2022 final standings after Abu Dhabi:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Anderis 1963 28 2) DutchQuicksilver 1935 27 3) noikeee 1915 26 4) f1paul 1904 45 5) Brawn BGP 001 1903 41 6) scheivlak 1879 15 7) Makarias 1878 15 8) mark f1 1877 15 9) SpaceHorseParty 1865 44 10) GTA 1843 44 11) jjcale 1836 27 12) F1frog 1812 25 13) Grayson 1811 15 14) Bleu 1805 28 15) KWSN-DSM 1777 15Congratulations to 2022 champion Anderis for a convincing win!
Congratulations also to runner-up DutchQuicksilver
and to third place finisher noikeee !
Points were hard to come by for most of us in the final round, just as it should be.
All 15 players will score points in the 2022 Supercup.
The entries
PTPC Hall of Fame
Year WDC Game Pl Winner AD Points Win % # 2000 442 365 82.58 14 jack and gilles 2001 442 364 82.35 69 MrT, tacololo 2002 442 376 85.07 46 smarty 2003 624 537 86.06 41 arcsine 2004 702 554 78.98 48 Pioneer 2005 741 595 80.30 49 KWSN-DSM 2006 702 592 84.33 47 an1res 2007 663 563 84.92 40 turin 2008 702 597 85.04 39 AcuraF1 2009 731 518 70.86 29 D82 2010 1919 1674 87.23 34 Costaz 2011 1919 1664 86.71 25 Crazy Canuck 2012 2020 1706 84.46 28 Costaz 2013 1919 1656 86.29 27 scheivlak 2014 1919 1602 83.48 30 noikeee 2015 1919 1710 89.11* 25 mark f1 2016 2121 1751 82.56 25 Brawn BGP 001 2017 2020 1861 92.13 22 Kev00 2018 2121 1943 91.61 25 thegforcemaybewithyou 2019 2121 1791 84.44 23 mark f1 2020 1717 1455 84.74 17 SpaceHorseParty 2021 2222 1972 88.75 18 M2000-5 2022 2222 1963 88.34 15 Anderis*2020 points in the guesses
2022 was a trickier season to predict than 2021, which is even more obvious when you don't look at just the winners: last year's last place finisher scored 1883 points, which would have been good for sixth place this year.
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # deVr INF,8 200,0 15 Bott 223,1 100,0 15 Ocon 141,6 88,1 13 Pere 139,1 109,9 15 Zhou 134,3 37,5 11 Vers 125,0 105,4 15 Russ 123,6 91,2 14 Alon 112,0 66,9 12 Lecl 109,3 76,2 11 Sain 96,2 64,4 7 Hami 83,8 62,3 3 Magn 81,4 25,0 9 Norr 76,9 60,6 2 Vett 75,7 34,9 2 Schu 53,4 14,0 9 Lati 50,8 12,5 8 Stro 50,2 17,5 1 Albo 40,5 10,3 6 Tsun 34,0 17,6 1 Ricc 30,4 23,3 0 Gasl 26,8 18,3 0Max Verstappen becomes a 100% surprise!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Leclerc Perez Sainz Russell * Potential 428 GTA 377 * Potential 288 SpaceHorseParty 350 F1frog 283 * Forecast 428 f1paul 320 * Forecast 288 f1paul 278 * Potential 259 * Current 428 SpaceHorseParty 310 * Current 288 Brawn BGP 001 277 * Forecast 259 Anderis 405 Brawn BGP 001 306 Anderis 261 GTA 270 * Current 259 SpaceHorseParty 401 * Potential 288 KWSN-DSM 225 DutchQuicksilver247 f1paul 243 noikeee 395 * Forecast 288 Makarias 222 jjcale 231 Makarias 243 Makarias 374 * Current 288 jjcale 218 noikeee 230 mark f1 240 Grayson 360 Anderis 271 GTA 210 Anderis 228 DutchQuicksilver236 scheivlak 360 noikeee 267 f1paul 209 * Potential 226 jjcale 230 DutchQuicksilver358 Bleu 260 mark f1 204 * Forecast 226 scheivlak 225 f1paul 358 scheivlak 260 Bleu 201 * Current 226 Grayson 220 mark f1 350 DutchQuicksilver256 noikeee 201 Bleu 221 noikeee 202 Brawn BGP 001 346 F1frog 240 Brawn BGP 001 200 F1frog 211 Bleu 186 GTA 335 jjcale 240 scheivlak 200 Grayson 205 GTA 180 KWSN-DSM 310 mark f1 230 F1frog 198 Makarias 205 KWSN-DSM 175 F1frog 265 Grayson 210 DutchQuicksilver191 mark f1 200 Anderis 165 Bleu 264 Makarias 206 SpaceHorseParty 186 KWSN-DSM 185 SpaceHorseParty 160 jjcale 256 KWSN-DSM 199 Grayson 180 scheivlak 185 Brawn BGP 001 155There's more going into it of course, but Anderis' ballsy bet on Verstappen played its part in getting the title. The Perez guess actually stands out even more.