With today's results and Mercedes struggles, Vettel has still a loooong shot at the title. I'm wondering what's the expected engine "importance" in the six remaining races. If we put Monaco/Singapore at 0 and Monza/Spa at 10, I would say:
- Japan 8 (full throttle 70%, in 2014 gap from Ferrari to Mercedes, 1.2s)
- Russia 6 (full throttle 56%, in 2014 gap from Toro Rosso to Mercedes, 0.7s)
- US, 5 (full throttle 49%, in 2014 gap from Red Bull to Mercedes, 1.2s)
- Mexico 6, (in 2014 no data)
- Brazil 6, (full throttle 50%, in 2014 gap from Red Bull to Mercedes, 0.9s)
- Abu Dhabi 7, (full throttle 59%, in 2014 gap from Toro Rosso to Mercedes, 1.5s)
I would say with some bad luck for Hamilton in Japan and Abu Dhabi, Vettel has a shot