92 replies to this topic

[InfectedPumpkin]

It will rain.
I am disappointed

[benzine]

why so sure ? it is still tuesday and forecasts can change very easily

[SealTheDiffuser]

it is the same forecast like last year, it will not rain on saturday or sunday during qualy and race

[pazza]

mind you we've just sweltered through nine straight days over 30 degrees celcius. I live in Melbourne and our meteorologists couldn't predict what they'll be eating for lunch each day, let alone the weather.

[InfectedPumpkin]

I still hope there will be dry weekend!
I want to see real pace of cars!

[rasul]

Hmm. Allen says it will not rain.

Weather forecast

The forecast for Saturday and Sunday is for a warm dry day with temperatures around 21-22 degrees and only 20% chance of rain on Saturday.

http://www.jamesalle...ian-grand-prix/

[repcobrabham]

BOM (bureau of meteorology) says chance of a shower or two and partly cloudy over the weekend:

http://www.bom.gov.a...e.shtml?ref=hdr

looks like ideal racing weather to me ... god knows albert park needs whatever help it can to be exciting.

[Jackmancer]

What weather is worst for tyres? Cold or warm?

[krapmeister]

Wet/dry races are usually the best kind so I wouldn't mind there being a bit of moisture for the race...

[InfectedPumpkin]

Wet/dry races are usually the best kind so I wouldn't mind there being a bit of moisture for the race...

But this is first race. I would liek to see which car is fast.
In wet there will be luck factor and perhaps some crashes.

[Kristian]

But this is first race. I would liek to see which car is fast.
In wet there will be luck factor and perhaps some crashes.

But surely its more interesting to be kept guessing until Bahrain?

A perfect start to the season would be a series of wet/dry races in Australia, Malaysia and China (entirely feasible) with lots of action to get the interest going. Unpredictability is what makes sport so great!

[krapmeister]

But this is first race. I would liek to see which car is fast.
In wet there will be luck factor and perhaps some crashes.

We'll have a pretty good idea by Bahrain/Barcelona - tbh I can wait until then to get a definitive idea of which car is the fastest if the first 3 races are crackers due a bit of rain...

[Ravenak]

This is centered on Albert Park, NOT Melbourne.

[GVera]

This is centered on Albert Park, NOT Melbourne.

It seems that graphs are in GMT and not local Albert Park time. It can't be warmer every day at 6 (and before) than at 12.

[showtime]

It seems that graphs are in GMT and not local Albert Park time. It can't be warmer every day at 6 (and before) than at 12.

6 GMT is the time of Qualy/Race start.

[Alfisti]

Seems to do this every year, smoking hot for a week or so leading up to the race then freezing cold.

[Andrew Hope]

Rain races are the best. Everyone do your rain dance!

[HuddersfieldTerrier1986]

I don't mind whether it rains during the race or not. I just want an exciting race. If it's a mixed quali session but dry race that could make it interesting in it's own ways, without the question of "when do I switch from inters to slicks" etc.

[Harry]

I would like it if it rained during the race or qualifying. I've never seen a wet Melbourne before.

[Disgrace]

[GIF]

Is that a dog and an obese earwig?

[pRy]

I would like it if it rained during the race or qualifying. I've never seen a wet Melbourne before.

Which is lucky in a way because Melbourne is known as the 'four seasons in one day' city.

[Rosberg]

I would like it if it rained during the race or qualifying. I've never seen a wet Melbourne before.

It rained in 2010 and that was an exciting race.

[P123]

Rain races are the best. Everyone do your rain dance!

Don't dance too hard mind, otherwise it will be 30 laps behind the safety car and a two hour red flag stoppage.

Edited by P123, 12 March 2013 - 22:27.

[Rosberg]

Don't dance too hard mind, otherwise it will be 30 laps behind the safety car and a two hour red flag stoppage.

Well the pundits did say we will be in for shocks and surprises.

[Deluxx]

You can't believe everything you hear... I wasn't bourne yesterday.

[Rosberg]

You can't believe everything you hear... I wasn't bourne yesterday.

Well yeah but it's always worth taking note on what they say.

[Ravenak]

Small update:



Not moving much, but it's getting a bit more precise.

[tomisumi]

thx for update...veeery interesting...looks like Saturday will be wet for sure, and in Sunday only 15-17 degrees? Like in testing...

[danstheman]

On that graph it seems any rain on Saturday is likely to be in the morning and less likely around Quali time. So the track will be green but I don't think it will rain.

I would add that the only weather site to trust is the Bureau of Meteorology

http://www.bom.gov.a...melbourne.shtml

[ruby soho]

I'd love to see rain for entertainment, but I've been eagerly waiting to see the pecking order, so bone dry and no suprises please!

[Ravenak]

I would add that the only weather site to trust is the Bureau of Meteorology[/url]

The problem with any typical weather site is that they focus on a city, not on a very precise area like the 3km² covered by a F1 circuit.

Meteoblue is the only website to do that, except the Meteo France delegation that moves around the world with the F1 circus.

[danstheman]

Yeah a good point, as Melbourne is quite a large area as well. Although the link I posted mentions that showers will mainly be on the eastern suburbs whilst the circuit is in the inner south suburbs.

[BuzzingHornet]

Been blazingly hot, even until this morning, but its now overcast and the temperature has just plummeted so the weather forecasts are seemingly coming true. Wonder if light levels could be a problem by the end of the GP if its overcast... the GP doesnt start until 5pm local time and it doesn't stay light very late here.

[Harry]

You're all talking about a rain dance for Albert Park, I'm doing a rain dance for Monaco. After the ultimate dullfest of last year, and Schumacher not getting his final win that he deserved, if any race; it's bloody Monaco.

Edited by Harry, 13 March 2013 - 02:11.

[krapmeister]

The problem with any typical weather site is that they focus on a city, not on a very precise area like the 3km² covered by a F1 circuit.

Meteoblue is the only website to do that, except the Meteo France delegation that moves around the world with the F1 circus.

It's not Spa though, the city CBD is barely a couple of km's away and the terrain is pretty much flat. What they predict for Melbourne ie. the CBD will be essentially the same for Albert Park...

[repcobrabham]

light shouldn't be an issue if occasional showers / partly cloudy forecast bears out. but properly southerly breezes will make things pretty cool in the stands!

[NotSoSilentBob]

It rained in 2010 and that was an exciting race.

It rained and was freezing in 2005 too, pretty sure it was on the Saturday. BMW Williams sold out of their heavy rain jackets!

[Wuzak]

light shouldn't be an issue if occasional showers / partly cloudy forecast bears out. but properly southerly breezes will make things pretty cool in the stands!

Sunset from Melbourne on the 17th is 19:36. Race will end around 18:45, so if it is heavily overcast it could get quite dull. The other issue, for drivers and spectators, is that the sun is very low by race end.

[repcobrabham]

Sunset from Melbourne on the 17th is 19:36. Race will end around 18:45, so if it is heavily overcast it could get quite dull. The other issue, for drivers and spectators, is that the sun is very low by race end.

for sure. the 'twilight race' concept is stupid.

[Peat]

You want wet races in the mid to late season to mix up the known pecking order. At this stage, all i wanted was for a bone dry/sizzling hot race. (That would have given the Pirelli's something to think about...)

We'll have to wait for China/Bahrain to get a better idea now. Booooo.

[HuddersfieldTerrier1986]

You want wet races in the mid to late season to mix up the known pecking order. At this stage, all i wanted was for a bone dry/sizzling hot race. (That would have given the Pirelli's something to think about...)

We'll have to wait for China/Bahrain to get a better idea now. Booooo.

Malaysia could be bone dry through all sessions (unlikely maybe but not impossible), and China has a strange habit of giving us damp/wet races. But anyway, yeah, twilight races, whether it's for the benefit of European viewers (I prefer a 2/3am race start UK time myself for Australia, plus making Malaysia a late afternoon start just puts it right in the 'monsoon risk' time of day) or whether it's because they have the lights to make it possible are daft in my opinion.

Personally I think all races should start at 1pm local time, no exceptions unless something major in the country results in a slight time change (eg Le Mans 1 year started an hour later I think it was, due to French elections).

Going back to the weather though, it's going to be difficult to predict. My gut feeling (that's all this is) is we'll see quali at risk of showers with them being short enough but heavy enough to cause chaos. Or maybe that's just what I might like to see.

Edited by HuddersfieldTerrier1986, 13 March 2013 - 09:17.

[jonpollak]

No nigelred5?
This thread is NOT OFFICIAL !
Jp

[Alexis*27]

The problem with any typical weather site is that they focus on a city, not on a very precise area like the 3km² covered by a F1 circuit.

Meteoblue is the only website to do that, except the Meteo France delegation that moves around the world with the F1 circus.

It's an illusion - the resolution the computer models use are 60km wide, so they cannot forecast the weather on one side of a city compared with the other.

[Wuzak]

But anyway, yeah, twilight races, whether it's for the benefit of European viewers (I prefer a 2/3am race start UK time myself for Australia, plus making Malaysia a late afternoon start just puts it right in the 'monsoon risk' time of day) or whether it's because they have the lights to make it possible are daft in my opinion.

If they held Melbourne a month earlier the light would be much less of an issue for a 5pm start.

Don't think it would make much difference for Malaysia, though.

[Ravenak]

Wrong.

http://www.meteoblue..._GB/content/258

Computerized weather forecasting is much more accurate than you might be able to imagine.

[SealTheDiffuser]

....


Computerized weather forecasting is much more accurate than you might be able to imagine.

+1


still some rain predicted for Sat qualy time

[Ravenak]

Ignore the time scale, it's somewhat shifted.

Edited by Ravenak, 14 March 2013 - 15:18.

[HuddersfieldTerrier1986]

Risk of hail too on Saturday apparently.

[SealTheDiffuser]

blub

Edited by SealTheDiffuser, 14 March 2013 - 15:24.

[One]

Ignore the time scale, it's somewhat shifted.

This will be a messy GP week end.

1. Dry friday
2. Rain Qualify session,
3. Undecided strange race day.

For fans this is an awesome week end. For drivers, they will certainly hate the weather like this.