The standings after Miami:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) jjcale 505 101 2) noikeee 504 100 3) Brawn BGP 001 503 100 4) F1frog 500 101 5) Anderis 499 99 6) DutchQuicksilver 493 95 = mark f1 493 95 8) KWSN-DSM 492 95 9) f1paul 487 93 10) Bleu 486 95 = GTA 486 95 12) SpaceHorseParty 484 93 13) Grayson 483 95 = scheivlak 483 95 15) Makarias 482 95Only jjcale left now with a perfect 505 points. All things move toward their end.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bott 132,9 59,6 10 Magn 54,3 16,7 7 Ocon 38,2 23,8 1 Lecl 35,7 24,9 0 Albo 30,4 7,7 5 Pere 29,0 22,9 0 Tsun 28,3 14,7 0 Russ 28,2 20,8 0 Zhou 22,4 6,3 3 Vers 21,9 18,5 0 Norr 20,9 16,5 0 Sain 20,4 13,7 0 Hami 13,1 9,7 0 Vett 8,2 3,8 0 Ricc 7,2 5,5 0 Gasl 7,0 4,8 0 Stro 5,6 1,9 0 Alon 2,8 1,7 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Leclerc Sainz Perez Russell * Potential 500 * Potential 519 * Potential 473 * Potential 485 * Potential 484 Anderis 405 * Forecast 414 SpaceHorseParty 350 * Forecast 264 F1frog 283 SpaceHorseParty 401 GTA 377 f1paul 278 Anderis 261 * Forecast 260 noikeee 395 f1paul 320 Brawn BGP 001 277 KWSN-DSM 225 f1paul 243 Makarias 374 SpaceHorseParty 310 GTA 270 Makarias 222 Makarias 243 Grayson 360 Brawn BGP 001 306 DutchQuicksilver247 jjcale 218 mark f1 240 scheivlak 360 Anderis 271 jjcale 231 GTA 210 DutchQuicksilver236 DutchQuicksilver358 noikeee 267 noikeee 230 f1paul 209 jjcale 230 f1paul 358 Bleu 260 Anderis 228 mark f1 204 scheivlak 225 mark f1 350 scheivlak 260 Bleu 221 Bleu 201 Grayson 220 Brawn BGP 001 346 DutchQuicksilver256 * Forecast 211 noikeee 201 noikeee 202 GTA 335 F1frog 240 F1frog 211 Brawn BGP 001 200 Bleu 186 * Forecast 330 jjcale 240 Grayson 205 scheivlak 200 GTA 180 KWSN-DSM 310 mark f1 230 Makarias 205 F1frog 198 KWSN-DSM 175 F1frog 265 Grayson 210 mark f1 200 DutchQuicksilver191 Anderis 165 Bleu 264 Makarias 206 KWSN-DSM 185 SpaceHorseParty 186 SpaceHorseParty 160 jjcale 256 KWSN-DSM 199 scheivlak 185 Grayson 180 Brawn BGP 001 155 * Current 75 * Current 94 * Current 48 * Current 60 * Current 59Russell is doing a great job of staying in contention while waiting for his car to get sorted out.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Hamilton Bottas Ocon Albon Stroll * Potential 461 * Potential 453 * Potential 449 * Potential 428 * Potential 427 Grayson 370 * Forecast 123 * Forecast 106 F1frog 38 Anderis 102 scheivlak 328 Brawn BGP 001 46 Anderis 100 jjcale 28 Bleu 42 F1frog 320 noikeee 40 Bleu 100 KWSN-DSM 15 f1paul 41 Makarias 312 F1frog 32 KWSN-DSM 80 * Forecast 13 Grayson 40 DutchQuicksilver311 jjcale 32 scheivlak 70 Bleu 12 KWSN-DSM 40 mark f1 310 Anderis 30 jjcale 68 scheivlak 12 scheivlak 38 noikeee 282 * Current 28 SpaceHorseParty 65 Grayson 10 DutchQuicksilver 34 jjcale 271 mark f1 20 Brawn BGP 001 64 mark f1 10 jjcale 34 Brawn BGP 001 267 DutchQuicksilver 16 DutchQuicksilver 63 GTA 7 mark f1 30 GTA 261 Bleu 15 Grayson 60 DutchQuicksilver 6 SpaceHorseParty 30 f1paul 258 Grayson 15 mark f1 60 Makarias 3 noikeee 25 Bleu 245 KWSN-DSM 15 F1frog 58 * Current 3 F1frog 24 KWSN-DSM 225 scheivlak 14 Makarias 57 Brawn BGP 001 2 GTA 24 SpaceHorseParty 190 f1paul 12 noikeee 38 f1paul 2 Makarias 22 Anderis 185 GTA 10 GTA 37 noikeee 2 Brawn BGP 001 12 * Forecast 158 SpaceHorseParty 10 * Current 24 Anderis 1 * Forecast 9 * Current 36 Makarias 9 f1paul 23 SpaceHorseParty 0 * Current 2
The PTPC forecast
Here it comes:
Name Forecast +/- GTA 1817,4 71,9 f1paul 1778,4 70,4 noikeee 1759,4 58,9 Anderis 1751,4 70,4 DutchQuicksilver 1744,4 70,9 jjcale 1742,4 -12,1 Brawn BGP 001 1741,8 36,3 scheivlak 1739,6 41,1 mark f1 1738,6 50,1 SpaceHorseParty 1723,2 46,2 Makarias 1717,6 37,6 F1frog 1706,4 -21,1 KWSN-DSM 1703,8 -4,2 Bleu 1694,8 -23,2 Grayson 1671,0 54,0Well, that's not very encouraging.