The standings after USA:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) scheivlak 1510 74 2) mark f1 1482 59 3) wattoroos 1473 62 4) KWSN-DSM 1469 62 5) fisichella_2001 1466 58 6) The Snowman 1465 49 7) Grayson 1457 64 8) Bleu 1451 58 9) kismet 1450 61 = Makarias 1450 73 11) jjcale 1446 71 12) Wander 1445 60 13) Brawn BGP 001 1432 73 14) SpaceHorseParty 1424 62 15) HeidfeldsBeard 1419 56 16) noikeee 1414 52 17) DutchQuicksilver 1413 58 18) JAW97 1407 62 19) AcuraF1 1392 56 20) MJB5990 1390 52 21) d_view7 1381 56 22) Apex 1379 62 23) Costaz 1361 62 24) M2000-5 1350 55 25) Barty 1286 58Some higher scores than last round, and scheivlak best of all. Damn.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Nasr 319,9 93,1 24 Pere 291,9 136,2 25 Eric 208,3 33,3 22 Vers 154,9 59,2 21 Vett 146,1 121,3 25 Hülk 123,7 55,9 18 Sain 92,4 46,2 10 Hami 89,1 79,0 1 Räik 85,6 47,9 5 Rosb 77,3 65,5 0 Gros 76,7 47,3 4 Mald 73,1 32,5 9 Mass 70,0 56,2 1 Kvya 66,4 40,9 1 Bott 56,7 44,6 0 Ricc 39,7 29,5 0 Butt 23,2 15,0 1 Alon 12,6 8,7 0Sainz improving his chances to meet expectations, Nasr going for a 100% surprise...
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2015 this is 25.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Rosberg Vettel Verstappen Perez JAW97 413 Barty 376 * Potential 326 * Potential 120 * Potential 139 mark f1 410 jjcale 375 * Forecast 298 scheivlak 75 * Forecast 76 M2000-5 408 d_view7 355 * Current 251 jjcale 73 * Current 64 MJB5990 405 M2000-5 353 scheivlak 206 Brawn BGP 001 55 kismet 46 * Potential 402 The Snowman 336 wattoroos 205 * Forecast 53 Bleu 40 Makarias 401 noikeee 330 M2000-5 203 Makarias 48 jjcale 35 Brawn BGP 001 400 MJB5990 329 fisichella_2001 197 * Current 45 mark f1 35 * Forecast 388 * Potential 322 noikeee 197 Bleu 35 SpaceHorseParty 33 noikeee 382 Costaz 320 The Snowman 196 Grayson 35 Apex 30 Costaz 375 Grayson 320 Makarias 191 The Snowman 32 KWSN-DSM 30 kismet 375 mark f1 320 mark f1 190 wattoroos 31 Wander 30 d_view7 370 KWSN-DSM 317 Grayson 180 fisichella_2001 30 fisichella_2001 27 Grayson 370 SpaceHorseParty 313 KWSN-DSM 180 mark f1 30 scheivlak 27 SpaceHorseParty 365 HeidfeldsBeard 312 DutchQuicksilver173 kismet 27 Grayson 25 DutchQuicksilver362 kismet 312 HeidfeldsBeard 168 Apex 25 Makarias 25 fisichella_2001 362 DutchQuicksilver311 Wander 168 JAW97 25 wattoroos 25 Apex 360 Apex 310 MJB5990 167 SpaceHorseParty 24 Brawn BGP 001 24 KWSN-DSM 359 Wander 310 kismet 166 DutchQuicksilver 20 HeidfeldsBeard 22 jjcale 350 wattoroos 307 d_view7 165 HeidfeldsBeard 20 MJB5990 19 Wander 350 JAW97 305 AcuraF1 164 KWSN-DSM 20 noikeee 15 HeidfeldsBeard 346 Makarias 303 Brawn BGP 001 163 MJB5990 20 The Snowman 15 Bleu 345 AcuraF1 302 SpaceHorseParty 159 noikeee 20 JAW97 13 AcuraF1 344 Brawn BGP 001 302 Bleu 158 d_view7 19 DutchQuicksilver 12 Barty 341 fisichella_2001 301 JAW97 157 Wander 19 Costaz 9 scheivlak 335 * Forecast 293 jjcale 151 AcuraF1 18 AcuraF1 6 wattoroos 330 scheivlak 290 Costaz 145 Barty 10 M2000-5 5 * Current 327 Bleu 280 Barty 125 M2000-5 8 Barty 0 The Snowman 312 * Current 247 Apex 120 Costaz 7 d_view7 0Hamilton smashes The Snowman and Verstappen makes my guess look pretty good.