2019 Bingo Game - Results

A good chance to test your red/green weakness.

 

2019 Predictions (colour code, red=false, green=true, black=pending)
1. Kvyat to be replaced during the season, Verstappen wins next race
2. Bottas scores more points than Hamilton - BOT 326 HAM 413
3. The virtual WDC will change in the last 10 laps of the final race
4. Hulkenberg to beat Ricciardo(WDC position) - HÜL 14th RIC 9th
5. Every winner wins on at least 4 occasions
6. Only 4 race winners - No, 5 winners HAM BOT LEC VET VER
7. A driver wins his first F1 race - Yes, LEC at Spa
8. Rich Energy, ROKiT or Sport Pesa logos are removed (the cars to appear for at least one full race weekend without them) - Yes RichEnergy for Singapore
9. A driver is stripped of his podium after the podium ceremony (DSQ or a penalty which leaves him fourth or lower) - Yes, HAM in Brazil
10. Raikkonen finishes a race ahead of both Ferraris - Yes, in Brazil after the Ferrari clash
11. A race is won on the last lap (i.e) the lead changes on the last lap of the Grand Prix
12. Every driver who competes in a race scores points - No, RUS
13. The team of the driver who wins the WDC finishes 3rd or lower - No, HAM and Mercedes
14. Bottas will win the WDC
15. Mclaren will outscore Renault - Yes, MCL 145 REN 91
16. Mclaren will score a podium in the 1st half of the season
17. Williams will not get out of Q1 until the 7th race of the season (Canada) - Yes
18. Hulkenberg to get his first podium
19. Gasly to get a podium before Verstappen does in the new Red Bull
20. Stroll to beat Perez over a full season (WDC position)
21. A driver gets banned due to penalty points
22. There will be a race with all drivers on the podium were born in 1990s (GIO, LEC, MAG, NOR, SAI, PER, STR, GAS, VER, ALB, KVY, RUS) - Yes, VER GAS and SAI in Brazil
23. No driver will get to the Q3 in every race weekend - HAM managed to
24. Brazil with be declared a wet race before the start
25. Five teams will win minimum 1 race
26. Alfa Romeo will win at least one race
27. Verstappen to score at least as many pole positions as Hamilton - No HAM 5 VER 2
28. Verstappen to score at least as many race wins as Hamilton - No HAM 11 VER 3
29. Haas to win at least one race
30. Williams will not score any points this year - No, 1 lucky point
31. Racing Point will fire Stroll!
32. Singapore will be a safety car free race
33. Giovinazzi will outscore Raikkonen (WDC position)
34. The digital checkered flag to malfunction during a race - Happened in Japan, last lap didn't count
35. Half points will be awarded for a race
36. Vettel will spin again during the opening lap of a race
37. A driver scores at least 80% of a team's points (the team scoring at least 20 WCC points) - No, RÄI "only" achieved 75.4%
38. A team that isn't Mercedes, Ferrari or Red Bull scores at least three podium finishes
39. Someone does the grand slam - Fastest in FP1, FP2, FP3, Q1, Q2, pole position, leads every lap, fastest lap of the race and wins the Grand Prix
40. A drivers wins a race without pitting
41. The top 10 in a race is exactly two by two team-wise (for example, Mercedes 1-2, Ferrari 3-4, Red Bull 5-6, Renault 7-8, Haas 9-10)
42. A Fastest Lap of the race before lap 11 - No, earliest was lap 36
43. Less than 10 (full i.e. not virtual) Safety Cars overall during the season - No, I counted 16 in total
44. There will be a race with 3 Ferrari-powered cars on the podium
45. Mercedes will experience their longest streak yet without winning a race, since the beginning of the V6 era (longest streak is 3 from 2018) - No, a streak of 3 was the longest again for BEL ITA SIN
46. Verstappen and Hamilton will collide while running 1st and 2nd in one of the races (at least one of them retires, is forced to pit or loses track position as the effect of the collision) - No, almost https://youtu.be/wYUuF--OQs0?t=290
47. The average WCC position of Mercedes-powered teams at the end of the year will be lower than the average WCC position of teams of any other engine supplier - No MER 6 FER 6 1/3 REN 4 1/2 HON 4 1/2
48. Ocon will drive an F1 race before the end of 2019
49. Bottas will be ahead of Hamilton in WDC after 8 races, but after 16 races, Hamilton will be ahead
50. There will be a race in which at least 2 drivers outside of Ferrari, Mercedes and Red Bull will start from first two rows

So, only eight predictions turned out to be correct in the end, four of them brought to you by the Brazilian GP.
 
The spreadsheet: https://docs.google....m8A0D2-2wHc5og/
 
 

Player	                Points	Pos.	Tiebreakers			        Position after Tiebreakers
SpaceHorseParty	        5	1	6	13	15	20	20,5	1
Makarias	        5	1	6	13	20	20	20,5	2
Bleu	                5	1	6	13	20	20,5	20,5	3
Barty	                5	1	13	15	20	20,5	20,5	4
M2000-5	                4	5	6	13	17	20,5		5
Marklar	                4	5	6	13	20,5	20,5		6
f1paul	                4	5	6	15	20	20,5		7
Brawn BGP 001	        4	5	6	15	20	20,5		7
2aron	                4	5	13	15	20	20,5		9
thegforcemaybewithyou	3	10	6	13	20,5			10
Kev00	                3	10	13	20	20,5			11
Anderis	                2	12	6	13				12
Grayson	                2	12	13	20				13
KWSN - DSM	        2	12	13	20				13
Costaz	                1	15	6					15
Donkey	                4	16	6	13	20	20,5		16

 


So, multiple players managed to pick five correct predictions and would have shared first place without the tiebreakersthat indicate at what race a prediction turned true. 20,5 is the steward's decision after the Brazilian GP in case you wonder.

Any mistakes spotted? Please report them to me and I'll have a look.

Edited by thegforcemaybewithyou, 05 February 2020 - 21:00.

This was a fun game, let's do it again this year!

This was a fun game, let's do it again this year!

 

+1

 

Thank you thegforcemaybewithyou for hosting this game! It was fun to follow it and I hope it will return this season.

Nice game. Thanks for running it and looking forward for the 2020 edition.

Mat

Looking forward for this in 2020 as well.

 

Of my questions (21-23) 21 and 23 can be repeated for this edition. No 22 though, I put it only because it had not happened before last year.

Since we're dealing with unlikely predictions here, how about some changes for 2020?

- 4x5 or 5x5 grid- more answers, hopefully higher points average so it's not all about tie-breakers.

- how about different places on the grid having different pojnts multipliers for a correct answer?

- how about getting 3 out of 5 in a row or column be enough for a point bonus? To get 4 out of 4 last year was very unlikely, 3 out of 5 seems like a more realistic target to aim for

example:

 

outer columns and rows (highlited) would give you bonus points for getting at least 3 out of 5 answers right but the inner places on the grid would pay more points for a single answer, so it's a tactical choice where you put things that you think are most likely to happen.

It's just a general idea, details can be changed freely.

I hope it doesn't sound too complciated.

Way too complex, should be a fun and easy guessing game not a mathematical enterprise.

 

 

 

I also thought about some changes to the grid and my preferred idea would be to go for two 3x3 grids that overlap in one cell. You would have 3 rows, 3 columns and two diagonals in each grid and one super-diagonal(1-5-9-13-17 below) going through both grids. Edit: And maybe also a super-row(7 to 11) and super-column(3-6-9-12-15).

|  1 |  2 |  3 |
|  4 |  5 |  6 |
|  7 |  8 |  9 | 10 | 11 |
          | 12 | 13 | 14 |
          | 15 | 16 | 17 |
        

Edited by thegforcemaybewithyou, 28 February 2020 - 12:18.

I like the grid pointed up above. Three in a row is easier to do than four, then we need some more for bonuses.

 

1 point for correct answer

6 bonus points for normal column or row

15 bonus points for super column, row or diagonal

 

Bonus points might be changed but the idea is something like that.

Edited by Bleu, 01 March 2020 - 09:32.

Is this going ahead? If the formula is similar to last year, we need some time to post our unlikely predictions to create a list to choose from.

Edited by Anderis, 07 March 2020 - 19:18.