The standings after Belgium:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Brawn BGP 001 1109 99 2) scheivlak 1100 100 3) KWSN-DSM 1099 97 4) mark f1 1098 100 5) The Snowman 1097 91 6) fisichella_2001 1096 100 7) Makarias 1095 100 8) Wander 1094 96 9) kismet 1092 100 = wattoroos 1092 100 11) Bleu 1090 100 12) Grayson 1088 100 13) SpaceHorseParty 1085 98 14) HeidfeldsBeard 1084 93 15) jjcale 1082 85 16) DutchQuicksilver 1075 86 = JAW97 1075 89 18) noikeee 1072 77 19) MJB5990 1070 90 20) AcuraF1 1067 86 21) Apex 1059 99 22) d_view7 1047 86 23) Costaz 1041 87 24) M2000-5 1007 74 25) Barty 969 72
Brawny misses points for the first time this season! Nobody else got a 101 either, so the fun has truly begun!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Nasr 189,5 55,2 20 Eric 162,0 25,9 20 Pere 114,0 53,2 12 Vett 93,1 77,3 7 Vers 89,5 34,2 14 Hülk 78,1 35,3 7 Gros 66,3 40,9 4 Rosb 62,3 52,8 0 Hami 61,9 54,8 0 Räik 57,0 31,9 0 Mass 52,7 42,3 0 Kvya 49,8 30,6 1 Sain 46,2 23,1 4 Bott 40,3 31,7 0 Mald 33,7 15,0 2 Ricc 27,3 20,3 0 Alon 12,6 8,7 0 Butt 8,7 5,6 0
Sergio Perez makes it past his 100% Expectation mark as the third driver this year. Congratulations!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2015 this is 25.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Rosberg Grosjean Kvyat Perez * Potential 427 * Potential 399 * Potential 238 * Potential 257 * Potential 225 JAW97 413 Barty 376 SpaceHorseParty 92 jjcale 185 kismet 46 mark f1 410 jjcale 375 KWSN-DSM 90 MJB5990 154 * Forecast 43 M2000-5 408 d_view7 355 scheivlak 80 HeidfeldsBeard 138 Bleu 40 MJB5990 405 M2000-5 353 The Snowman 79 Makarias 135 jjcale 35 Makarias 401 * Forecast 344 M2000-5 77 DutchQuicksilver132 mark f1 35 Brawn BGP 001 400 The Snowman 336 Wander 70 wattoroos 131 SpaceHorseParty 33 * Forecast 392 noikeee 330 AcuraF1 68 kismet 130 Apex 30 noikeee 382 MJB5990 329 HeidfeldsBeard 68 Costaz 126 KWSN-DSM 30 Costaz 375 Costaz 320 * Forecast 66 fisichella_2001 124 Wander 30 kismet 375 Grayson 320 Apex 65 noikeee 121 fisichella_2001 27 d_view7 370 mark f1 320 Makarias 64 Apex 115 scheivlak 27 Grayson 370 KWSN-DSM 317 JAW97 63 Wander 113 Grayson 25 SpaceHorseParty 365 SpaceHorseParty 313 Bleu 62 AcuraF1 112 Makarias 25 DutchQuicksilver362 HeidfeldsBeard 312 mark f1 60 JAW97 112 wattoroos 25 fisichella_2001 362 kismet 312 DutchQuicksilver 59 SpaceHorseParty 112 * Current 25 Apex 360 DutchQuicksilver311 d_view7 56 Grayson 110 Brawn BGP 001 24 KWSN-DSM 359 Apex 310 MJB5990 51 mark f1 110 HeidfeldsBeard 22 jjcale 350 Wander 310 wattoroos 51 Barty 105 MJB5990 19 Wander 350 wattoroos 307 Grayson 50 d_view7 104 noikeee 15 HeidfeldsBeard 346 JAW97 305 fisichella_2001 49 Bleu 100 The Snowman 15 Bleu 345 Makarias 303 Costaz 45 * Forecast 98 JAW97 13 AcuraF1 344 AcuraF1 302 kismet 45 KWSN-DSM 96 DutchQuicksilver 12 Barty 341 Brawn BGP 001 302 * Current 38 scheivlak 95 Costaz 9 scheivlak 335 fisichella_2001 301 Brawn BGP 001 37 The Snowman 88 AcuraF1 6 wattoroos 330 scheivlak 290 noikeee 29 Brawn BGP 001 86 M2000-5 5 The Snowman 312 Bleu 280 jjcale 23 * Current 57 Barty 0 * Current 227 * Current 199 Barty 0 M2000-5 26 d_view7 0
