2020 final standings after Abu Dhabi:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) SpaceHorseParty 1455 56 2) M2000-5 1425 48 3) scheivlak 1408 50 4) Brawn BGP 001 1407 53 5) jjcale 1401 56 6) KWSN-DSM 1389 36 7) Kev00 1367 55 8) GTA 1346 55 9) thegforcemaybewithyou1336 55 10) Makarias 1334 55 11) mark f1 1333 50 12) DutchQuicksilver 1331 55 13) f1paul 1317 37 = fisichella_2001 1317 43 15) Bleu 1311 55 16) Marklar 1304 55 17) thequadge 1273 46Congratulations to 2020 champion SpaceHorseParty
for a great win! Up from 22nd last year.Congratulations also to runner-up M2000-5
Who was 12th last year,and to third place finisher scheivlak
who was the 2013 champion and now finishes on the podium for the fifth time!Abu Dhabi scores went up to more normal levels after the Sakhir oddity. A popular score of 55 is Verstappen + Bottas + Albon.
All 17 players will score points in the 2020 Supercup.
The entries
PTPC Hall of Fame
Year WDC Game Pl Winner AD Points Win % # 2000 442 365 82.58 14 jack and gilles 2001 442 364 82.35 69 MrT, tacololo 2002 442 376 85.07 46 smarty 2003 624 537 86.06 41 arcsine 2004 702 554 78.98 48 Pioneer 2005 741 595 80.30 49 KWSN-DSM 2006 702 592 84.33 47 an1res 2007 663 563 84.92 40 turin 2008 702 597 85.04 39 AcuraF1 2009 731 518 70.86 29 D82 2010 1919 1674 87.23 34 Costaz 2011 1919 1664 86.71 25 Crazy Canuck 2012 2020 1706 84.46 28 Costaz 2013 1919 1656 86.29 27 scheivlak 2014 1919 1602 83.48 30 noikeee 2015 1919 1710 89.11* 25 mark f1 2016 2121 1751 82.56 25 Brawn BGP 001 2017 2020 1861 92.13 22 Kev00 2018 2121 1943 91.61 25 thegforcemaybewithyou 2019 2121 1791 84.41 23 mark f1 2020 1717 1455 84.74 17 SpaceHorseParty*2020 points in the guesses
The lowest number of entrants in the game after the inaugural season. The whole B&G subforum has been quieter this year.
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Hülk INF 1000,0 17 Gasl 235,7 147,1 17 Ricc 213,6 153,9 17 Norr 182,3 111,8 17 Stro 176,3 87,2 15 Pere 163,0 112,6 17 Sain 152,2 109,5 17 Ocon 151,2 108,8 17 Kvya 151,1 84,2 16 Hami 116,2 106,2 17 Bott 96,6 74,9 8 Vers 86,5 69,6 1 Russ 79,1 22,2 7 Albo 72,0 56,1 0 Lecl 51,3 36,0 0 Giov 39,8 20,0 0 Gros 24,6 12,5 1 Vett 19,5 16,0 0 Räik 18,3 10,0 0 Magn 7,5 2,4 0 Lati 0,0 0,0 0Alpha Tauri, Renault, McLaren and Racing Point all had both of their drivers clearly above expectation this season, so those are the teams that did better than expected this year.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Bottas Hamilton Albon Norris Bleu 302 Kev00 294 * Potential 341 SpaceHorseParty 186 * Potential 95 Marklar 289 jjcale 254 * Forecast 341 f1paul 184 * Forecast 95 M2000-5 260 SpaceHorseParty 252 * Current 341 Marklar 173 * Current 95 Brawn BGP 001 257 DutchQuicksilver247 Makarias 320 KWSN-DSM 158 M2000-5 84 f1paul 251 GTA 236 thegforcemaybewi317 M2000-5 157 Brawn BGP 001 68 thequadge 249 Marklar 236 GTA 315 GTA 155 f1paul 63 GTA 247 Makarias 233 jjcale 313 Makarias 148 scheivlak 62 scheivlak 243 Bleu 232 Brawn BGP 001 312 Bleu 143 Bleu 59 fisichella_2001 242 thegforcemaybewi224 M2000-5 311 mark f1 143 SpaceHorseParty 58 DutchQuicksilver237 * Potential 221 DutchQuicksilver310 Kev00 141 KWSN-DSM 57 mark f1 232 * Forecast 221 KWSN-DSM 307 fisichella_2001 134 Kev00 50 SpaceHorseParty 232 * Current 221 SpaceHorseParty 296 Brawn BGP 001 132 fisichella_2001 49 Makarias 230 Brawn BGP 001 219 scheivlak 290 DutchQuicksilver131 GTA 46 Kev00 225 mark f1 216 Bleu 285 scheivlak 128 mark f1 46 thegforcemaybewi224 scheivlak 216 Kev00 285 thequadge 127 thequadge 46 jjcale 215 M2000-5 214 Marklar 283 thegforcemaybewi124 Makarias 42 * Potential 211 thequadge 212 fisichella_2001 282 jjcale 114 Marklar 40 * Forecast 211 fisichella_2001 209 mark f1 282 * Potential 105 DutchQuicksilver 39 * Current 211 KWSN-DSM 200 f1paul 242 * Forecast 105 jjcale 39 KWSN-DSM 210 f1paul 196 thequadge 240 * Current 105 thegforcemaybewi 38Verstappen ends up beating a single guess right at the finale, but KWSN-DSM's guess is still the best one there. Bottas beats a few guesses to end up in the middle of the list.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Sainz Ricciardo Gasly Ocon Stroll * Potential 104 * Potential 117 * Potential 75 * Potential 62 SpaceHorseParty 85 * Forecast 104 * Forecast 117 * Forecast 75 * Forecast 62 jjcale 78 * Current 104 * Current 117 * Current 75 * Current 62 * Potential 75 Brawn BGP 001 94 f1paul 75 scheivlak 50 f1paul 56 * Forecast 75 M2000-5 92 thequadge 71 thegforcemaybewi 46 Brawn BGP 001 49 * Current 75 f1paul 84 SpaceHorseParty 68 Kev00 39 KWSN-DSM 49 Kev00 65 fisichella_2001 81 Brawn BGP 001 66 KWSN-DSM 39 scheivlak 49 M2000-5 53 Bleu 79 scheivlak 63 jjcale 36 thequadge 49 KWSN-DSM 51 scheivlak 73 KWSN-DSM 60 mark f1 35 SpaceHorseParty 48 GTA 50 SpaceHorseParty 72 fisichella_2001 56 GTA 34 mark f1 46 mark f1 43 Kev00 71 Makarias 54 fisichella_2001 32 Marklar 44 thegforcemaybewi 39 KWSN-DSM 69 mark f1 54 SpaceHorseParty 32 fisichella_2001 43 scheivlak 36 Marklar 61 Marklar 52 thequadge 32 DutchQuicksilver 42 Brawn BGP 001 34 Makarias 59 M2000-5 51 DutchQuicksilver 30 Bleu 38 DutchQuicksilver 33 mark f1 58 Bleu 48 Brawn BGP 001 28 M2000-5 37 fisichella_2001 31 thequadge 58 thegforcemaybewi 48 M2000-5 26 Kev00 33 Makarias 31 GTA 56 DutchQuicksilver 45 f1paul 23 Makarias 32 Marklar 30 DutchQuicksilver 53 GTA 45 Marklar 23 jjcale 30 f1paul 29 jjcale 52 Kev00 40 Makarias 22 thegforcemaybewi 29 thequadge 26 thegforcemaybewi 50 jjcale 35 Bleu 14 GTA 23 Bleu 9Almost no points added to the scores from these five guys this race.
The PTPC forecast after Sakhir
Name Forecast +/- SpaceHorseParty 1442,5 -18,3 M2000-5 1414,2 -19,6 scheivlak 1399,1 -13,0 Brawn BGP 001 1393,0 -20,4 jjcale 1388,1 -16,8 KWSN-DSM 1379,3 -18,6 Kev00 1351,0 -30,6 GTA 1330,0 -28,6 mark f1 1322,1 -18,9 thegforcemaybewithyou1320,0 -26,5 Makarias 1318,0 -29,6 DutchQuicksilver 1315,1 -28,5 fisichella_2001 1306,4 -18,6 f1paul 1306,3 -10,4 Bleu 1295,0 -30,6 Marklar 1288,0 -28,6 thequadge 1262,4 -17,2Verstappen's win helped the final scores up above the final forecast.
The best guesses on each driver
X # ! Y Hami 341 320 Makarias Bott 221 219 Brawn BGP 001 Vers 211 210 KWSN-DSM Pere 125 110 jjcale Ricc 117 75 f1paul Albo 105 114 jjcale Sain 104 94 Brawn BGP 001 Lecl 98 145 SpaceHorseParty Norr 95 84 M2000-5 Gasl 75 50 scheivlak Stro 75 78 jjcale Ocon 62 56 f1paul Vett 33 80 SpaceHorseParty Kvya 32 31 thegforcemaybewithyou Giov 4 5 M2000-5 Räik 4 8 Marklar Gros 2 2 M2000-5, SpaceHorseParty Russ 2 2 f1paul, GTA, Marklar Magn 1 2 Brawn BGP 001 Lati 0 0 10 playersf1paul, M2000-5 and SpaceHorseParty all appearing four times here as they guessed Latifi right too.
Note that
a) the entries were scaled so you probably don't recognize your own entries and
b) FL points don't count in this game.
Reality check on some of our predictions
Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team Pred Off Merc 522 + 42 RBR 390 - 74 Ferr 360 -229 McLa 120 + 79 RPoi 119 + 76 Rena 96 + 83 ATau 53 + 54 Alfa 32 - 28 Haas 21 - 18 Will 4 - 4Aside from Ferrari's annus horribilis, the three backmarker teams also had a tough year.
Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner Owned Comment <- = -> Pere 17 0 0 Stro Correct Ricc 17 0 0 Ocon Correct Sain 17 0 0 Norr Correct (but pretty close) Vers 17 0 0 Albo Correct Gasl 16 0 1 Kvya Correct Hami 16 0 1 Bott Correct Magn 16 0 1 Gros Wrong Räik 16 0 1 Giov Wrong (draw) Lecl 13 1 3 Vett Correct Russ 12 5 0 Lati Correct (Russell scored points... But not in the Williams.)
The 2020 season is over, as is this post. You can all go to bed now, see you again in 2021!
