2015 final standings after Abu Dhabi:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) mark f1 1710 61 2) KWSN-DSM 1686 50 3) kismet 1673 57 4) scheivlak 1671 20 5) Grayson 1661 44 6) wattoroos 1645 40 7) Makarias 1644 39 = noikeee 1644 71 9) Wander 1640 43 10) fisichella_2001 1634 17 11) The Snowman 1630 42 12) MJB5990 1627 73 13) jjcale 1626 43 14) DutchQuicksilver 1621 44 15) Bleu 1620 26 16) SpaceHorseParty 1617 33 17) Brawn BGP 001 1610 35 18) d_view7 1608 62 19) JAW97 1604 41 20) HeidfeldsBeard 1586 30 21) M2000-5 1569 72 22) Apex 1562 28 23) Costaz 1558 48 24) AcuraF1 1553 20 25) Barty 1476 53Congratulations to mark f1
who maintains a good scoring rate right to the end.Congratulations also to runner-up KWSN-DSM
and third place finisher kismet
who maintains that spot from last year. Well done!The entries
PTPC Hall of Fame
Year WDC Game Pl Winner AD Points Win % # 2000 442 365 82.58 14 jack and gilles 2001 442 364 82.35 69 MrT, tacololo 2002 442 376 85.07 46 smarty 2003 624 537 86.06 41 arcsine 2004 702 554 78.98 48 Pioneer 2005 741 595 80.30 49 KWSN-DSM 2006 702 592 84.33 47 an1res 2007 663 563 84.92 40 turin 2008 702 597 85.04 39 AcuraF1 2009 731 518 70.86 29 D82 2010 1919 1674 87.23 34 Costaz 2011 1919 1664 86.71 25 Crazy Canuck 2012 2020 1706 84.46 28 Costaz 2013 1919 1656 86.29 27 scheivlak 2014 1919 1602 83.48 30 noikeee 2015 1919 1710 89.11* 25 mark f1*2020 points in the guesses
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Pere 355,8 166,0 25 Nasr 319,9 93,1 24 Eric 208,3 33,3 22 Hülk 188,8 85,3 23 Vers 168,7 64,5 22 Vett 161,8 134,3 25 Räik 104,4 58,4 15 Hami 103,9 92,0 18 Rosb 100,7 85,4 18 Sain 92,4 46,2 10 Gros 89,0 54,8 8 Kvya 83,0 51,1 3 Mass 77,7 62,4 1 Mald 75,9 33,8 9 Bott 69,4 54,6 1 Ricc 49,3 36,7 0 Butt 23,2 15,0 1 Alon 12,6 8,7 0Achiever bonanza in the season finale as all three podium finishers in quick succession get past 100% Expectation! Sergio Perez moves to the top of the list with another great result that we're getting used to from him by now.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2015 this is 25.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Rosberg Hamilton Räikkönen Vettel Perez Barty 376 JAW97 413 M2000-5 256 * Potential 278 * Potential 78 jjcale 375 mark f1 410 Barty 208 * Forecast 278 * Forecast 78 d_view7 355 M2000-5 408 kismet 167 * Current 278 * Current 78 M2000-5 353 MJB5990 405 noikeee 165 scheivlak 206 kismet 46 The Snowman 336 Makarias 401 MJB5990 163 wattoroos 205 Bleu 40 noikeee 330 Brawn BGP 001 400 DutchQuicksilver161 M2000-5 203 jjcale 35 MJB5990 329 noikeee 382 KWSN-DSM 160 fisichella_2001 197 mark f1 35 * Potential 322 * Potential 381 Wander 156 noikeee 197 SpaceHorseParty 33 * Forecast 322 * Forecast 381 d_view7 155 The Snowman 196 Apex 30 * Current 322 * Current 381 * Potential 150 Makarias 191 KWSN-DSM 30 Costaz 320 Costaz 375 wattoroos 150 mark f1 190 Wander 30 Grayson 320 kismet 375 * Forecast 150 Grayson 180 fisichella_2001 27 mark f1 320 d_view7 370 * Current 150 KWSN-DSM 180 scheivlak 27 KWSN-DSM 317 Grayson 370 Bleu 140 DutchQuicksilver173 Grayson 25 SpaceHorseParty 313 SpaceHorseParty 365 jjcale 140 HeidfeldsBeard 168 Makarias 25 HeidfeldsBeard 312 DutchQuicksilver362 mark f1 140 Wander 168 wattoroos 25 kismet 312 fisichella_2001 362 scheivlak 140 MJB5990 167 Brawn BGP 001 24 DutchQuicksilver311 Apex 360 The Snowman 138 kismet 166 HeidfeldsBeard 22 Apex 310 KWSN-DSM 359 AcuraF1 130 d_view7 165 MJB5990 19 Wander 310 jjcale 350 Grayson 130 AcuraF1 164 noikeee 15 wattoroos 307 Wander 350 SpaceHorseParty 130 Brawn BGP 001 163 The Snowman 15 JAW97 305 HeidfeldsBeard 346 JAW97 126 SpaceHorseParty 159 JAW97 13 Makarias 303 Bleu 345 HeidfeldsBeard 124 Bleu 158 DutchQuicksilver 12 AcuraF1 302 AcuraF1 344 fisichella_2001 113 JAW97 157 Costaz 9 Brawn BGP 001 302 Barty 341 Costaz 112 jjcale 151 AcuraF1 6 fisichella_2001 301 scheivlak 335 Brawn BGP 001 97 Costaz 145 M2000-5 5 scheivlak 290 wattoroos 330 Makarias 97 Barty 125 Barty 0 Bleu 280 The Snowman 312 Apex 95 Apex 120 d_view7 0Rosberg made a huge climb up his list in the finale; many guesses in a short points span, and pretty much on target!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Ricciardo Hülkenberg Massa Grosjean Kvyat jjcale 250 kismet 67 M2000-5 193 SpaceHorseParty 92 jjcale 185 Makarias 229 Bleu 63 AcuraF1 184 KWSN-DSM 90 MJB5990 154 AcuraF1 224 * Potential 58 SpaceHorseParty 181 scheivlak 80 HeidfeldsBeard 138 Barty 218 * Forecast 58 The Snowman 175 The Snowman 79 Makarias 135 DutchQuicksilver216 * Current 58 Makarias 173 M2000-5 77 DutchQuicksilver132 HeidfeldsBeard 215 jjcale 47 JAW97 169 Wander 70 wattoroos 131 Costaz 204 scheivlak 45 Brawn BGP 001 168 AcuraF1 68 kismet 130 scheivlak 200 KWSN-DSM 44 wattoroos 165 HeidfeldsBeard 68 Costaz 126 Bleu 195 Apex 43 Apex 160 Apex 65 fisichella_2001 124 JAW97 192 mark f1 40 Barty 160 Makarias 64 noikeee 121 Wander 191 fisichella_2001 36 Grayson 160 JAW97 63 Apex 115 noikeee 190 Grayson 35 KWSN-DSM 160 Bleu 62 Wander 113 kismet 189 Wander 35 MJB5990 159 mark f1 60 AcuraF1 112 Apex 180 HeidfeldsBeard 31 fisichella_2001 158 DutchQuicksilver 59 JAW97 112 KWSN-DSM 180 Barty 30 Bleu 157 d_view7 56 SpaceHorseParty 112 mark f1 180 MJB5990 28 noikeee 155 * Potential 51 Grayson 110 wattoroos 176 JAW97 27 HeidfeldsBeard 150 * Forecast 51 mark f1 110 fisichella_2001 175 Makarias 27 mark f1 150 MJB5990 51 Barty 105 d_view7 170 Brawn BGP 001 26 Wander 150 wattoroos 51 d_view7 104 Grayson 170 SpaceHorseParty 26 Costaz 149 * Current 51 Bleu 100 MJB5990 166 wattoroos 26 DutchQuicksilver138 Grayson 50 KWSN-DSM 96 SpaceHorseParty 162 AcuraF1 20 scheivlak 131 fisichella_2001 49 * Potential 95 Brawn BGP 001 135 The Snowman 20 d_view7 125 Costaz 45 * Forecast 95 The Snowman 130 DutchQuicksilver 18 jjcale 125 kismet 45 scheivlak 95 M2000-5 126 noikeee 17 * Potential 121 Brawn BGP 001 37 * Current 95 * Potential 92 Costaz 9 * Forecast 121 noikeee 29 The Snowman 88 * Forecast 92 M2000-5 8 * Current 121 jjcale 23 Brawn BGP 001 86 * Current 92 d_view7 0 kismet 97 Barty 0 M2000-5 26A very disappointing season for Ricciardo, but guess what: it's the car!
The PTPC forecast after Brazil
Name Forecast +/- mark f1 1720,3 -0,1 KWSN-DSM 1687,9 2,5 scheivlak 1685,2 -10,0 kismet 1673,3 14,3 Grayson 1669,4 -2,7 Makarias 1660,3 -12,7 wattoroos 1652,4 -3,4 fisichella_2001 1647,4 -11,7 Wander 1647,2 1,3 noikeee 1641,4 4,0 The Snowman 1633,9 -1,6 SpaceHorseParty 1632,7 -1,8 Bleu 1630,1 -0,9 DutchQuicksilver 1628,2 2,3 jjcale 1626,1 2,6 MJB5990 1625,6 2,3 Brawn BGP 001 1624,1 -15,8 JAW97 1621,8 -11,1 d_view7 1606,7 10,6 HeidfeldsBeard 1600,7 -1,7 Apex 1577,7 -4,8 AcuraF1 1567,7 -9,7 Costaz 1566,4 -2,7 M2000-5 1564,7 2,5 Barty 1473,9 2,3The final results generally were lower than the final forecast. No wonder with such a boring race result.
b]The best guesses on each driver[/b]
X # ! Y Hami 381 382 noikeee Rosb 322 320 Costaz, Grayson, mark f1 Vett 278 206 scheivlak Räik 150 150 wattoroos Bott 136 154 kismet Mass 121 125 jjcale Kvya 95 95 scheivlak Ricc 92 126 M2000-5 Pere 78 46 kismet Hülk 58 63 Bleu Gros 51 51 MJB5990, wattoroos Vers 49 48 Makarias Nasr 27 28 The Snowman Mald 27 28 Costaz Sain 18 19 JAW97 Butt 16 15 M2000-5 Alon 11 20 M2000-5 Eric 9 10 KWSN-DSM; 8 Brawn BGP 001, The Snowman Merh 0 0 Everyone except KWSN-DSM Ross 0 0 Everyone Stev 0 0 Everyone except KWSN-DSM and SpaceHorseParty Magn 0 0 20 players King 0 0 Everyone except KWSN-DSM vdGa 0 0 21 playersZero pointers aside, only four spot on points guesses.
Reality check on some of our predictions
Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team Pred Off Merc 687 + 16 Will 352 - 95 Ferr 316 +112 RBR 301 -114 McLa 157 -130 Lotu 93 - 15 FoIn 53 + 83 STR 48 + 19 Saub 13 + 23 Mano 0 +- 0A + in the "off" column means the prediction was outscored. Since we made guesses for 20 races naturally the net sum becomes negative.
Force India stands out on the positive side, McLaren on the negative.
Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner Owned Comment <- = -> Ricc 25 0 0 Kvya Wrong Gros 23 2 0 Mald Correct Alon 23 0 2 Butt Wrong Bott 22 1 2 Mass Correct Hülk 22 1 2 Pere Wrong Hami 22 0 3 Rosb Correct Vett 22 0 3 Räik Correct Vers 20 1 4 Sain Correct Nasr 14 7 4 Eric Correct Stev 1 24 0 Merh Correct (draw)We got a few wrong this time...
Y'all will score points for this in the Supercup too. Have a fun offseason and see you in 2016!