Kvyat is showing a very encouraging form curve right now! Perez' forecast is nearing 100% surprise territory.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Massa Räikkönen Verstappen Bottas Ericsson * Potential 282 * Potential 282 * Potential 226 * Potential 279 * Potential 207 M2000-5 193 M2000-5 256 scheivlak 75 Costaz 248 Barty 26 AcuraF1 184 Barty 208 jjcale 73 d_view7 240 Costaz 19 SpaceHorseParty 181 kismet 167 Brawn BGP 001 55 M2000-5 236 * Forecast 12 The Snowman 175 noikeee 165 Makarias 48 Apex 230 KWSN-DSM 10 Makarias 173 MJB5990 163 * Forecast 45 Barty 230 Brawn BGP 001 8 JAW97 169 DutchQuicksilver161 Bleu 35 AcuraF1 218 The Snowman 8 Brawn BGP 001 168 KWSN-DSM 160 Grayson 35 fisichella_2001 210 * Current 7 wattoroos 165 Wander 156 The Snowman 32 Grayson 210 mark f1 5 Apex 160 d_view7 155 wattoroos 31 The Snowman 208 Wander 5 Barty 160 wattoroos 150 fisichella_2001 30 JAW97 207 DutchQuicksilver 4 Grayson 160 * Forecast 142 mark f1 30 Brawn BGP 001 201 fisichella_2001 4 KWSN-DSM 160 Bleu 140 kismet 27 Bleu 200 Makarias 4 MJB5990 159 jjcale 140 * Current 26 SpaceHorseParty 199 kismet 3 fisichella_2001 158 mark f1 140 Apex 25 noikeee 192 AcuraF1 2 Bleu 157 scheivlak 140 JAW97 25 scheivlak 190 Apex 2 noikeee 155 The Snowman 138 SpaceHorseParty 24 DutchQuicksilver188 Bleu 2 HeidfeldsBeard 150 AcuraF1 130 DutchQuicksilver 20 mark f1 185 HeidfeldsBeard 2 mark f1 150 Grayson 130 HeidfeldsBeard 20 Wander 185 jjcale 2 Wander 150 SpaceHorseParty 130 KWSN-DSM 20 wattoroos 185 M2000-5 1 Costaz 149 JAW97 126 MJB5990 20 HeidfeldsBeard 172 noikeee 1 * Forecast 142 HeidfeldsBeard 124 noikeee 20 Makarias 170 d_view7 0 DutchQuicksilver138 fisichella_2001 113 d_view7 19 MJB5990 164 Grayson 0 scheivlak 131 Costaz 112 Wander 19 KWSN-DSM 160 JAW97 0 d_view7 125 Brawn BGP 001 97 AcuraF1 18 kismet 154 MJB5990 0 jjcale 125 Makarias 97 Barty 10 * Forecast 136 scheivlak 0 kismet 97 Apex 95 M2000-5 8 jjcale 114 SpaceHorseParty 0 * Current 82 * Current 82 Costaz 7 * Current 79 wattoroos 0
Ericsson grinds in another point, not mindblowing results but the preseason expectations were also low. Verstappen is largely living up to the hype. Williams forecasts have taken a dip with two disappointing races in a row.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- mark f1 1746,8 21,4 KWSN-DSM 1702,5 4,4 Makarias 1681,3 20,5 scheivlak 1678,2 5,8 Grayson 1675,3 -4,9 The Snowman 1670,1 -0,1 noikeee 1667,6 -10,4 Wander 1662,5 10,5 MJB5990 1659,7 5,2 fisichella_2001 1653,3 -5,1 wattoroos 1650,9 -6,7 SpaceHorseParty 1645,9 15,2 JAW97 1641,4 16,4 kismet 1640,9 -3,2 jjcale 1639,3 2,9 DutchQuicksilver 1633,7 1,8 Bleu 1633,2 16,0 Brawn BGP 001 1629,8 -12,3 d_view7 1626,5 -1,3 M2000-5 1622,4 5,6 HeidfeldsBeard 1617,4 12,3 Apex 1588,7 10 AcuraF1 1584,4 12,3 Costaz 1575,4 -9,2 Barty 1513,0 -11,4
Mixed tendencies in the forecast. Crowd favourite Makarias up to third!