The standings after Mexico:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) scheivlak 1597 87 2) mark f1 1573 91 3) KWSN-DSM 1564 95 4) fisichella_2001 1555 89 5) wattoroos 1547 74 6) Bleu 1546 95 = Grayson 1546 89 8) Makarias 1541 91 9) kismet 1537 87 10) The Snowman 1536 71 11) Wander 1534 89 12) jjcale 1530 84 13) Brawn BGP 001 1520 88 14) SpaceHorseParty 1513 89 15) HeidfeldsBeard 1508 89 16) DutchQuicksilver 1502 89 = noikeee 1502 88 18) JAW97 1496 89 19) AcuraF1 1480 88 20) MJB5990 1479 89 21) Apex 1473 94 22) d_view7 1470 89 23) Costaz 1450 89 24) M2000-5 1427 77 25) Barty 1370 84Vettel's DNF allowed us to score plenty of points this round.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Nasr 319,9 93,1 24 Pere 310,2 144,7 25 Eric 208,3 33,3 22 Vers 161,8 61,8 21 Vett 146,1 121,3 25 Hülk 143,2 64,7 20 Hami 94,0 83,3 5 Sain 92,4 46,2 10 Räik 85,6 47,9 5 Rosb 85,1 72,1 0 Gros 78,5 48,4 4 Kvya 76,9 47,3 2 Mass 75,1 60,3 1 Mald 73,1 32,5 9 Bott 64,3 50,6 1 Ricc 45,0 33,5 0 Butt 23,2 15,0 1 Alon 12,6 8,7 0You know expectations were high on Hamilton when he has managed to secure the WDC before reaching the Expectation mark...
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2015 this is 25.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Rosberg Hamilton Bottas Kvyat Ricciardo Barty 376 JAW97 413 Costaz 248 jjcale 185 jjcale 250 jjcale 375 mark f1 410 d_view7 240 MJB5990 154 Makarias 229 d_view7 355 M2000-5 408 M2000-5 236 * Potential 138 AcuraF1 224 M2000-5 353 MJB5990 405 Apex 230 HeidfeldsBeard 138 Barty 218 The Snowman 336 Makarias 401 Barty 230 Makarias 135 DutchQuicksilver216 noikeee 330 Brawn BGP 001 400 AcuraF1 218 DutchQuicksilver132 HeidfeldsBeard 215 MJB5990 329 * Potential 395 fisichella_2001 210 wattoroos 131 Costaz 204 * Potential 322 * Forecast 386 Grayson 210 kismet 130 scheivlak 200 Costaz 320 noikeee 382 The Snowman 208 Costaz 126 Bleu 195 Grayson 320 Costaz 375 JAW97 207 fisichella_2001 124 JAW97 192 mark f1 320 kismet 375 Brawn BGP 001 201 noikeee 121 Wander 191 KWSN-DSM 317 d_view7 370 Bleu 200 Apex 115 noikeee 190 SpaceHorseParty 313 Grayson 370 SpaceHorseParty 199 Wander 113 kismet 189 HeidfeldsBeard 312 SpaceHorseParty 365 noikeee 192 AcuraF1 112 Apex 180 kismet 312 DutchQuicksilver362 scheivlak 190 JAW97 112 KWSN-DSM 180 DutchQuicksilver311 fisichella_2001 362 DutchQuicksilver188 SpaceHorseParty 112 mark f1 180 Apex 310 Apex 360 mark f1 185 Grayson 110 wattoroos 176 Wander 310 KWSN-DSM 359 Wander 185 mark f1 110 fisichella_2001 175 wattoroos 307 jjcale 350 wattoroos 185 Barty 105 d_view7 170 JAW97 305 Wander 350 * Potential 176 d_view7 104 Grayson 170 * Forecast 304 HeidfeldsBeard 346 HeidfeldsBeard 172 Bleu 100 MJB5990 166 Makarias 303 Bleu 345 Makarias 170 * Forecast 98 SpaceHorseParty 162 AcuraF1 302 * Current 345 MJB5990 164 KWSN-DSM 96 Brawn BGP 001 135 Brawn BGP 001 302 AcuraF1 344 KWSN-DSM 160 scheivlak 95 * Potential 134 fisichella_2001 301 Barty 341 kismet 154 The Snowman 88 The Snowman 130 scheivlak 290 scheivlak 335 * Forecast 141 * Current 88 M2000-5 126 Bleu 280 wattoroos 330 * Current 126 Brawn BGP 001 86 * Forecast 94 * Current 272 The Snowman 312 jjcale 114 M2000-5 26 * Current 84Kvyat is ahead of Ricciardo in the WDC, pretty impressive...
Guesses on P6-P10:
Massa Hülkenberg Perez Verstappen Grosjean M2000-5 193 * Potential 94 * Potential 118 * Potential 97 * Potential 95 AcuraF1 184 kismet 67 * Forecast 76 scheivlak 75 SpaceHorseParty 92 SpaceHorseParty 181 Bleu 63 * Current 68 jjcale 73 KWSN-DSM 90 The Snowman 175 * Forecast 49 kismet 46 Brawn BGP 001 55 scheivlak 80 Makarias 173 jjcale 47 Bleu 40 * Forecast 53 The Snowman 79 JAW97 169 scheivlak 45 jjcale 35 Makarias 48 M2000-5 77 Brawn BGP 001 168 KWSN-DSM 44 mark f1 35 * Current 47 Wander 70 * Potential 167 * Current 44 SpaceHorseParty 33 Bleu 35 AcuraF1 68 wattoroos 165 Apex 43 Apex 30 Grayson 35 HeidfeldsBeard 68 Apex 160 mark f1 40 KWSN-DSM 30 The Snowman 32 Apex 65 Barty 160 fisichella_2001 36 Wander 30 wattoroos 31 Makarias 64 Grayson 160 Grayson 35 fisichella_2001 27 fisichella_2001 30 JAW97 63 KWSN-DSM 160 Wander 35 scheivlak 27 mark f1 30 Bleu 62 MJB5990 159 HeidfeldsBeard 31 Grayson 25 kismet 27 mark f1 60 fisichella_2001 158 Barty 30 Makarias 25 Apex 25 DutchQuicksilver 59 Bleu 157 MJB5990 28 wattoroos 25 JAW97 25 d_view7 56 noikeee 155 JAW97 27 Brawn BGP 001 24 SpaceHorseParty 24 MJB5990 51 HeidfeldsBeard 150 Makarias 27 HeidfeldsBeard 22 DutchQuicksilver 20 wattoroos 51 mark f1 150 Brawn BGP 001 26 MJB5990 19 HeidfeldsBeard 20 * Forecast 50 Wander 150 SpaceHorseParty 26 noikeee 15 KWSN-DSM 20 Grayson 50 Costaz 149 wattoroos 26 The Snowman 15 MJB5990 20 fisichella_2001 49 DutchQuicksilver138 AcuraF1 20 JAW97 13 noikeee 20 Costaz 45 * Forecast 131 The Snowman 20 DutchQuicksilver 12 d_view7 19 kismet 45 scheivlak 131 DutchQuicksilver 18 Costaz 9 Wander 19 * Current 45 d_view7 125 noikeee 17 AcuraF1 6 AcuraF1 18 Brawn BGP 001 37 jjcale 125 Costaz 9 M2000-5 5 Barty 10 noikeee 29 * Current 117 M2000-5 8 Barty 0 M2000-5 8 jjcale 23 kismet 97 d_view7 0 d_view7 0 Costaz 7 Barty 0...
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- mark f1 1720,4 24,2 scheivlak 1695,1 10,7 KWSN-DSM 1685,5 18,5 Makarias 1673,0 26,3 Grayson 1672,2 30,2 fisichella_2001 1659,1 29,0 kismet 1659,0 26,1 wattoroos 1655,8 23,0 Wander 1645,8 20,9 Brawn BGP 001 1639,9 18,3 noikeee 1637,5 24,7 The Snowman 1635,6 19,6 SpaceHorseParty 1634,5 28,2 JAW97 1632,9 26,8 Bleu 1630,9 22,1 DutchQuicksilver 1625,8 20,9 jjcale 1623,5 20,1 MJB5990 1623,4 21,2 HeidfeldsBeard 1602,4 29,5 d_view7 1596,1 19,6 Apex 1582,5 28,2 AcuraF1 1577,4 27,5 Costaz 1569,2 31,4 M2000-5 1562,2 11,2 Barty 1471,6 22,8The Vettel DNF also has a positive impact on the forecasts.
