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Place The Points Competition after the French GP


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#1 Makarias

Makarias
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Posted 16 July 2006 - 17:28

The standings after the French GP:
[b]Pos Name			 Tot Latest [/b]

1)  Estwald		  426 37

=   Makarias		 426 37

=   skylark68		426 37

4)  scheivlak		425 35

5)  Ric Bol		  424 36

6)  SkorbiF1		 423 33

7)  magicalonso	  422 34

8)  arcsine		  420 31

=   Marcel Schot	 420 33

=   Marilyn Manson   420 31

11) an1res		   419 39

=   Ladaman		  419 32

13) CaptnMark		418 29

=   Cittànuova	   418 29

=   turin			418 31

16) Alapan		   416 33

=   shays			416 30

=   WillieF1		 416 29

19) TT6			  414 29

20) mimin			413 27

=   race addicted	413 24

22) gerry nassar	 412 27

23) capture_the_flag 410 21

24) D82			  408 26

=   KWSN - DSM	   408 36

26) fisichella_2001  407 22

=   LB			   407 23

28) control		  405 23

=   Jimmino		  405 32

30) Apex			 404 23

=   SeanValen		404 31

32) windsok		  403 15

33) DeathMasteR	  401 29

34) coyoteBR		 397 30

35) StickShift	   395 23

36) armonico		 392 21

37) Xig			  388 19

38) esorniloc		387 23

=   Moanaman		 387 19

=   ray b			387 18

41) dnbn			 385 29

42) Costaz		   383 24

43) kismet		   379 15

44) panzani		  373 21

45) woftam		   357 16

46) babe			 356 20

47) Zawed			350 23
Popularity Poll: 423 points; 33 points from France.

Even the Popularity Poll drops away from the streak of perfect 39 scores, and not just due to de la Rosa: both Alonso and Massa have now scored points above expectations for the full season!

The entries


The Drivers' list

[b]Driver		Expect  Surprise  Beat[/b]

				 %	   %	   #

de la Rosa	 470,0	 22,2   43

Alonso		 102,8	 73,8   28

Massa		  102,7	 46,2   25

M Schumacher	93,6	 56,8   16

Fisichella	  69,6	 45,5	4

Heidfeld		64,6	 30,2   10

Coulthard	   61,8	 20,4	8

Liuzzi		  59,5	  9,1   19

Villeneuve	  55,4	 18,4   14

Räikkönen	   51,0	 35,0	0

R Schumacher	45,2	 21,3	2

Montoya		 41,9	 25,5	0

Barrichello	 34,3	 21,6	0

Button		  27,2	 17,0	0

Trulli		  27,2	 16,0	0

Rosberg		 23,4	 11,1	0

Webber		  22,0	 11,8	0

Klien		   11,9	  3,3	4
Pedro de la Rosa storms to the top of the list, as expectations on test drivers tend to be low... Alonso and Massa, however, have beaten tougher expectations to go past the 100% mark. Well done!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2006 this is 47.


Guesses on the latest points scorers:

M Schumacher	  79 [b]Alonso			96 [/b]Massa			 42 [b]R Schumacher	  13 [/b]Räikkönen		 43 [b]Fisichella		46 [/b]de la Rosa		 2 [b]Heidfeld		   13 [/b]

[b]mimin			138 [/b]armonico		 129 [b]mimin			 90 [/b]mimin			 60 [b]shays			122 [/b]panzani		  100 [b]Moanaman		   8 [/b]Xig			   42 

[b]KWSN - DSM	   111 [/b]an1res		   125 [b]an1res			70 [/b]Alapan			54 [b]dnbn			 117 [/b]Cittànuova		99 [b]an1res			 6 [/b]Alapan			40 

[b]Zawed			104 [/b]woftam		   120 [b]Cittànuova		65 [/b]kismet			45 [b]KWSN - DSM	   109 [/b]an1res			98 [b]coyoteBR		   3 [/b]turin			 36 

[b]Estwald		  103 [/b]babe			 115 [b]coyoteBR		  65 [/b]Apex			  40 [b]DeathMasteR	  108 [/b]capture_the_flag  97 [b]SeanValen		  3 [/b]Zawed			 35 

[b]Jimmino		  101 [/b]dnbn			 115 [b]Jimmino		   64 [/b]babe			  38 [b]mimin			105 [/b]coyoteBR		  91 [b]Alapan			 0 [/b]LB				34 

[b]Cittànuova	   100 [/b]skylark68		115 [b]DeathMasteR	   59 [/b]race addicted	 38 [b]SkorbiF1		 105 [/b]ray b			 91 [b]Apex			   0 [/b]race addicted	 31 

[b]Marilyn Manson   100 [/b]KWSN - DSM	   110 [b]KWSN - DSM		56 [/b]armonico		  37 [b]D82			  102 [/b]woftam			88 [b]arcsine			0 [/b]panzani		   30 

[b]SeanValen		 99 [/b]fisichella_2001  108 [b]WillieF1		  55 [/b]esorniloc		 37 [b]LB			   102 [/b]esorniloc		 87 [b]armonico		   0 [/b]Cittànuova		29 

[b]Alapan			98 [/b]Makarias		 108 [b]Alapan			53 [/b]Zawed			 37 [b]Marcel Schot	 102 [/b]Jimmino		   82 [b]babe			   0 [/b]SeanValen		 29 

[b]Makarias		  98 [/b]Marilyn Manson   105 [b]LB				53 [/b]gerry nassar	  36 [b]panzani		  100 [/b]SeanValen		 81 [b]CaptnMark		  0 [/b]Estwald		   28 

[b]Marcel Schot	  98 [/b]turin			103 [b]Marcel Schot	  53 [/b]Marcel Schot	  36 [b]Ladaman		   98 [/b]CaptnMark		 80 [b]capture_the_flag   0 [/b]Marcel Schot	  28 

[b]skylark68		 98 [/b]Estwald		  102 [b]D82			   49 [/b]Moanaman		  36 [b]StickShift		98 [/b]armonico		  78 [b]Cittànuova		 0 [/b]Moanaman		  28 

[b]coyoteBR		  96 [/b]magicalonso	  102 [b]Ric Bol		   49 [/b]WillieF1		  36 [b]WillieF1		  98 [/b]Costaz			78 [b]control			0 [/b]scheivlak		 28 

[b]WillieF1		  94 [/b]arcsine		  101 [b]SeanValen		 49 [/b]Jimmino		   35 [b]Ric Bol		   96 [/b]Marilyn Manson	78 [b]Costaz			 0 [/b]StickShift		27 

[b]shays			 92 [/b]CaptnMark		101 [b]Costaz			48 [/b]StickShift		34 [b]scheivlak		 96 [/b]Zawed			 75 [b]D82				0 [/b]armonico		  26 

[b]D82			   89 [/b]panzani		  100 [b]skylark68		 46 [/b]D82			   32 [b]TT6			   95 [/b]turin			 72 [b]DeathMasteR		0 [/b]woftam			26 

[b]DeathMasteR	   88 [/b]Ric Bol		  100 [b]TT6			   46 [/b]DeathMasteR	   31 [b]control		   91 [/b]Xig			   72 [b]dnbn			   0 [/b]ray b			 25 

[b]StickShift		88 [/b]Ladaman		   98 [b]CaptnMark		 45 [/b]arcsine		   30 [b]fisichella_2001   91 [/b]dnbn			  71 [b]esorniloc		  0 [/b]SkorbiF1		  24 

[b]TT6			   88 [/b]scheivlak		 98 [b]Makarias		  44 [/b]capture_the_flag  30 [b]kismet			91 [/b]Makarias		  70 [b]Estwald			0 [/b]WillieF1		  24 

[b]Ric Bol		   87 [/b]Alapan			95 [b]magicalonso	   43 [/b]panzani		   30 [b]Zawed			 91 [/b]Ric Bol		   70 [b]fisichella_2001	0 [/b]arcsine		   23 

[b]SkorbiF1		  86 [/b]shays			 95 [b]Estwald		   42 [/b]ray b			 30 [b]magicalonso	   90 [/b]magicalonso	   68 [b]gerry nassar	   0 [/b]gerry nassar	  22 

[b]an1res			85 [/b]SkorbiF1		  93 [b]gerry nassar	  42 [/b]Xig			   30 [b]Xig			   90 [/b]Ladaman		   65 [b]Jimmino			0 [/b]Marilyn Manson	22 

[b]Apex			  85 [/b]capture_the_flag  92 [b]SkorbiF1		  41 [/b]coyoteBR		  29 [b]windsok		   89 [/b]skylark68		 65 [b]kismet			 0 [/b]TT6			   20 

[b]esorniloc		 85 [/b]Costaz			92 [b]capture_the_flag  40 [/b]fisichella_2001   29 [b]Jimmino		   86 [/b]DeathMasteR	   64 [b]KWSN - DSM		 0 [/b]Makarias		  19 

[b]turin			 85 [/b]Jimmino		   92 [b]Moanaman		  40 [/b]scheivlak		 29 [b]Alapan			85 [/b]arcsine		   60 [b]Ladaman			0 [/b]D82			   18 

[b]Ladaman		   84 [/b]LB				92 [b]scheivlak		 40 [/b]windsok		   29 [b]Apex			  85 [/b]TT6			   60 [b]LB				 0 [/b]fisichella_2001   18 

[b]dnbn			  82 [/b]Marcel Schot	  92 [b]Ladaman		   38 [/b]Ladaman		   28 [b]CaptnMark		 85 [/b]WillieF1		  60 [b]magicalonso		0 [/b]an1res			16 

[b]scheivlak		 82 [/b]kismet			90 [b]arcsine		   35 [/b]TT6			   28 [b]Costaz			85 [/b]fisichella_2001   58 [b]Makarias		   0 [/b]capture_the_flag  16 

[b]control		   80 [/b]mimin			 90 [b]control		   35 [/b]LB				26 [b]ray b			 82 [/b]LB				58 [b]Marcel Schot	   0 [/b]esorniloc		 16 

[b]gerry nassar	  80 [/b]race addicted	 90 [b]Marilyn Manson	35 [/b]an1res			25 [b]Marilyn Manson	80 [/b]race addicted	 58 [b]Marilyn Manson	 0 [/b]magicalonso	   16 

[b]arcsine		   79 [/b]windsok		   90 [b]race addicted	 35 [/b]Cittànuova		25 [b]Moanaman		  80 [/b]control		   57 [b]mimin			  0 [/b]windsok		   16 

[b]race addicted	 78 [/b]WillieF1		  88 [b]windsok		   35 [/b]Estwald		   25 [b]gerry nassar	  77 [/b]shays			 57 [b]panzani			0 [/b]Apex			  15 

[b]magicalonso	   76 [/b]Cittànuova		87 [b]ray b			 34 [/b]Makarias		  24 [b]babe			  76 [/b]Apex			  55 [b]race addicted	  0 [/b]CaptnMark		 15 

[b]Xig			   75 [/b]Apex			  85 [b]turin			 34 [/b]Ric Bol		   23 [b]arcsine		   71 [/b]babe			  55 [b]ray b			  0 [/b]control		   15 

[b]ray b			 74 [/b]D82			   85 [b]shays			 32 [/b]SeanValen		 22 [b]an1res			70 [/b]Estwald		   53 [b]Ric Bol			0 [/b]shays			 15 

[b]CaptnMark		 71 [/b]gerry nassar	  83 [b]StickShift		32 [/b]turin			 22 [b]armonico		  70 [/b]windsok		   53 [b]scheivlak		  0 [/b]DeathMasteR	   14 

[b]Costaz			71 [/b]TT6			   83 [b]esorniloc		 31 [/b]CaptnMark		 20 [b]woftam			70 [/b]Moanaman		  51 [b]shays			  0 [/b]skylark68		 13 

[b]fisichella_2001   70 [/b]control		   81 [b]fisichella_2001   31 [/b]KWSN - DSM		20 [b]race addicted	 69 [/b]kismet			50 [b]SkorbiF1		   0 [/b]mimin			 12 

[b]kismet			70 [/b]ray b			 75 [b]Apex			  30 [/b]magicalonso	   20 [b]skylark68		 66 [/b]KWSN - DSM		50 [b]skylark68		  0 [/b]dnbn			  11 

