The standings after Azerbaijan:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Everyone 606 101I'm in the lead and it feels good.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Norr 50,3 35,5 0 Sain 42,9 30,9 0 Gasl 42,0 30,7 0 Lecl 37,5 24,6 0 Vers 28,2 23,6 0 Pere 28,1 24,3 0 Vett 26,6 19,4 0 Hami 25,3 23,1 0 Bott 17,1 14,5 0 Tsun 16,6 9,5 0 Ocon 15,9 10,8 0 Ricc 15,3 12,9 0 Stro 11,9 8,9 0 Alon 11,6 8,2 0 Giov 11,4 3,8 0 Räik 8,5 2,4 0Kimi scored a point! It's party time, dudes!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Perez Vettel Gasly Leclerc Norris * Potential 494 * Potential 453 * Potential 456 * Potential 477 * Potential 491 Brawn BGP 001 283 DutchQuicksilver143 * Forecast 119 GTA 210 * Forecast 253 noikeee 276 jjcale 131 KWSN-DSM 100 * Forecast 199 M2000-5 185 f1paul 268 Makarias 122 mark f1 100 Anderis 167 Brawn BGP 001 164 GTA 265 thegforcemaybewi120 scheivlak 89 Bleu 156 Makarias 146 * Forecast 265 f1paul 119 DutchQuicksilver 88 Makarias 147 Grayson 140 Grayson 260 Marklar 118 sladealonso 85 SpaceHorseParty 145 jjcale 136 scheivlak 260 mark f1 115 Brawn BGP 001 83 Brawn BGP 001 143 noikeee 134 Bleu 258 Bleu 112 thegforcemaybewi 80 Marklar 141 Marklar 132 Marklar 253 sladealonso 110 Marklar 79 sladealonso 141 sladealonso 132 thegforcemaybewi250 Brawn BGP 001 109 noikeee 71 thegforcemaybewi140 f1paul 131 M2000-5 244 * Forecast 107 GTA 70 DutchQuicksilver135 mark f1 130 mark f1 238 M2000-5 105 f1paul 68 scheivlak 135 DutchQuicksilver126 SpaceHorseParty 238 Anderis 104 Makarias 68 Grayson 130 SpaceHorseParty 125 DutchQuicksilver234 KWSN-DSM 100 SpaceHorseParty 65 noikeee 130 Bleu 121 sladealonso 232 noikeee 99 M2000-5 63 jjcale 126 GTA 119 KWSN-DSM 224 scheivlak 90 Grayson 60 KWSN-DSM 125 Anderis 116 Makarias 222 SpaceHorseParty 75 Bleu 57 mark f1 120 scheivlak 115 jjcale 217 Grayson 60 jjcale 54 M2000-5 103 thegforcemaybewi110 Anderis 203 GTA 60 Anderis 49 f1paul 100 KWSN-DSM 100 * Current 69 * Current 28 * Current 31 * Current 52 * Current 66After a rough start to the season, the last two races has put Vettel in a much better place.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Alonso Tsunoda Sainz Ricciardo Räikkönen * Potential 438 * Potential 433 * Potential 467 * Potential 451 * Potential 426 Makarias 157 scheivlak 83 * Forecast 161 Brawn BGP 001 201 GTA 40 jjcale 146 KWSN-DSM 80 GTA 135 KWSN-DSM 200 Marklar 20 thegforcemaybewi140 Marklar 75 thegforcemaybewi120 Marklar 192 scheivlak 17 Grayson 130 noikeee 70 Grayson 110 Makarias 181 DutchQuicksilver 15 Anderis 126 Grayson 50 Makarias 107 mark f1 175 Anderis 14 sladealonso 125 mark f1 50 M2000-5 106 scheivlak 175 f1paul 14 mark f1 115 thegforcemaybewi 50 Anderis 105 sladealonso 174 Bleu 13 SpaceHorseParty 115 Makarias 46 Bleu 100 M2000-5 169 sladealonso 12 DutchQuicksilver112 Anderis 45 KWSN-DSM 100 f1paul 165 Brawn BGP 001 10 M2000-5 112 SpaceHorseParty 43 mark f1 100 GTA 165 noikeee 10 Bleu 108 sladealonso 42 noikeee 100 Bleu 162 KWSN-DSM 8 noikeee 103 GTA 40 SpaceHorseParty 100 jjcale 162 Grayson 7 KWSN-DSM 100 f1paul 39 jjcale 94 DutchQuicksilver161 jjcale 6 Marklar 99 Brawn BGP 001 34 scheivlak 90 Grayson 160 M2000-5 6 Brawn BGP 001 93 DutchQuicksilver 34 f1paul 89 Anderis 156 SpaceHorseParty 6 GTA 90 M2000-5 33 sladealonso 80 noikeee 155 mark f1 5 scheivlak 85 * Forecast 31 DutchQuicksilver 79 SpaceHorseParty 150 thegforcemaybewi 5 f1paul 56 Bleu 28 Brawn BGP 001 77 thegforcemaybewi150 Makarias 4 * Forecast 50 jjcale 24 Marklar 71 * Forecast 100 * Forecast 4 * Current 13 * Current 8 * Current 42 * Current 26 * Current 1Ricciardo really needs to find his feet at McLaren soon.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Brawn BGP 001 2039,3 129,3 M2000-5 2022,3 88,7 GTA 2018,2 56,2 Bleu 2003,5 104,3 noikeee 1994,8 103,0 scheivlak 1994,3 101,5 thegforcemaybewithyou1976,3 106,1 Makarias 1969,7 57,1 f1paul 1967,8 35,8 KWSN-DSM 1957,8 92,0 mark f1 1955,7 103,9 sladealonso 1942,7 78,9 SpaceHorseParty 1938,3 24,1 Marklar 1935,2 107,4 jjcale 1932,0 33,8 Grayson 1930,3 31,7 DutchQuicksilver 1919,7 94,9 Anderis 1867,3 1,1A huge boost for most forecasts, as Both Perez' and Vettel's forecasts improved by over 60 points.