The standings after Australia:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) AcuraF1 101 = Anderis 101 = Apex 101 = DutchQuicksilver 101 = fisichella_2001 101 = Kev00 101 = kismet 101 = KWSN-DSM 101 = Makarias 101 = Marklar 101 = MJB5990 101 = noikeee 101 = scheivlak 101 = Sheepmachine 101 = SpaceHorseParty 101 = thegforcemaybewi 101 = Wander 101 18) Grayson 100 19) Brawn BGP 001 99 = Einari 99 = jjcale 99 = mark f1 99 23) M2000-5 96 24) Barty 93 = Costaz 93Eight players missed points already, all due to Grosjean!
The entries
The following list shows the maximum, average ("popularity poll") and minimum bets on each driver. Column "Diff" is Popularity Poll difference to 2015, which had 20 races scheduled and some drivers that have disappeared.
Name Max Pop Min Diff Hami 411 368 291 + 1 Rosb 367 333 280 + 13 Vett 341 299 254 +127 Räik 260 191 134 + 47 Bott 243 157 125 - 39 Ricc 170 124 93 - 63 Mass 165 122 92 - 34 Kvya 130 100 75 - 14 Hülk 107 77 35 + 46 Vers 140 75 42 + 46 Pere 115 69 35 + 47 Sain 80 46 29 + 27 Alon 84 42 15 - 45 Butt 79 34 10 - 35 Magn 65 33 1 + 32 Palm 30 15 2 + 15 Nasr 21 12 5 + 4 Gros 26 11 0 - 46 Eric 25 8 1 + 4 Guti 16 4 0 + 4 Wehr 8 1 0 + 1 Hary 2 0 0 +- 0
Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team Pts Diff Merc 701 + 14 Ferr 490 +174 Will 279 - 73 RBR 224 - 77 FoIn 146 + 93 STR 121 + 73 McLa 76 - 81 Rena 48 - 45 Saub 20 + 7 Haas 15 + 15 Mano 1 + 1Meh...cedes.
If the Popularity Poll turns out to be a 100% correct prediction, the final standings would look like this:
Pos Name Tot 1) mark f1 2005 2) thegforcemaybewi 1995 3) DutchQuicksilver 1993 4) SpaceHorseParty 1989 5) Wander 1979 6) Anderis 1973 7) Makarias 1971 8) KWSN-DSM 1965 9) fisichella_2001 1960 10) Kev00 1957 11) noikeee 1953 12) Grayson 1946 13) AcuraF1 1943 14) Apex 1934 = M2000-5 1934 16) Brawn BGP 001 1927 17) jjcale 1924 18) Marklar 1914 19) MJB5990 1906 20) scheivlak 1903 21) kismet 1898 22) Barty 1875 23) Costaz 1855 24) Einari 1851 25) Sheepmachine 1848
How many players have guessed each driver for WDC?
Driver Players Hami 20.5 Rosb 4.5Wander's score suggested an equal score, wouldn't that be something.
Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner Owned <- = -> Bott 25 0 0 Mass Vers 25 0 0 Sain Vett 25 0 0 Räik Magn 24 0 1 Palm Ricc 23 0 2 Kvya Gros 22 2 1 Guti Alon 21 2 2 Butt Nasr 20 3 2 Eric Hami 20 1 4 Rosb Wehr 14 11 0 Hary Hülk 14 4 7 PereAll teams bar Force India seem to have a clearly expected top dog. I like Force India.
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Gros 71,1 29,6 8 Ricc 9,7 7,0 0 Mass 8,2 6,0 0 Hülk 7,8 5,6 0 Rosb 7,5 6,8 0 Vett 5,0 4,4 0 Hami 4,9 4,4 0 Sain 4,4 2,5 0 Bott 2,5 1,6 0 Vers 1,3 0,7 0A flying start to the season for Grosjean with Haas. Nice!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2014 this is 30.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Rosberg Hamilton Vettel Ricciardo Massa * Forecast 525 * Potential 518 * Potential 515 * Potential 512 * Potential 510 * Potential 525 Brawn BGP 001 411 MJB5990 341 * Forecast 252 * Forecast 210 Brawn BGP 001 367 Makarias 406 Apex 330 Sheepmachine 170 Sheepmachine 165 AcuraF1 362 Grayson 400 scheivlak 327 Marklar 149 kismet 150 Grayson 360 kismet 400 Brawn BGP 001 322 thegforcemaybewi140 Makarias 145 M2000-5 354 DutchQuicksilver394 fisichella_2001 321 noikeee 139 SpaceHorseParty 145 kismet 350 Anderis 392 * Forecast 315 Einari 136 DutchQuicksilver134 KWSN-DSM 350 AcuraF1 387 kismet 312 MJB5990 136 Apex 130 mark f1 350 Kev00 387 jjcale 310 Brawn BGP 001 132 jjcale 130 Wander 350 SpaceHorseParty 385 Makarias 309 Barty 130 mark f1 130 Makarias 347 thegforcemaybewi383 Kev00 303 jjcale 130 MJB5990 129 Barty 346 * Forecast 378 noikeee 302 mark f1 130 Anderis 126 Anderis 341 mark f1 375 Wander 301 scheivlak 130 Einari 126 SpaceHorseParty 340 Marklar 373 AcuraF1 300 SpaceHorseParty 130 noikeee 126 thegforcemaybewi340 Apex 370 Grayson 300 Makarias 128 Kev00 124 Marklar 334 scheivlak 370 SpaceHorseParty 300 DutchQuicksilver123 Grayson 120 Sheepmachine 334 fisichella_2001 362 thegforcemaybewi300 Apex 120 thegforcemaybewi120 DutchQuicksilver331 MJB5990 362 Anderis 290 KWSN-DSM 120 Costaz 114 Kev00 330 noikeee 350 DutchQuicksilver290 Wander 120 fisichella_2001 112 scheivlak 325 Sheepmachine 350 mark f1 290 fisichella_2001 118 M2000-5 112 Apex 320 Wander 350 Marklar 288 Grayson 105 KWSN-DSM 111 MJB5990 313 KWSN-DSM 349 Costaz 279 M2000-5 105 Wander 110 fisichella_2001 312 Barty 343 KWSN-DSM 278 Anderis 104 AcuraF1 105 noikeee 300 M2000-5 338 Einari 277 Costaz 102 Brawn BGP 001 101 Einari 298 jjcale 335 Sheepmachine 275 kismet 100 Marklar 101 Costaz 291 Costaz 320 M2000-5 265 AcuraF1 98 Barty 100 jjcale 280 Einari 291 Barty 254 Kev00 93 scheivlak 92 * Current 25 * Current 18 * Current 15 * Current 12 * Current 10See your entries in comparison to others and regret a thing or two.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Grosjean Hülkenberg Bottas Sainz Verstappen * Potential 508 * Potential 506 * Potential 504 * Potential 502 * Potential 501 * Forecast 168 * Forecast 126 Sheepmachine 243 Barty 80 Barty 140 Anderis 26 M2000-5 107 kismet 200 Costaz 75 Costaz 100 KWSN-DSM 24 Einari 105 Barty 180 KWSN-DSM 72 scheivlak 99 Marklar 21 AcuraF1 101 Einari 175 SpaceHorseParty 60 KWSN-DSM 90 noikeee 21 fisichella_2001 100 Apex 170 Grayson 55 fisichella_2001 85 AcuraF1 20 Kev00 91 Costaz 170 Sheepmachine 51 Makarias 85 Wander 20 Barty 90 Kev00 163 noikeee 50 noikeee 78 Makarias 16 jjcale 90 DutchQuicksilver161 scheivlak 50 Kev00 76 Kev00 14 mark f1 90 jjcale 160 Apex 45 Marklar 76 scheivlak 13 noikeee 88 mark f1 160 jjcale 45 AcuraF1 75 fisichella_2001 10 DutchQuicksilver 82 SpaceHorseParty 160 mark f1 45 jjcale 75 MJB5990 10 Costaz 80 Makarias 158 Brawn BGP 001 42 mark f1 75 thegforcemaybewi 10 Anderis 76 Grayson 155 fisichella_2001 42 SpaceHorseParty 75 Sheepmachine 9 KWSN-DSM 76 Brawn BGP 001 152 * Forecast 42 Apex 70 SpaceHorseParty 9 Marklar 74 Wander 150 Einari 40 Grayson 70 Apex 8 Brawn BGP 001 70 noikeee 146 MJB5990 40 Wander 70 DutchQuicksilver 8 SpaceHorseParty 70 AcuraF1 144 thegforcemaybewi 40 Sheepmachine 68 kismet 8 thegforcemaybewi 70 Anderis 143 Wander 40 Brawn BGP 001 66 * Current 8 MJB5990 67 thegforcemaybewi140 DutchQuicksilver 39 MJB5990 65 Grayson 7 scheivlak 65 M2000-5 138 Kev00 39 Einari 64 Brawn BGP 001 6 Wander 65 fisichella_2001 134 Anderis 37 Anderis 63 Einari 6 Grayson 60 Marklar 133 kismet 35 DutchQuicksilver 62 jjcale 6 kismet 60 KWSN-DSM 131 M2000-5 32 thegforcemaybewi 60 mark f1 6 Makarias 60 MJB5990 131 Makarias 32 M2000-5 45 M2000-5 3 Sheepmachine 52 scheivlak 125 AcuraF1 29 kismet 42 Barty 0 Apex 35 * Forecast 84 Marklar 29 * Forecast 21 Costaz 0 * Current 6 * Current 4 * Current 2 * Current 1Very interesting very nice
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP.