[b]windsok		   69 [/b]StickShift		74 [b]kismet			30 [/b]shays			 20 [b]Cittànuova		65 [/b]scheivlak		 50 [b]StickShift		 0 [/b]Ladaman		   11 

[b]capture_the_flag  68 [/b]Xig			   74 [b]panzani		   30 [/b]Costaz			18 [b]SeanValen		 63 [/b]Marcel Schot	  48 [b]TT6				0 [/b]Ric Bol		   10 

[b]LB				68 [/b]coyoteBR		  73 [b]armonico		  29 [/b]SkorbiF1		  18 [b]Makarias		  62 [/b]SkorbiF1		  48 [b]turin			  0 [/b]coyoteBR		   9 

[b]babe			  65 [/b]DeathMasteR	   71 [b]Xig			   29 [/b]control		   17 [b]Estwald		   55 [/b]StickShift		46 [b]WillieF1		   0 [/b]kismet			 6 

[b]Moanaman		  64 [/b]Moanaman		  71 [b]dnbn			  15 [/b]skylark68		 16 [b]esorniloc		 52 [/b]gerry nassar	  44 [b]windsok			0 [/b]Jimmino			4 

[b]woftam			64 [/b]SeanValen		 71 [b]babe			   5 [/b]Marilyn Manson	15 [b]coyoteBR		  51 [/b]mimin			 41 [b]woftam			 0 [/b]KWSN - DSM		 4 

[b]armonico		  58 [/b]esorniloc		 67 [b]woftam			 0 [/b]dnbn			  12 [b]turin			 48 [/b]D82			   38 [b]Xig				0 [/b]babe			   0 

[b]panzani		   45 [/b]Zawed			 61 [b]Zawed			  0 [/b]woftam			 0 [b]capture_the_flag  45 [/b]Alapan			37 [b]Zawed			  0 [/b]Costaz			 0
Yep, just four players placed points on Pedro. I bet Moanaman is a bit pleased now.


The PTPC forecast
[b]Name			 Forecast[/b]

an1res		   581,5 -13,7

Cittànuova	   571,4 -24,8

Marilyn Manson   556,0 -30,6

skylark68		555,5 -26,7

mimin			553,4  -5,2

Makarias		 551,7 -22,3

Jimmino		  546,4 -24,2

WillieF1		 541,4 -23,4

Ric Bol		  540,7 -22,3

armonico		 536,7 -25,9

SeanValen		535,7 -16,1

Estwald		  534,8 -24,4

Marcel Schot	 534,6 -21,0

KWSN - DSM	   534,1 -21,9

Alapan		   533,2 -25,2

CaptnMark		528,5 -26,7

arcsine		  525,5 -23,1

magicalonso	  525,5 -23,5

TT6			  524,5 -23,7

turin			521,8 -23,0

DeathMasteR	  520,5 -23,7

shays			520,3 -26,3

Ladaman		  520,1 -23,9

coyoteBR		 517,0  -1,4

scheivlak		517,0 -22,6

SkorbiF1		 516,5 -28,7

LB			   513,2 -21,6

fisichella_2001  512,2 -22,8

race addicted	510,8 -25,4

D82			  507,2 -23,4

ray b			501,9 -26,7

Apex			 499,1 -23,9

Xig			  497,7 -19,3

gerry nassar	 497,5 -23,7

capture_the_flag 493,1 -25,7

StickShift	   491,5 -23,7

Zawed			491,5 -23,7

dnbn			 490,7 -27,7

woftam		   489,5 -34,5

windsok		  487,5 -23,3

control		  486,7 -26,3

esorniloc		486,5 -27,3

Moanaman		 485,2 -17,2

Costaz		   482,5 -27,3

panzani		  481,1 -23,9

babe			 458,5 -23,7

kismet		   450,5 -21,9

----------------------------

Popularity Poll  535,2 -23,4
Due to the changed driver situation I've locked Montoya's points at 26 for the forecast and have de la Rosa's points extrapolated from the French GP on. The result is not surprisingly very negative on the whole.
Note that coyoteBR's forecast didn't suffer all that much from this; as his entry only had 27 points on Montoya, he's looking near perfect on that one!
Another mild sufferer is mimin, who almost makes up for missed Montoya points by higher expected points totals for the Ferrari drivers.