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Button Sainz Maldonado Nasr Ricciardo Brawn BGP 001 106 * Potential 93 * Potential 101 * Potential 102 jjcale 250 d_view7 101 The Snowman 38 SpaceHorseParty 79 * Forecast 32 Makarias 229 Bleu 98 Brawn BGP 001 33 M2000-5 65 The Snowman 28 AcuraF1 224 Apex 95 Makarias 28 HeidfeldsBeard 57 * Current 27 Barty 218 Barty 94 jjcale 27 The Snowman 52 d_view7 25 DutchQuicksilver216 * Potential 91 SpaceHorseParty 27 KWSN-DSM 51 noikeee 20 HeidfeldsBeard 215 Costaz 91 Barty 25 AcuraF1 50 Brawn BGP 001 18 Costaz 204 wattoroos 80 fisichella_2001 25 Apex 45 jjcale 17 scheivlak 200 kismet 79 Grayson 25 mark f1 45 scheivlak 12 Bleu 195 HeidfeldsBeard 77 scheivlak 25 Wander 42 Costaz 11 JAW97 192 Grayson 75 kismet 24 Grayson 40 Apex 10 Wander 191 DutchQuicksilver 73 Apex 23 scheivlak 40 KWSN-DSM 10 noikeee 190 Wander 73 Costaz 22 DutchQuicksilver 35 AcuraF1 8 kismet 189 fisichella_2001 71 * Forecast 21 JAW97 34 DutchQuicksilver 8 Apex 180 The Snowman 71 KWSN-DSM 20 d_view7 32 M2000-5 8 KWSN-DSM 180 JAW97 68 wattoroos 20 * Forecast 31 Wander 8 mark f1 180 noikeee 67 JAW97 19 wattoroos 30 HeidfeldsBeard 6 wattoroos 176 AcuraF1 66 * Current 18 Costaz 28 mark f1 5 fisichella_2001 175 MJB5990 63 Wander 16 * Current 26 fisichella_2001 4 d_view7 170 SpaceHorseParty 54 mark f1 15 Bleu 25 wattoroos 4 Grayson 170 KWSN-DSM 49 DutchQuicksilver 14 Brawn BGP 001 25 JAW97 3 MJB5990 166 scheivlak 48 Bleu 13 kismet 25 Makarias 3 SpaceHorseParty 162 mark f1 40 MJB5990 12 Makarias 25 Bleu 2 * Potential 149 Makarias 39 AcuraF1 10 jjcale 23 kismet 1 Brawn BGP 001 135 jjcale 32 d_view7 8 fisichella_2001 22 Barty 0 The Snowman 130 * Forecast 19 noikeee 8 noikeee 13 Grayson 0 M2000-5 126 * Current 16 HeidfeldsBeard 6 MJB5990 6 MJB5990 0 * Forecast 88 M2000-5 15 M2000-5 4 Barty 0 SpaceHorseParty 0 * Current 74Heck! Jense beats a guess!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- mark f1 1696,2 -11,5 scheivlak 1684,4 5,6 KWSN-DSM 1666,9 -21,9 Makarias 1646,7 -2,1 Grayson 1642,0 -7,6 kismet 1632,9 -14,7 wattoroos 1632,8 -13,8 fisichella_2001 1630,1 -10,6 Wander 1624,9 -26,2 Brawn BGP 001 1621,6 12,8 The Snowman 1616,0 -5,1 noikeee 1612,8 -26,5 Bleu 1608,8 -26,5 SpaceHorseParty 1606,3 -11,1 JAW97 1606,2 -7,7 DutchQuicksilver 1604,9 -26,9 jjcale 1603,4 16,6 MJB5990 1602,1 -20,7 d_view7 1576,5 -17,6 HeidfeldsBeard 1572,9 -17,3 Apex 1554,3 -11,1 M2000-5 1551,0 -19,2 AcuraF1 1549,9 -17,3 Costaz 1537,8 -11,2 Barty 1448,9 -21,1Mostly negatives here with the poor results for Red Bull and Williams. The exceptions are the top Verstappen guessers.
