    DutchQuicksilver  4
d_view7         370    JAW97            63    mark f1         320    DutchQuicksilver 73    fisichella_2001   4
Grayson         370    Bleu             62    KWSN-DSM        317    Wander           73    Makarias          4
SpaceHorseParty 365    mark f1          60    SpaceHorseParty 313    fisichella_2001  71    kismet            3
DutchQuicksilver362    DutchQuicksilver 59    HeidfeldsBeard  312    The Snowman      71    AcuraF1           2
fisichella_2001 362    d_view7          56    kismet          312    JAW97            68    Apex              2
Apex            360    MJB5990          51    DutchQuicksilver311    noikeee          67    Bleu              2
KWSN-DSM        359    wattoroos        51    Apex            310    AcuraF1          66    HeidfeldsBeard    2
jjcale          350    Grayson          50    Wander          310    MJB5990          63    jjcale            2
Wander          350    fisichella_2001  49    wattoroos       307    SpaceHorseParty  54    M2000-5           1
HeidfeldsBeard  346    Costaz           45    JAW97           305    KWSN-DSM         49    noikeee           1
Bleu            345    kismet           45    Makarias        303    scheivlak        48    d_view7           0
AcuraF1         344    * Forecast       44    AcuraF1         302    mark f1          40    Grayson           0
Barty           341    Brawn BGP 001    37    Brawn BGP 001   302    Makarias         39    JAW97             0
scheivlak       335    noikeee          29    fisichella_2001 301    jjcale           32    MJB5990           0
wattoroos       330    jjcale           23    scheivlak       290    M2000-5          15    scheivlak         0
The Snowman     312    * Current        23    Bleu            280    * Forecast       11    SpaceHorseParty   0
* Current       202    Barty             0    * Current       181    * Current         6    wattoroos         0

If you told Grosjean before the race he'd end up in the middle of a Mercedes sandwich, I bet he would have been a bit miffed at this outcome... Hamilton can only afford one non-win for a 100% surprise, as equalling 413 isn't enough.

The PTPC forecast

Name             Forecast  +/-
mark f1          1725,4   30,7
KWSN-DSM         1698,1   28,1
Grayson          1680,2   56,5
noikeee          1678,0   24,4
scheivlak        1672,4   79,0
The Snowman      1670,2   53,5
Makarias         1660,8   46,5
fisichella_2001  1658,4   54,1
wattoroos        1657,6   46,9
MJB5990          1654,5    9,8
Wander           1652,0   37,7
kismet           1644,1   48,8
Brawn BGP 001    1642,1   40,8
jjcale           1636,4   55,4
DutchQuicksilver 1631,9   44,1
SpaceHorseParty  1630,7   42,4
d_view7          1627,8   38,5
JAW97            1625,0   20,8
Bleu             1617,2   50,5
M2000-5          1616,8  -34,2
HeidfeldsBeard   1605,1   50,8
Costaz           1584,6   50,7
Apex             1578,7   45,0
AcuraF1          1572,1   44,5
Barty            1524,4   -7,6

No surprise that most forecasts jump up by loads with the nice results for RBR and McLaren. M2000-5's early championship hopes now look slightly different, though...

 



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#2 Barty

Barty
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Posted 27 July 2015 - 15:25

Bah!



#3 KWSN - DSM

KWSN - DSM
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Posted 27 July 2015 - 15:26

Half a season and hanging tough, I am the Rosberg to mark f1's Hamilton.

 

:cool: