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2012 Australian GP win predictions

Started by TheBunk , Mar 03 2012 12:50

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47 replies to this topic

Poll: Who will win at Melbourne? (174 member(s) have cast votes)

Who will win at Melbourne?

  1. Red Bull (74 votes [38.74%])

    Percentage of vote: 38.74%

  2. Mclaren (61 votes [31.94%])

    Percentage of vote: 31.94%

  3. Ferrari (12 votes [6.28%])

    Percentage of vote: 6.28%

  4. Mercedes (14 votes [7.33%])

    Percentage of vote: 7.33%

  5. Lotus (22 votes [11.52%])

    Percentage of vote: 11.52%

  6. Force India (2 votes [1.05%])

    Percentage of vote: 1.05%

  7. other (6 votes [3.14%])

    Percentage of vote: 3.14%

Wich driver?

  1. Vettel (55 votes [31.61%])

    Percentage of vote: 31.61%

  2. Webber (14 votes [8.05%])

    Percentage of vote: 8.05%

  3. Button (18 votes [10.34%])

    Percentage of vote: 10.34%

  4. Hamilton (39 votes [22.41%])

    Percentage of vote: 22.41%

  5. Alonso (10 votes [5.75%])

    Percentage of vote: 5.75%

  6. Massa (1 votes [0.57%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.57%

  7. Schumacher (8 votes [4.60%])

    Percentage of vote: 4.60%

  8. Rosberg (5 votes [2.87%])

    Percentage of vote: 2.87%

  9. Kimi (17 votes [9.77%])

    Percentage of vote: 9.77%

  10. Grosjean (4 votes [2.30%])

    Percentage of vote: 2.30%

  11. other (3 votes [1.72%])

    Percentage of vote: 1.72%

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#1 TheBunk

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 12:50

Testing almost over and some teams look good, some dont. Some have tyre troubles, other reliability.

So far, do you dare to make predictions?

Me, im going for a Vettel/Red Bull win.

Edited by TheBunk, 04 March 2012 - 18:44.

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#2 King Six

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 12:54

Vettel/Red Bull for me too. It would be nice to see Webber win the Australian GP actually, but he's always been quite bad on his home ground and Vettel is pretty much now on a different level anyway.

#3 Zava

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 12:56

I think it'll be a Vettel win, but not sure about the team. :well:

#4 mclarennut

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:00

Hamilton for me but I am a fan :)

Really hope RB does not run away with it again and we see some great races.....

#5 Matt Somers

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:00

I've gone for McLaren/Jenson but I do have a sneaky bet on Kimi at 33/1

#6 Andy865

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:02

I think it'll be a Vettel win, but not sure about the team. :well:


that would probably be red bull.

#7 TheBunk

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:07

Lotus is def the dark horse. Bold bet for sure!

#8 OSX

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:13

Red Bull/Vettel but I hope I'm proven wrong...

#9 Matt Somers

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:16

Lotus is def the dark horse. Bold bet for sure!


I can afford a £1 for the chance of a £33 win. It's the Brawn year I kicked myself having heard how good the car was pre season and only won £150 on a £2 bet, should have cashed in ££££'s that year :(

#10 jamiegc

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:16

Vettel for me as well.

#11 ConsiderAndGo

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:20

Vettel for me as well.


Vettel - Slam dunk.

#12 btrader

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:20

Wow! Ferrari not even getting a sniff! I cant believe they have fallen this low. I think people are underating them

#13 jamiegc

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:33

What is most amazing is that at this time, 18 people think McLaren will win, but only 17 think a McLaren driver will win...

#14 ConsiderAndGo

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:37

What is most amazing is that at this time, 18 people think McLaren will win, but only 17 think a McLaren driver will win...


lol

#15 faaaz

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:42

What is most amazing is that at this time, 18 people think McLaren will win, but only 17 think a McLaren driver will win...


Doesn't surprise me...some of the discussions on this board follow this kind of logic :lol:

#16 TheBunk

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:43

Well, good faith in Mclarens ability then. And more votes for Button than Hamilton! Amazing.

Edited by TheBunk, 03 March 2012 - 13:43.

#17 Trust

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 13:43

If they fix the steering completely, Kimi will blitz the field easy. :smoking:

#18 fieraku

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 14:08

Petrov

#19 scheivlak

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 14:40

What is most amazing is that at this time, 18 people think McLaren will win, but only 17 think a McLaren driver will win...

There must be one guy or girl who thinks that Grosjean (or Kimi) will in a McLaren :D

Edited by scheivlak, 03 March 2012 - 14:42.

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#20 Zava

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 14:41

There must be one guy or girl who thinks that Grosjean will in a McLaren :D

or they take back Kimi by the season opener. :smoking:

#21 aray

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 15:02

alonso/Ferrari..in rain.. :blush:

#22 aray

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 15:04

What is most amazing is that at this time, 18 people think McLaren will win, but only 17 think a McLaren driver will win...

easy...in the case of teams,you can make multiple selection....OP's fault... :lol:

#23 TheBunk

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 17:10

http://www.autosport...rt.php/id/97820

Webber reckons Mercedes and Lotus are very quick. Place your bets!

#24 TheBunk

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 22:30

Is there nobody who believes in Massa? :)

#25 Kvothe

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 22:36

Lewis and McLaren with a Grand Chelem

#26 Aieljose

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 22:41

Vettel DUH!

#27 Rob

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 22:43

My head says Vettel but my heart desperately wants it to be Raikkonen.

#28 Tifosi4ever

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 22:45

Is there nobody who believes in Massa? :)


His Mum?

#29 jrg19

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 23:49

TDG in his chariot of chrome.

#30 Lee Nicolle

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 23:54

Going by media reports there is a possibility this may be the last AGP as the Victorian Government is getting very edgey over spending on the unfinancially viable event in these financially troubled times.
Maybe Bernie will have to reduce his demands or a few more may fall over too.

#31 Kerch

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Posted 03 March 2012 - 23:57

I think the poll is quite conclusive in that people think only two teams have a chance of winning.

It's like La Liga on wheels.

#32 Kubiccia

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 01:21

I think it'll be a Vettel win, but not sure about the team. :well:

:lol:
brilliant way of showing a flaw in the poll. Just ask the driver and the first question is automatically responded.

easy...in the case of teams,you can make multiple selection....OP's fault... :lol:

:up:

I've choosen RBR, Mercedes and others because of Sauber. If people here think Lotus can win, why not Sauber?

Edited by Kubiccia, 04 March 2012 - 01:29.

#33 Manneken3000

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 02:36

Is there nobody who believes in Massa? :)


I believe that Massa will spin.

#34 Tifosi4ever

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 02:46

I believe that Massa will spin.


So, you think he will make a Massa things?

#35 gerry nassar

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 03:50

I cant see anyone other than Vettel winning. The car will just be too good.

#36 skinnyman

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 05:03

His Mum?

Mommy checking in, gooo Felipe :clap:

Edited by skinnyman, 04 March 2012 - 05:04.

#37 Meanbeakin

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 05:06

I really badly want to say Webber but it'll be Vettel or Hamilton.

#38 paulogman

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 05:15

vettel

#39 zepunishment

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 06:09

I can afford a £1 for the chance of a £33 win. It's the Brawn year I kicked myself having heard how good the car was pre season and only won £150 on a £2 bet, should have cashed in ££££'s that year :(


I made that mistake too, I remember sitting at work when it was looking grim for button and barrichelo in late '08 thinking I really should put £20 on those two for the title... same score with Stewart making a podium in the first half of '99... so before the season started I put £20 each way on Kimi for WDC at 66/1 as 3rd isn't out of the question...think Frentzen '99... :lol:

You'd have to say Vettel for Oz going on past form, but I'm really hoping we get more competition this year and RB have slipped a bit...

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#40 TheBunk

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 06:54

I think it depends a lot on how Kimi goes today, but at least the poll shows Lotus gets more confidence than both Merc and Ferrari. Maybe a Kimi podium wont be such a bad bet.

Im all for a nice Vettel/Hamilton fight all the way to the end though. Lets see who is the best.


#41 shonguiz

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 07:00

Vettel.

#42 BRK

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 07:05

Maybe Red Bull..

#43 karne

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 12:41

Mark, please, please let his run of awful luck at AP end!

#44 rmac923

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 14:53

Kimi emerges unscathed from a First Corner, First Lap crash to win.

I really think we're in for a season where no driver will win more than 3 times. I think it's going to be that close between the Top-6 teams.

#45 TheBunk

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 15:18

Lets hope so. Nice ava btw!

#46 Apex

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 17:01

What is most amazing is that at this time, 18 people think McLaren will win, but only 17 think a McLaren driver will win...

It can be completely reasonable to vote like that though. Let's say you think the drivers have the following chances of winning:

Vettel 40%
Hamilton 30%
Button 25%
Webber 5%

This makes Vettel the favorite, but when you combine them them, the McLaren drivers have the edge.

Still, the more llikely explanation is this:

easy...in the case of teams,you can make multiple selection....OP's fault... :lol:


#47 Andromeda

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 17:40

Now that testing is over we have a better picture of the order. McLaren are surprisingly so far stronger than I thought they would be to be honest I don't even know if a Red Bull will be winning the race in Australia or not. Long run pace would suggest McLaren is in stronger form than Red Bull however Red Bull appear to have the single lap advantage again. Which will play into Vettels Hands if he gets pole but my opinion is McLaren have closed the gap enough to Red Bull so even if Vettel gets pole its very unlikely he will be able to run away with an easy victory so the race itself may go McLarens way if they can keep with him.

With saying that McLaren for the team but as for the driver I'm still undecided on that.

#48 TheBunk

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Posted 04 March 2012 - 18:46

It can be completely reasonable to vote like that though. Let's say you think the drivers have the following chances of winning:

Vettel 40%
Hamilton 30%
Button 25%
Webber 5%

This makes Vettel the favorite, but when you combine them them, the McLaren drivers have the edge.

Still, the more llikely explanation is this:


Fixed that multiple selection, although a bit late.
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