The standings after Hungary:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Costaz 1203 93 2) Grayson 1192 91 3) Barty 1190 91 = thegforcemaybewithyou1190 91 5) scheivlak 1187 91 6) fisichella_2001 1182 89 7) Bleu 1180 89 = DutchQuicksilver 1180 88 = wattoroos 1180 91 10) sladealonso 1178 91 = SpaceHorseParty 1178 97 12) Marklar 1176 89 13) noikeee 1173 87 14) Brawn BGP 001 1170 100 15) Kev00 1167 90 = mark f1 1167 88 17) M2000-5 1165 88 18) Makarias 1157 88 19) f1paul 1152 87 20) KWSN-DSM 1131 88 21) GTA 1119 88 22) Anderis 1115 74 23) thequadge 1099 88Ten points for Sainz equals ten points missed for most of the playing field. Sprinkle some random stuff on top of that.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Kvya 128,8 51,9 17 Sain 128,4 32,4 20 Stro 87,9 43,9 10 Albo 86,6 34,8 11 Bott 86,3 68,6 4 Kubi 85,2 14,3 10 Norr 80,6 19,5 11 Hami 76,6 65,6 1 Vers 71,2 59,3 1 Räik 54,6 33,0 0 Lecl 46,0 37,6 0 Vett 45,8 40,6 0 Gasl 39,3 28,4 0 Pere 33,3 16,0 1 Magn 32,1 18,8 0 Ricc 23,7 14,7 0 Hülk 21,6 14,3 0 Gros 13,1 8,2 0 Giov 3,0 1,2 057.1% of the season has been run, so anyone above that on the Expect list looks promising to beat their expectations. Three 100% surprises coming, all from top cars?
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Verstappen Vettel Leclerc Sainz * Potential 473 * Potential 403 M2000-5 381 * Potential 355 * Potential 283 * Forecast 434 * Forecast 312 * Potential 380 sladealonso 345 Costaz 178 mark f1 377 Marklar 299 Bleu 378 Anderis 340 SpaceHorseParty 111 M2000-5 358 Makarias 292 Brawn BGP 001 374 thequadge 331 * Forecast 102 Bleu 356 Anderis 290 noikeee 365 Brawn BGP 001 322 Brawn BGP 001 88 Makarias 356 scheivlak 288 thequadge 353 f1paul 315 * Current 58 Kev00 353 f1paul 286 DutchQuicksilver351 SpaceHorseParty 312 wattoroos 49 Grayson 350 sladealonso 275 GTA 351 noikeee 310 fisichella_2001 44 thequadge 345 Kev00 270 Marklar 349 thegforcemaybewi299 thegforcemaybewi 44 GTA 340 wattoroos 268 fisichella_2001 348 Marklar 298 DutchQuicksilver 43 sladealonso 336 GTA 267 Makarias 345 fisichella_2001 297 sladealonso 43 DutchQuicksilver334 thegforcemaybewi266 Barty 342 GTA 290 f1paul 41 fisichella_2001 329 noikeee 265 Anderis 340 Barty 276 Barty 40 Barty 326 mark f1 260 Grayson 340 scheivlak 276 Grayson 40 wattoroos 326 DutchQuicksilver253 mark f1 340 mark f1 270 scheivlak 38 thegforcemaybewi317 KWSN-DSM 249 f1paul 329 Grayson 266 Makarias 37 noikeee 316 M2000-5 248 thegforcemaybewi325 Bleu 263 noikeee 36 scheivlak 315 thequadge 243 sladealonso 322 wattoroos 259 Bleu 35 KWSN-DSM 309 Brawn BGP 001 234 Kev00 321 Makarias 257 Marklar 34 f1paul 301 fisichella_2001 230 wattoroos 313 DutchQuicksilver256 M2000-5 30 Marklar 300 Bleu 226 scheivlak 311 M2000-5 251 mark f1 30 Brawn BGP 001 299 Grayson 200 KWSN-DSM 310 KWSN-DSM 250 Kev00 27 Costaz 296 SpaceHorseParty 189 Costaz 299 Kev00 242 KWSN-DSM 18 SpaceHorseParty 267 Barty 180 SpaceHorseParty 289 * Forecast 228 GTA 16 * Current 248 * Current 178 * Forecast 271 Costaz 180 Anderis 10 Anderis 238 Costaz 170 * Current 155 * Current 130 thequadge 7With no points left to score from Hamilton, Anderis will find it hard to get into the top 21 again. Vettel has no chance of becoming a 100% surprise anymore.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Gasly Räikkönen Bottas Norris Albon * Potential 286 * Potential 256 * Potential 411 * Potential 249 * Potential 241 f1paul 214 Anderis 93 * Forecast 326 Costaz 122 Costaz 45 wattoroos 179 GTA 81 Grayson 270 SpaceHorseParty 83 Barty 42 Bleu 176 KWSN-DSM 81 GTA 264 Brawn BGP 001 62 Marklar 31 Brawn BGP 001 172 Marklar 74 Kev00 255 * Forecast 42 * Forecast 28 DutchQuicksilver171 wattoroos 71 Barty 250 Barty 40 scheivlak 27 sladealonso 165 Barty 70 KWSN-DSM 248 wattoroos 36 Bleu 26 thegforcemaybewi165 Kev00 70 M2000-5 241 f1paul 34 noikeee 25 Anderis 163 scheivlak 69 mark f1 240 Kev00 33 fisichella_2001 24 noikeee 160 SpaceHorseParty 57 DutchQuicksilver238 scheivlak 31 Grayson 20 thequadge 159 fisichella_2001 55 thequadge 228 sladealonso 30 thegforcemaybewi 20 Kev00 158 noikeee 55 Bleu 224 Grayson 25 f1paul 19 M2000-5 158 DutchQuicksilver 54 fisichella_2001 208 thegforcemaybewi 25 sladealonso 16 Makarias 153 f1paul 54 thegforcemaybewi208 noikeee 24 SpaceHorseParty 16 Barty 150 * Forecast 54 Makarias 207 * Current 24 * Current 16 Grayson 150 Grayson 52 scheivlak 207 fisichella_2001 21 Anderis 15 KWSN-DSM 150 Bleu 46 sladealonso 205 Makarias 20 mark f1 15 mark f1 150 sladealonso 45 Costaz 202 Bleu 19 M2000-5 14 Marklar 148 Brawn BGP 001 43 wattoroos 201 Marklar 19 thequadge 14 GTA 140 Costaz 43 Marklar 200 DutchQuicksilver 16 Brawn BGP 001 11 scheivlak 134 thequadge 41 Brawn BGP 001 189 Anderis 15 DutchQuicksilver 11 fisichella_2001 123 mark f1 40 * Current 186 M2000-5 13 GTA 11 SpaceHorseParty 119 thegforcemaybewi 40 noikeee 173 mark f1 10 Kev00 8 Costaz 112 M2000-5 39 SpaceHorseParty 167 thequadge 6 wattoroos 7 * Forecast 107 Makarias 33 Anderis 165 KWSN-DSM 1 KWSN-DSM 5 * Current 61 * Current 31 f1paul 164 GTA 0 Makarias 3Meh.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Kev00 1784,8 5,6 mark f1 1774,0 -3,8 Grayson 1755,5 3,3 DutchQuicksilver 1748,3 2,6 scheivlak 1746,0 5,7 Makarias 1733,8 -0,8 GTA 1732,0 5,7 wattoroos 1731,3 2,7 M2000-5 1728,0 1,3 Bleu 1724,8 -0,8 sladealonso 1720,8 -0,8 Marklar 1717,0 5,1 thegforcemaybewithyou1713,8 -0,8 Barty 1704,3 7,2 fisichella_2001 1698,8 5,6 noikeee 1684,0 7,5 KWSN-DSM 1668,8 5,6 f1paul 1661,8 7,4 Costaz 1656,0 2,5 Brawn BGP 001 1651,5 4,1 thequadge 1622,0 1,3 SpaceHorseParty 1605,8 17,7 Anderis 1571,0 5,7No big changes.
Summer break! Brace yourselves!
