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Place The Points Competition 2015 after Russia


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 12 October 2015 - 16:42

The standings after Russia:

Pos Name             Tot Latest
1)  scheivlak        1436  60
2)  mark f1          1423  59
3)  The Snowman      1416  67
4)  wattoroos        1411  59
5)  fisichella_2001  1408  55
6)  KWSN-DSM         1407  59
7)  Bleu             1393  61
=   Grayson          1393  60
9)  kismet           1389  54
10) Wander           1385  59
11) Makarias         1377  56
12) jjcale           1375  60
13) HeidfeldsBeard   1363  59
14) noikeee          1362  56
=   SpaceHorseParty  1362  59
16) Brawn BGP 001    1359  57
17) DutchQuicksilver 1355  59
18) JAW97            1345  59
19) MJB5990          1338  53
20) AcuraF1          1336  59
21) d_view7          1325  67
22) Apex             1317  55
23) Costaz           1299  55
24) M2000-5          1295  49
25) Barty            1228  53
Pretty small differences in the scores this round. 67 at most, which isn't that much.

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Nasr    296,2     86,2   23
Pere    246,3    114,9   25
Eric    208,3     33,3   22
Vett    137,4    114,0   25
Hülk    123,7     55,9   18
Vers    113,6     43,4   19
Räik     85,6     47,9    5
Hami     82,3     72,9    0
Gros     76,7     47,3    4
Rosb     71,6     60,7    0
Mass     70,0     56,2    1
Kvya     66,4     40,9    1
Mald     61,9     27,5    3
Sain     61,6     30,8    5
Bott     56,7     44,6    0
Ricc     39,1     29,1    0
Alon     12,6      8,7    0
Butt     11,6      7,5    0
Sergio Perez becomes the second 100% surprise of the year! Hurrah!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2015 this is 25.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton               Vettel                 Perez                  Massa                  Kvyat               
JAW97           413    * Potential     336    * Potential     154    * Potential     209    jjcale          185
mark f1         410    * Forecast      299    * Forecast       68    M2000-5         193    * Potential     176
M2000-5         408    * Current       236    * Current        54    AcuraF1         184    MJB5990         154
MJB5990         405    scheivlak       206    kismet           46    SpaceHorseParty 181    HeidfeldsBeard  138
* Potential     402    wattoroos       205    Bleu             40    The Snowman     175    Makarias        135
Makarias        401    M2000-5         203    jjcale           35    Makarias        173    DutchQuicksilver132
Brawn BGP 001   400    fisichella_2001 197    mark f1          35    JAW97           169    wattoroos       131
* Forecast      383    noikeee         197    SpaceHorseParty  33    Brawn BGP 001   168    kismet          130
noikeee         382    The Snowman     196    Apex             30    wattoroos       165    Costaz          126
Costaz          375    Makarias        191    KWSN-DSM         30    Apex            160    fisichella_2001 124
kismet          375    mark f1         190    Wander           30    Barty           160    noikeee         121
d_view7         370    Grayson         180    fisichella_2001  27    Grayson         160    Apex            115
Grayson         370    KWSN-DSM        180    scheivlak        27    KWSN-DSM        160    Wander          113
SpaceHorseParty 365    DutchQuicksilver173    Grayson          25    MJB5990         159    AcuraF1         112
DutchQuicksilver362    HeidfeldsBeard  168    Makarias         25    fisichella_2001 158    JAW97           112
fisichella_2001 362    Wander          168    wattoroos        25    Bleu            157    SpaceHorseParty 112
Apex            360    MJB5990         167    Brawn BGP 001    24    noikeee         155    Grayson         110
KWSN-DSM        359    kismet          166    HeidfeldsBeard   22    HeidfeldsBeard  150    mark f1         110
jjcale          350    d_view7         165    MJB5990          19    mark f1         150    Barty           105
Wander          350    AcuraF1         164    noikeee          15    Wander          150    d_view7         104
HeidfeldsBeard  346    Brawn BGP 001   163    The Snowman      15    Costaz          149    Bleu            100
Bleu            345    SpaceHorseParty 159    JAW97            13    * Forecast      138    KWSN-DSM         96
AcuraF1         344    Bleu            158    DutchQuicksilver 12    DutchQuicksilver138    * Forecast       96
Barty           341    JAW97           157    Costaz            9    scheivlak       131    scheivlak        95
scheivlak       335    jjcale          151    AcuraF1           6    d_view7         125    The Snowman      88
wattoroos       330    Costaz          145    M2000-5           5    jjcale          125    Brawn BGP 001    86
The Snowman     312    Barty           125    Barty             0    * Current       109    * Current        76
* Current       302    Apex            120    d_view7           0    kismet           97    M2000-5          26
Massa beats kismet's guess. Hamilton has The Snowman's guess within sight now.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Nasr                   Maldonado              Räikkönen              Button                 Verstappen          
* Potential     125    * Potential     122    M2000-5         256    * Potential     108    * Potential     133
* Forecast       32    SpaceHorseParty  79    * Potential     223    Brawn BGP 001   106    scheivlak        75
The Snowman      28    M2000-5          65    Barty           208    d_view7         101    jjcale           73
d_view7          25    HeidfeldsBeard   57    kismet          167    Bleu             98    Brawn BGP 001    55
* Current        25    The Snowman      52    noikeee         165    Apex             95    Makarias         48
noikeee          20    KWSN-DSM         51    MJB5990         163    Barty            94    * Forecast       42
Brawn BGP 001    18    AcuraF1          50    DutchQuicksilver161    Costaz           91    Bleu             35
jjcale           17    Apex             45    KWSN-DSM        160    wattoroos        80    Grayson          35
scheivlak        12    mark f1          45    * Forecast      156    kismet           79    * Current        33
Costaz           11    Wander           42    Wander          156    HeidfeldsBeard   77    The Snowman      32
Apex             10    Grayson          40    d_view7         155    Grayson          75    wattoroos        31
KWSN-DSM         10    scheivlak        40    wattoroos       150    DutchQuicksilver 73    fisichella_2001  30
AcuraF1           8    DutchQuicksilver 35    Bleu            140    Wander           73    mark f1          30
DutchQuicksilver  8    JAW97            34    jjcale          140    fisichella_2001  71    kismet           27
M2000-5           8    d_view7          32    mark f1         140    The Snowman      71    Apex             25
Wander            8    wattoroos        30    scheivlak       140    JAW97            68    JAW97            25
HeidfeldsBeard    6    Costaz           28    The Snowman     138    noikeee          67    SpaceHorseParty  24
mark f1           5    * Forecast       28    AcuraF1         130    AcuraF1          66    DutchQuicksilver 20
fisichella_2001   4    Bleu             25    Grayson         130    MJB5990          63    HeidfeldsBeard   20
wattoroos         4    Brawn BGP 001    25    SpaceHorseParty 130    SpaceHorseParty  54    KWSN-DSM         20
JAW97             3    kismet           25    JAW97           126    KWSN-DSM         49    MJB5990          20
Makarias          3    Makarias         25    HeidfeldsBeard  124    scheivlak        48    noikeee          20
Bleu              2    jjcale           23    * Current       123    mark f1          40    d_view7          19
kismet            1    fisichella_2001  22    fisichella_2001 113    Makarias         39    Wander           19
Barty             0    * Current        22    Costaz          112    jjcale           32    AcuraF1          18
Grayson           0    noikeee          13    Brawn BGP 001    97    M2000-5          15    Barty            10
MJB5990           0    MJB5990           6    Makarias         97    * Forecast       10    M2000-5           8
SpaceHorseParty   0    Barty             0    Apex             95    * Current         8    Costaz            7
Nasr only needs four more points for a 100% surprise. Perfectly realistic, but will it happen?

