The standings after Turkey:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Makarias 1551 85 2) mark f1 1545 88 = noikeee 1545 83 = thegforcemaybewithyou1545 93 5) Grayson 1543 83 6) GTA 1542 86 7) Brawn BGP 001 1539 96 8) M2000-5 1538 77 9) scheivlak 1529 91 10) sladealonso 1527 91 11) KWSN-DSM 1526 91 12) jjcale 1523 83 13) SpaceHorseParty 1522 83 14) DutchQuicksilver 1521 91 15) Marklar 1519 89 16) Bleu 1514 83 17) Anderis 1509 83 18) f1paul 1481 70I'm enjoying it while it lasts!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Lati 757,9 114,3 18 Russ 671,6 227,3 18 Sain 124,8 90,0 17 Norr 114,8 80,9 16 Gasl 109,0 79,4 11 Lecl 89,0 58,4 3 Vers 75,8 63,3 0 Hami 69,0 63,1 0 Ocon 68,0 46,2 3 Bott 67,7 57,0 0 Ricc 61,1 51,3 0 Pere 57,4 49,6 0 Alon 54,2 38,4 1 Räik 53,2 15,4 3 Vett 39,8 29,0 0 Tsun 39,2 22,5 0 Stro 36,0 26,8 0 Giov 11,7 4,0 0Pierre Gasly makes it past his expectation mark!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Bottas Verstappen Perez Leclerc Hamilton * Potential 320 f1paul 421 * Potential 285 * Potential 268 * Potential 408 Anderis 297 * Potential 417 Brawn BGP 001 271 GTA 201 Anderis 408 f1paul 287 Brawn BGP 001 384 noikeee 264 * Forecast 162 f1paul 407 Grayson 287 M2000-5 379 f1paul 256 Anderis 160 Grayson 392 DutchQuicksilver286 scheivlak 378 GTA 254 Bleu 149 GTA 392 sladealonso 272 KWSN-DSM 373 Grayson 249 Makarias 141 SpaceHorseParty 392 Marklar 270 Bleu 370 scheivlak 249 SpaceHorseParty 139 jjcale 387 SpaceHorseParty 268 jjcale 367 Bleu 247 Brawn BGP 001 137 Makarias 377 jjcale 262 * Forecast 367 Marklar 242 Marklar 135 sladealonso 376 mark f1 249 noikeee 360 thegforcemaybewi239 sladealonso 135 mark f1 372 noikeee 248 SpaceHorseParty 354 M2000-5 233 thegforcemaybewi134 scheivlak 368 Brawn BGP 001 241 Marklar 345 mark f1 227 DutchQuicksilver129 noikeee 366 thegforcemaybewi239 thegforcemaybewi344 SpaceHorseParty 227 scheivlak 129 DutchQuicksilver365 scheivlak 235 Makarias 337 DutchQuicksilver224 Grayson 124 M2000-5 365 Bleu 234 Grayson 335 sladealonso 222 noikeee 124 Bleu 362 * Forecast 234 GTA 335 KWSN-DSM 214 jjcale 121 KWSN-DSM 361 KWSN-DSM 215 sladealonso 330 Makarias 212 KWSN-DSM 119 * Forecast 355 M2000-5 213 mark f1 325 jjcale 208 * Current 118 thegforcemaybewi354 GTA 210 DutchQuicksilver316 Anderis 194 mark f1 115 Brawn BGP 001 348 Makarias 208 Anderis 290 * Forecast 186 M2000-5 99 Marklar 335 * Current 170 * Current 267 * Current 135 f1paul 96 * Current 258Verstappen and Hamilton are out of the 100% surprise race.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Gasly Norris Sainz Stroll Ocon * Potential 227 * Potential 294 * Potential 267 * Potential 176 * Potential 199 * Forecast 106 * Forecast 198 * Forecast 161 SpaceHorseParty 96 thegforcemaybewi105 KWSN-DSM 96 M2000-5 177 GTA 129 Anderis 92 noikeee 97 mark f1 96 Brawn BGP 001 157 * Current 117 DutchQuicksilver 92 Bleu 91 scheivlak 85 * Current 144 thegforcemaybewi115 M2000-5 87 SpaceHorseParty 91 DutchQuicksilver 84 Makarias 140 Grayson 105 mark f1 86 M2000-5 90 sladealonso 81 Grayson 134 Makarias 102 jjcale 85 Grayson 86 Brawn BGP 001 79 jjcale 130 M2000-5 101 Bleu 84 Anderis 78 thegforcemaybewi 77 noikeee 128 Anderis 100 KWSN-DSM 81 KWSN-DSM 76 * Current 77 Marklar 126 Bleu 96 sladealonso 80 mark f1 76 Marklar 75 sladealonso 126 KWSN-DSM 96 Makarias 75 DutchQuicksilver 73 noikeee 68 f1paul 125 mark f1 96 GTA 62 Makarias 72 GTA 67 mark f1 124 noikeee 96 f1paul 59 * Forecast 67 f1paul 65 DutchQuicksilver120 SpaceHorseParty 96 thegforcemaybewi 59 sladealonso 65 Makarias 65 SpaceHorseParty 119 jjcale 90 scheivlak 58 Marklar 62 SpaceHorseParty 62 Bleu 116 scheivlak 86 Grayson 57 scheivlak 58 M2000-5 60 GTA 114 f1paul 85 Marklar 57 jjcale 56 Grayson 57 Anderis 111 sladealonso 77 Brawn BGP 001 52 * Current 49 Bleu 55 scheivlak 110 DutchQuicksilver 76 noikeee 38 GTA 48 jjcale 52 thegforcemaybewi105 Brawn BGP 001 74 * Forecast 36 Brawn BGP 001 41 Anderis 47 KWSN-DSM 96 Marklar 68 * Current 26 f1paul 33Gasly, Norris and Sainz all in line for 100% surprises.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- M2000-5 1970,6 -19,4 Brawn BGP 001 1970,5 12,8 Bleu 1967,6 2,6 noikeee 1966,5 -1,1 scheivlak 1961,3 7,9 thegforcemaybewithyou1957,5 10,6 SpaceHorseParty 1950,3 1,7 KWSN-DSM 1949,6 -14,6 GTA 1946,6 -10,7 mark f1 1942,3 -0,5 Makarias 1938,5 -21,6 Grayson 1938,3 0,1 jjcale 1933,1 5,9 sladealonso 1931,1 1,9 Marklar 1911,4 10,9 DutchQuicksilver 1910,5 -1,1 Anderis 1896,5 3,4 f1paul 1863,5 9,2This is getting interesting.
