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2022 title permutations


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#1 F12020

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Posted 11 September 2022 - 19:42

I don't know if I heard correctly this but I think I heard that max can win the championship at Singapore if so  how 


Edited by F12020, 11 September 2022 - 19:43.


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#2 bibliophagos

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Posted 11 September 2022 - 19:45

If he is 138 or more points in front of the number 2 after Singapour, he will be champion.

#3 Heyli

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Posted 11 September 2022 - 19:46

He needs to outscore LeClerc by 22 points if I'm not mistaking.

 

5 races left after Singapore (and 1 sprint race) leaves 5*26 + 8 points. (138 points). he currently leads by 116.

 

22 points means a win and then LeClerc max 9th? Not very likely.



#4 Ali_G

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Posted 11 September 2022 - 19:47

If he is 138 or more points in front of the number 2 after Singapour, he will be champion.


5 races by 26 points available + 1 sprint paying a max of 8 points?

#5 bibliophagos

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Posted 11 September 2022 - 19:49

5 races by 26 points available + 1 sprint paying a max of 8 points?


Yes, and if they tie, Max wins on countback

#6 bibliophagos

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Posted 11 September 2022 - 19:51

He needs to outscore LeClerc by 22 points if I'm not mistaking.

5 races left after Singapore (and 1 sprint race) leaves 5*26 + 8 points. (138 points). he currently leads by 116.

22 points means a win and then LeClerc max 9th? Not very likely.


Max win and fastest lap and Leclerc 8th will get him there as well. Not very likely either though.

#7 ConsiderAndGo

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Posted 11 September 2022 - 19:55

The misery will end in Japan.

#8 Augurk

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Posted 11 September 2022 - 19:55

Whilst the first theoretical possibility, as others have said not very likely.

Don't forget the point gaps to Perez and Russell in those calculations about Singapore. He needs to outscore Leclerc by 22, Perez by 13 and Russell by 3.

Japan seems a lot more likely, as he needs to be 112 points ahead after that. So if he doesn't lose more than 4 points to Leclerc, more than 13 to Perez or more than 20 to Russell in the next 2 races he will be champion.



#9 TradeMark

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Posted 11 September 2022 - 20:27

Whilst the first theoretical possibility, as others have said not very likely.
Don't forget the point gaps to Perez and Russell in those calculations about Singapore. He needs to outscore Leclerc by 22, Perez by 13 and Russell by 3.
Japan seems a lot more likely, as he needs to be 112 points ahead after that. So if he doesn't lose more than 4 points to Leclerc, more than 13 to Perez or more than 20 to Russell in the next 2 races he will be champion.

The condition to Russell doesn't matter anymore since he would already have to win to have a chance to seal the title. :)

#10 RedKloud

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Posted 11 September 2022 - 21:56

The battle for second place will be more interesting.



#11 lamo

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Posted 11 September 2022 - 23:40

Vertsappen win, Leclerc DNF and Perez off the podium. That’s not that unlikely. I give that a 25% chance.