[b]Pos Name Tot Latest [/b] 1) Alapan 156 39 = arcsine 156 39 = dnbn 156 39 = HoldenRT 156 39 = jomaizta 156 39 = kNt 156 39 = lukywill 156 39 = magicalonso 156 39 = Moanaman 156 39 = paranoik0 156 39 = race addicted 156 39 = scheivlak 156 39 = Xig 156 39 = Zawed 156 39 15) AcuraF1 155 38 = an1res 155 38 = Apex 155 38 = armonico 155 38 = control 155 38 = Costaz 155 38 = coyoteBR 155 38 = D82 155 38 = DeathMasteR 155 38 = esorniloc 155 38 = Estwald 155 38 = fisichella_2001 155 38 = Gilles4Ever 155 38 = kismet 155 38 = Kooper 155 38 = KWSN - DSM 155 38 = skylark68 155 38 = TT6 155 38 = turin 155 38 34) Crazy Canuck 154 37 = jokuvaan 154 38 = LB 154 38 = Makarias 154 37 38) meheeco 153 36 39) shays 150 33 40) mimin 146 31The number of perfect scores dropped drastically, mainly due to a certain Takuma Sato...
The entries
The Drivers' list
[b]Driver Expect Surprise Beat[/b] % % # Sato 78,4 8,3 23 Hamilton 59,3 40,5 2 Coulthard 39,1 11,4 3 Heidfeld 32,6 17,9 0 Alonso 31,5 24,3 0 Massa 30,8 19,9 0 Rosberg 30,8 11,9 1 Trulli 25,3 9,8 2 Räikkönen 21,9 15,6 0 Kubica 20,5 11,3 0 Fisichella 16,9 11,3 0 Kovalainen 6,4 3,6 0 Schumacher 5,6 2,3 0A single point for Sato is enough to put him at the top of the list so far. Britons of different generations are chasing him.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2007 this is 40.
Guesses on the latest points scorers:
Massa 27 [b]Hamilton 30 [/b]Alonso 28 [b]Kubica 8 [/b]Coulthard 4 [b]Rosberg 5 [/b]Kovalainen 3 [b]Sato 1 [/b] [b]mimin 135 [/b]AcuraF1 73 [b]lukywill 114 [/b]an1res 70 [b]race addicted 34 [/b]lukywill 41 [b]TT6 83 [/b]kNt 11 [b]Gilles4Ever 116 [/b]KWSN - DSM 70 [b]shays 114 [/b]jokuvaan 58 [b]HoldenRT 27 [/b]DeathMasteR 35 [b]jokuvaan 67 [/b]dnbn 6 [b]meheeco 112 [/b]Costaz 69 [b]an1res 108 [/b]scheivlak 56 [b]Xig 23 [/b]jokuvaan 33 [b]LB 67 [/b]HoldenRT 5 [b]paranoik0 111 [/b]LB 69 [b]armonico 106 [/b]Alapan 55 [b]coyoteBR 22 [/b]KWSN - DSM 29 [b]DeathMasteR 64 [/b]magicalonso 5 [b]skylark68 111 [/b]Makarias 66 [b]jomaizta 106 [/b]LB 55 [b]arcsine 16 [/b]coyoteBR 28 [b]an1res 61 [/b]scheivlak 5 [b]AcuraF1 109 [/b]skylark68 65 [b]turin 105 [/b]coyoteBR 53 [b]shays 16 [/b]TT6 24 [b]race addicted 60 [/b]arcsine 3 [b]turin 105 [/b]D82 64 [b]fisichella_2001 101 [/b]KWSN - DSM 51 [b]Apex 15 [/b]kNt 23 [b]esorniloc 59 [/b]jomaizta 3 [b]D82 100 [/b]DeathMasteR 61 [b]Kooper 101 [/b]mimin 50 [b]Zawed 15 [/b]Estwald 22 [b]KWSN - DSM 59 [/b]paranoik0 3 [b]jokuvaan 99 [/b]Kooper 60 [b]scheivlak 101 [/b]D82 49 [b]dnbn 14 [/b]HoldenRT 21 [b]Costaz 58 [/b]Zawed 2 [b]Moanaman 99 [/b]meheeco 60 [b]Costaz 99 [/b]Estwald 49 [b]Moanaman 14 [/b]Apex 20 [b]Kooper 58 [/b]Alapan 1 [b]Estwald 98 [/b]an1res 59 [b]skylark68 99 [/b]Moanaman 49 [b]jokuvaan 13 [/b]Costaz 20 [b]jomaizta 56 [/b]control 1 [b]jomaizta 98 [/b]armonico 58 [b]control 98 [/b]paranoik0 46 [b]LB 13 [/b]paranoik0 19 [b]Makarias 56 [/b]lukywill 1 [b]Alapan 96 [/b]fisichella_2001 56 [b]esorniloc 98 [/b]control 44 [b]skylark68 12 [/b]dnbn 18 [b]armonico 54 [/b]mimin 1 [b]Crazy Canuck 94 [/b]magicalonso 55 [b]Moanaman 96 [/b]lukywill 42 [b]TT6 11 [/b]Moanaman 18 [b]Estwald 53 [/b]Moanaman 1 [b]esorniloc 92 [/b]race addicted 55 [b]AcuraF1 95 [/b]meheeco 42 [b]an1res 10 [/b]scheivlak 18 [b]AcuraF1 52 [/b]race addicted 1 [b]magicalonso 91 [/b]TT6 55 [b]Makarias 94 [/b]Costaz 41 [b]control 10 [/b]Xig 18 [b]meheeco 52 [/b]shays 1 [b]coyoteBR 90 [/b]turin 55 [b]meheeco 94 [/b]Makarias 41 [b]turin 10 [/b]magicalonso 17 [b]arcsine 48 [/b]Xig 1 [b]kismet 90 [/b]esorniloc 53 [b]dnbn 93 [/b]kismet 40 [b]esorniloc 9 [/b]race addicted 16 [b]fisichella_2001 48 [/b]AcuraF1 0 [b]TT6 87 [/b]Estwald 52 [b]magicalonso 93 [/b]Kooper 40 [b]fisichella_2001 9 [/b]Alapan 15 [b]Gilles4Ever 48 [/b]an1res 0 [b]Costaz 86 [/b]control 50 [b]mimin 91 [/b]armonico 39 [b]kismet 9 [/b]turin 15 [b]Xig 46 [/b]Apex 0 [b]KWSN - DSM 85 [/b]Crazy Canuck 50 [b]paranoik0 91 [/b]HoldenRT 39 [b]scheivlak 9 [/b]arcsine 14 [b]kismet 45 [/b]armonico 0 [b]Kooper 82 [/b]paranoik0 50 [b]arcsine 89 [/b]kNt 39 [b]AcuraF1 8 [/b]fisichella_2001 14 [b]coyoteBR 42 [/b]Costaz 0 [b]Makarias 82 [/b]scheivlak 50 [b]kismet 89 [/b]Crazy Canuck 38 [b]armonico 8 [/b]Gilles4Ever 14 [b]scheivlak 42 [/b]coyoteBR 0 [b]fisichella_2001 81 [/b]coyoteBR 49 [b]KWSN - DSM 87 [/b]turin 37 [b]D82 7 [/b]LB 13 [b]lukywill 41 [/b]Crazy Canuck 0 [b]arcsine 80 [/b]kismet 49 [b]Zawed 87 [/b]arcsine 36 [b]DeathMasteR 7 [/b]meheeco 13 [b]Crazy Canuck 40 [/b]D82 0 [b]armonico 79 [/b]Moanaman 47 [b]LB 85 [/b]magicalonso 36 [b]magicalonso 7 [/b]jomaizta 12 [b]HoldenRT 40 [/b]DeathMasteR 0 [b]DeathMasteR 79 [/b]lukywill 46 [b]D82 83 [/b]race addicted 36 [b]Alapan 6 [/b]AcuraF1 11 [b]kNt 39 [/b]esorniloc 0 [b]shays 78 [/b]Apex 45 [b]Crazy Canuck 82 [/b]dnbn 33 [b]Costaz 6 [/b]armonico 11 [b]D82 38 [/b]Estwald 0 [b]scheivlak 77 [/b]jomaizta 44 [b]Apex 80 [/b]shays 33 [b]mimin 6 [/b]Crazy Canuck 11 [b]Moanaman 38 [/b]fisichella_2001 0 [b]dnbn 75 [/b]Gilles4Ever 43 [b]Estwald 80 [/b]AcuraF1 31 [b]jomaizta 5 [/b]D82 11 [b]skylark68 38 [/b]Gilles4Ever 0 [b]LB 74 [/b]arcsine 42 [b]HoldenRT 78 [/b]Zawed 31 [b]kNt 5 [/b]esorniloc 11 [b]Apex 35 [/b]jokuvaan 0 [b]control 72 [/b]kNt 40 [b]coyoteBR 77 [/b]skylark68 30 [b]paranoik0 5 [/b]Makarias 11 [b]dnbn 35 [/b]kismet 0 [b]lukywill 72 [/b]HoldenRT 39 [b]Gilles4Ever 77 [/b]Xig 28 [b]Estwald 4 [/b]Zawed 11 [b]turin 35 [/b]Kooper 0 [b]Xig 72 [/b]jokuvaan 39 [b]race addicted 74 [/b]esorniloc 27 [b]Gilles4Ever 4 [/b]kismet 9 [b]Alapan 34 [/b]KWSN - DSM 0 [b]Apex 70 [/b]Zawed 39 [b]TT6 71 [/b]fisichella_2001 26 [b]Kooper 4 [/b]Kooper 8 [b]magicalonso 34 [/b]LB 0 [b]race addicted 68 [/b]Alapan 36 [b]Alapan 70 [/b]jomaizta 25 [b]KWSN - DSM 4 [/b]mimin 6 [b]paranoik0 33 [/b]Makarias 0 [b]HoldenRT 67 [/b]dnbn 35 [b]DeathMasteR 70 [/b]Gilles4Ever 22 [b]lukywill 4 [/b]skylark68 6 [b]Zawed 33 [/b]meheeco 0 [b]an1res 66 [/b]Xig 33 [b]kNt 69 [/b]Apex 20 [b]Crazy Canuck 3 [/b]an1res 5 [b]mimin 31 [/b]skylark68 0 [b]Zawed 64 [/b]shays 24 [b]Xig 61 [/b]TT6 15 [b]Makarias 3 [/b]shays 5 [b]shays 25 [/b]TT6 0 [b]kNt 60 [/b]mimin 20 [b]jokuvaan 50 [/b]DeathMasteR 12 [b]meheeco 2 [/b]control 4 [b]control 20 [/b]turin 0Needless to say, I'm having serious second thoughts about DC by now. Will be interesting to see how much of kNt's brave bet on Sato that will come to use.
The PTPC forecast
[b]Name Forecast[/b] turin 527,5 0 Moanaman 523 0 AcuraF1 522,5 0 Costaz 519,5 0 meheeco 518,5 0 paranoik0 516,5 0 KWSN - DSM 511,3 0 D82 504,5 0 Estwald 503,8 0 magicalonso 498,3 0 armonico 498 0 jomaizta 498 0 Makarias 495,5 0 LB 494,8 0 Kooper 494,5 0 Gilles4Ever 488,3 0 scheivlak 486,8 0 arcsine 484,5 0 kismet 483,5 0 esorniloc 480 0 lukywill 479,8 0 Alapan 479,5 0 mimin 479,3 0 dnbn 477,8 0 skylark68 476 0 Crazy Canuck 475,5 0 fisichella_2001 475,5 0 shays 474,5 0 jokuvaan 459,5 0 Zawed 456,5 0 coyoteBR 455,3 0 race addicted 453 0 HoldenRT 452,3 0 control 450,5 0 an1res 450 0 TT6 443,8 0 Xig 443,8 0 Apex 441,5 0 kNt 435,3 0 DeathMasteR 423,3 0The forecast appears as a light in the dark, and reveals that the goings so far favour turin, who has placed a good lot of points on all the drivers from the top two teams.
Moanaman's entry in contrast scores better from the BMW team.
At the bottom of the list, players like DeathMasteR and kNt have spread much of their points to other teams such as Renault, Williams and Honda instead, which so far doesn't look like a good idea.
Meheeco leads me only because he's given Kimi the evil eye. I wonder if that is classified as cheating?
