The standings after Hungary:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Brawn BGP 001 1307 101 2) jjcale 1301 101 3) noikeee 1287 95 4) KWSN-DSM 1284 101 5) DutchQuicksilver 1283 101 6) Anderis 1282 101 7) F1frog 1277 101 8) SpaceHorseParty 1276 101 9) mark f1 1271 101 10) Grayson 1268 101 11) Makarias 1265 101 12) Bleu 1261 101 13) scheivlak 1257 101 14) GTA 1256 99 15) f1paul 1234 99A few points missed from the Alpine drivers. Alonso beats noikeee and that's fun!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bott 208,9 93,6 14 Zhou 111,9 31,3 10 Ocon 87,5 54,5 3 Pere 77,8 61,5 0 Magn 73,6 22,6 8 Russ 73,0 53,9 0 Vers 69,8 58,9 0 Lecl 61,1 42,6 0 Sain 60,9 40,7 0 Alon 56,7 33,9 1 Schu 53,4 14,0 9 Hami 51,9 38,5 0 Norr 47,9 37,8 0 Vett 32,7 15,1 0 Tsun 31,1 16,2 1 Albo 30,4 7,7 5 Gasl 18,7 12,7 0 Ricc 14,3 11,0 0 Stro 11,2 3,9 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Hamilton Russell Sainz Perez * Potential 464 Grayson 370 * Potential 378 * Potential 368 * Potential 386 Anderis 405 * Potential 368 F1frog 283 SpaceHorseParty 350 * Forecast 272 * Forecast 404 scheivlak 328 * Forecast 259 f1paul 278 Anderis 261 SpaceHorseParty 401 F1frog 320 f1paul 243 Brawn BGP 001 277 KWSN-DSM 225 noikeee 395 Makarias 312 Makarias 243 GTA 270 Makarias 222 Makarias 374 DutchQuicksilver311 mark f1 240 DutchQuicksilver247 jjcale 218 Grayson 360 mark f1 310 DutchQuicksilver236 * Forecast 242 GTA 210 scheivlak 360 noikeee 282 jjcale 230 jjcale 231 f1paul 209 DutchQuicksilver358 jjcale 271 scheivlak 225 noikeee 230 mark f1 204 f1paul 358 Brawn BGP 001 267 Grayson 220 Anderis 228 Bleu 201 mark f1 350 GTA 261 noikeee 202 Bleu 221 noikeee 201 Brawn BGP 001 346 f1paul 258 Bleu 186 F1frog 211 Brawn BGP 001 200 GTA 335 Bleu 245 GTA 180 Grayson 205 scheivlak 200 KWSN-DSM 310 * Forecast 242 KWSN-DSM 175 Makarias 205 F1frog 198 F1frog 265 KWSN-DSM 225 Anderis 165 mark f1 200 DutchQuicksilver191 Bleu 264 SpaceHorseParty 190 SpaceHorseParty 160 KWSN-DSM 185 SpaceHorseParty 186 jjcale 256 Anderis 185 Brawn BGP 001 155 scheivlak 185 Grayson 180 * Current 239 * Current 143 * Current 153 * Current 143 * Current 161Hamilton can no longer live up to Grayson's lofty expectations and cannot be a 100% surprise.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Leclerc Norris Alonso Ocon Vettel * Potential 386 * Potential 296 * Potential 266 * Potential 280 * Potential 241 GTA 377 jjcale 187 Bleu 120 Anderis 100 Anderis 105 f1paul 320 Bleu 182 Anderis 100 Bleu 100 f1paul 60 SpaceHorseParty 310 F1frog 177 Brawn BGP 001 89 * Forecast 93 KWSN-DSM 60 Brawn BGP 001 306 Brawn BGP 001 175 KWSN-DSM 80 KWSN-DSM 80 DutchQuicksilver 51 * Forecast 272 Makarias 163 mark f1 80 scheivlak 70 scheivlak 50 Anderis 271 SpaceHorseParty 160 scheivlak 80 jjcale 68 Bleu 48 noikeee 267 Grayson 150 DutchQuicksilver 79 SpaceHorseParty 65 Grayson 45 Bleu 260 KWSN-DSM 150 * Forecast 69 Brawn BGP 001 64 F1frog 44 scheivlak 260 mark f1 150 Makarias 66 DutchQuicksilver 63 jjcale 44 DutchQuicksilver256 scheivlak 140 Grayson 65 Grayson 60 Brawn BGP 001 41 F1frog 240 DutchQuicksilver126 SpaceHorseParty 65 mark f1 60 Makarias 41 jjcale 240 f1paul 125 F1frog 62 F1frog 58 mark f1 40 mark f1 230 GTA 121 GTA 58 Makarias 57 noikeee 39 Grayson 210 * Forecast 120 f1paul 52 * Current 55 SpaceHorseParty 35 Makarias 206 noikeee 113 jjcale 52 noikeee 38 GTA 30 KWSN-DSM 199 Anderis 105 * Current 41 GTA 37 * Forecast 27 * Current 161 * Current 71 noikeee 37 f1paul 23 * Current 16He's had a good run so far, but I don't think Ocon needs to score any more points this season.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- DutchQuicksilver 1947,2 9,7 noikeee 1934,1 4,1 Anderis 1932,9 4,1 f1paul 1904,2 0,6 Brawn BGP 001 1897,0 3,7 Makarias 1876,8 6,8 SpaceHorseParty 1873,5 -5,3 GTA 1870,8 -4,2 scheivlak 1867,2 7,9 mark f1 1865,2 7,9 jjcale 1861,8 1,3 Grayson 1812,3 5,6 F1frog 1810,8 12,3 Bleu 1796,3 3,8 KWSN-DSM 1776,2 -10,0Very minor changes.