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Norris Ocon Stroll Ricciardo Vettel jjcale 187 Anderis 100 Anderis 102 Bleu 145 Anderis 105 Bleu 182 Bleu 100 Bleu 42 F1frog 140 f1paul 60 F1frog 177 * Potential 89 f1paul 41 mark f1 135 KWSN-DSM 60 Brawn BGP 001 175 * Forecast 89 Grayson 40 Makarias 134 DutchQuicksilver 51 Makarias 163 * Current 89 KWSN-DSM 40 Grayson 130 scheivlak 50 SpaceHorseParty 160 KWSN-DSM 80 scheivlak 38 jjcale 130 Bleu 48 Grayson 150 scheivlak 70 DutchQuicksilver 34 KWSN-DSM 125 Grayson 45 KWSN-DSM 150 jjcale 68 jjcale 34 Brawn BGP 001 111 F1frog 44 mark f1 150 SpaceHorseParty 65 mark f1 30 DutchQuicksilver108 jjcale 44 scheivlak 140 Brawn BGP 001 64 SpaceHorseParty 30 f1paul 104 Brawn BGP 001 41 DutchQuicksilver126 DutchQuicksilver 63 noikeee 25 Anderis 90 Makarias 41 f1paul 125 Grayson 60 F1frog 24 SpaceHorseParty 90 mark f1 40 GTA 121 mark f1 60 GTA 24 scheivlak 88 noikeee 39 * Potential 114 F1frog 58 Makarias 22 noikeee 82 * Potential 37 * Forecast 114 Makarias 57 * Potential 18 GTA 63 * Forecast 37 * Current 114 noikeee 38 * Forecast 18 * Potential 34 * Current 37 noikeee 113 GTA 37 * Current 18 * Forecast 34 SpaceHorseParty 35 Anderis 105 f1paul 23 Brawn BGP 001 12 * Current 34 GTA 30The podium trio all judged Norris rather well. Vettel scored his last point in F1. When will Ricciardo be back?
The PTPC forecast after Brazil
Name Forecast +/- Anderis 1961,0 7,7 DutchQuicksilver 1941,0 2,0 noikeee 1922,7 4,6 Brawn BGP 001 1910,4 7,2 f1paul 1903,7 1,5 scheivlak 1885,9 -1,3 Makarias 1884,6 -2,9 mark f1 1883,9 -1,3 SpaceHorseParty 1854,5 -6,1 GTA 1843,7 1,4 jjcale 1843,0 0,1 F1frog 1820,8 11,3 Grayson 1818,2 -3,5 Bleu 1813,7 5,7 KWSN-DSM 1774,8 -11,0
The best guesses on each driver
X # ! Y Vers 428 405 Anderis Lecl 288 271 Anderis Pere 288 261 Anderis Russ 259 243 f1paul Sain 226 228 Anderis Hami 231 225 KWSN-DSM Norr 114 113 noikeee Ocon 89 80 KWSN-DSM Alon 81 80 KWSN-DSM, mark f1, scheivlak Bott 47 46 Brawn BGP 001 Ricc 34 63 GTA Vett 37 39 noikeee, 35: SpaceHorseParty Magn 21 20 Brawn BGP 001 Gasl 23 40 Anderis Stro 18 22 Makarias Schu 12 11 DutchQuicksilver, Makarias Tsun 12 10 Anderis Zhou 6 5 SpaceHorseParty Albo 4 3 Makarias Lati 2 1 DutchQuicksilver, Makarias deVr 2 0 Everyone Hülk 0 0 EveryoneWinning the championship and having the single best guess on six drivers is just excessive showing off.
Note that FL and quali race points don't count in this game.
Guessing scores spot on turned out not to be a thing this season.
Reality check on some of our predictions
Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team Pts Diff RBR 549 +167 Ferr 498 + 16 Merc 486 + 4 McLa 260 -112 Alpi 135 + 35 ATau 121 - 86 Asto 85 - 30 Haas 48 - 15 Alfa 26 + 27 Will 14 - 6We underestimated Red Bull and were let down by McLaren and Alpha Tauri.
Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner Owned Comment <- = -> Gasl 15 0 0 Tsun Correct Hami 15 0 0 Russ Wrong Vers 15 0 0 Pere Correct Norr 15 0 0 Ricc Correct Vett 15 0 0 Stro Correct Bott 14 1 0 Zhou Correct Lecl 14 0 1 Sain Correct Albo 13 2 0 Lati Correct Alon 10 3 2 Ocon Wrong Magn 10 2 3 Schu CorrectTwo wrong, just like last year. One of those a top three team , just like last year (Ferrari).
Stay safe and absorb wisdom from the racing spirits in the offseason and you'll end up successful in this game in 2023. Happy new year!