The PTPC forecast
Name             Forecast  +/-
mark f1          1707,7  -14,5
KWSN-DSM         1688,9  -26,6
scheivlak        1678,7  -10,8
Wander           1651,1  -21,3
Grayson          1649,6  -18,2
Makarias         1648,8  -12,3
kismet           1647,6  -36,6
wattoroos        1646,6  -14,4
fisichella_2001  1640,7  -14,3
noikeee          1639,3  -22,9
Bleu             1635,3   -6,7
DutchQuicksilver 1631,9  -25,6
MJB5990          1622,9  -22,3
The Snowman      1621,1  -23,9
SpaceHorseParty  1617,3  -22,2
JAW97            1613,9   -9,8
Brawn BGP 001    1608,8  -14,0
d_view7          1594,1  -21,9
HeidfeldsBeard   1590,1  -21,1
jjcale           1586,9  -21,1
M2000-5          1570,2  -26,9
AcuraF1          1567,1  -12,3
Apex             1565,3  -21,4
Costaz           1549,0  -19,0
Barty            1469,9  -30,9
All forecasts down as Rosberg DNFs and Kimi does poorly and points keep piling on to Vettel and Perez which is all a waste at this point, unless you are Vettel or Perez.

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#2 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 12 October 2015 - 17:36

Hanging in there I see, 4 races to go hope I do not become the Rosberg of the PTPC..

 

:cool:



#3 scheivlak

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Posted 12 October 2015 - 17:54

mark f1 will win this unless Hamilton starts to fade.



#4 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 12 October 2015 - 18:22

mark f1 will win this unless Hamilton starts to fade.

 

That was what I figured when comparing his and my points on the usual suspects.

 

:cool: