Guess the podium 2004 edition: First round, Malaysia
#1
Posted 16 March 2004 - 12:57
As tradition requires, I forgot to open the first round at right time for the Australian GP But, already with the brain engaged, we will start this season in Malaysia.
I put below all the boring rules as usual. The first part is the important thing; the rest is for special cases.
One-lap qualifications means some strange grids and last year it resulted in some "epic" guesses here. Au contraire, in 2002 there was an amazing level of precision in guessing; we had a notorious fight for the leadership and finally the podium was: gerry nassar 68, Estwald 66, SeanValen 66 . Last year LB was third (45 points), and R.BERNIE (one of our bots, see rules below) was second! It's worthy to note that gerry nassar was 4th and Estwald 6th, continuing their success of previous year. SeanValen had an "engine failure" mid season and had to retire
In short, gerry nassar and Estwald are our Senna-Prost pair. If you acheive to beat them you will have something to tell your grandchildren ;)
Rules:
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It consists in guessing the three firsts in F1 races. You do an ordered guess (i.e. MS-JPM-RS) and a score is given according to real podium results. The
scoring system is as explained here:
Suppose you do the guess MS-JPM-RS.
If MS is 1st, 3 points
if MS is 2nd, 2 points
if MS is 3rd, 1 point
If JPM is 1st, 2 points
if JPM is 2nd, 2 points
if JPM is 3rd, 1 point
If RS is 1st, 2nd or 3rd, 1 point
It another driver makes a podium position, it doesn't give any points.
The key for this system is not "gambling" on the exact position but to do a realistic shot at the relative merit of each driver in that GP. For instance, you
are not penalized for JPM being first and not 2nd, as the penalty comes by not scoring with MS's first position.
In order to have a reference I will enter two "dummy" players: Bernie and Max (the names were chosen randomly ). Bernie always guesses the firsts three
qualifyers, and Max always guesses the firsts three classified in WDC current points table. Can you outscore B&M?
Any guess can be done before one hour before the official first start of the race. We will use the "official" Atlas Forum clock to resolve close entries.
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Special case: Missed round
Knowing that there are circunstances that sometimes make not possible to enter each round, and wishing to offer the oppurtunity of a good classification to
those who cannot be here every round, each round those who miss that round will get a score determined as follows:
(1)
"Third better score for that round minus three. The resulting score MUST be always between 0 and 2 points, adjusting it as needed"
For example, supposed scores for missing rounds would be:
third best score=3, miss-score=0
third best score=2, miss-score=0
third best score=5, miss-score=2
The rationale of it is reward "misses" depending on the difficulty of the round. I have done calculations about last years results and it works well. Missing
rounds are rewarded less than almost every one who made a guess (except some rare cases of disasters), and on the other side, missing rounds are not penalized as harshly as zero.
(2)
"In order to eliminate unneeded calculations, I only will add miss-scores to players who guessed more than half of number of rounds so far (it's to say, with three rounds, those who guessed two times)"
(3)
"In case of a tie in the final classification, the first rule to untying is the player with less miss-scores is above the player with more miss-score."
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Tie breaking rules:
In case of tie in final scores, the first rule is "the less amount of miss-scores gets the better classification", second rule is "the best classified in the
previous round gets the best classification".
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Ladies and gentlemen, start your engines!
#3
Posted 16 March 2004 - 14:24
#4
Posted 16 March 2004 - 14:30
#5
Posted 16 March 2004 - 14:37
#6
Posted 16 March 2004 - 14:48
#7
Posted 16 March 2004 - 15:18
Warning: Eddie Jordan is going to sign a contract with engine manufacturer John Deere. It can be an interesting bet for this season's one-engine rule
#8
Posted 16 March 2004 - 15:25
#9
Posted 16 March 2004 - 16:22
#10
Posted 16 March 2004 - 16:44
#11
Posted 16 March 2004 - 18:03
#12
Posted 16 March 2004 - 18:15
#13
Posted 16 March 2004 - 18:38
#14
Posted 16 March 2004 - 18:44
#15
Posted 16 March 2004 - 23:20
Fernando Alonso
Rubens Barrichello
#16
Posted 17 March 2004 - 01:13
#17
Posted 17 March 2004 - 02:34
#18
Posted 17 March 2004 - 08:56
#19
Posted 17 March 2004 - 09:21
#21
Posted 17 March 2004 - 13:01
#22
Posted 17 March 2004 - 13:11
#23
Posted 17 March 2004 - 14:53
#24
Posted 17 March 2004 - 15:13
MS - RB - JPM
#25
Posted 17 March 2004 - 18:07
#26
Posted 17 March 2004 - 22:24
Originally posted by Schuting Star
Welcome back Schummy
MS - RB - JPM
Glad to see you another season again! The True Shooting Star of GTP!
#27
Posted 18 March 2004 - 00:59
#28
Posted 18 March 2004 - 01:01
#29
Posted 18 March 2004 - 01:28
#30
Posted 18 March 2004 - 04:12
#31
Posted 18 March 2004 - 10:29
#32
Posted 18 March 2004 - 10:55
#33
Posted 18 March 2004 - 15:11
#34
Posted 18 March 2004 - 15:13
#35
Posted 18 March 2004 - 15:28
MS-RB-JPM
Edited away Alonso after qual..according to rules, hope it is ok.
#36
Posted 18 March 2004 - 16:03
#37
Posted 18 March 2004 - 16:08
Devo the mutt and I welcome you back, Schummy
#38
Posted 18 March 2004 - 16:41
#39
Posted 18 March 2004 - 17:09
#41
Posted 18 March 2004 - 21:01
#42
Posted 18 March 2004 - 21:57
MS-RB-FA
#43
Posted 18 March 2004 - 22:00
#44
Posted 18 March 2004 - 22:20
Greets also to MAX and BERNIE, they are great guys, although a bit reserved.
#45
Posted 18 March 2004 - 22:21
Originally posted by Nasty McBastard
hopefully not too late. only just noticed this.
MS-RB-FA
Please everyone rememeber this game allows entries until ONE hour before the race, according to rules.
Good luck to all!
#46
Posted 19 March 2004 - 00:01
#47
Posted 19 March 2004 - 00:53
#48
Posted 19 March 2004 - 00:56
#49
Posted 19 March 2004 - 04:45
#50
Posted 20 March 2004 - 08:40