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Lewis Hamilton vs. Nico Rosberg 2016 Part IV


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#4001 Synkro89

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Posted 18 October 2016 - 18:05

Yes, the title is in Lewis's hands. If he wins the last four races, Nico will have the required bad results, he will not amass enough points to win. It's all in Lewis's power now.

 

Im sorry myattitude but this deluded outlook aint cutting it with most of us in this forum. Why have you guaranteed the thought that Nico will have bad results.



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#4002 myattitude

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Posted 18 October 2016 - 18:07

Its a big assumption that Hamilton is going to win the last 4 races though. In terms of 2014/15 results (i.e. when both are in the leading team together): 

 

USA

Poles: Rosberg 2; Hamilton 0

Wins: Rosberg 0; Hamilton 2

 

Mexico:

Poles: Rosberg 1; Hamilton 0

Wins: Rosberg 1; Hamilton 0

 

Brazil: 

Poles: Rosberg 2; Hamilton 0

Wins: Rosberg 2; Hamilton 0 

 

Abu Dhabi: 

Poles: Rosberg 2; Hamilton 0 

Wins: Rosberg 1; Hamilton 1

 

So in terms of poles Rosberg leads 7:0 and for wins he leads 4:3. And add in that this year Hamilton has been suffering worse starts, it is a tall tall order. I cannot see your confidence really. 

 

And in terms of finishing 2nd, Rosberg did finish 2nd in each of the races he didn't win, apart from Abu Dhabi 2014 when he retired with car failure (and was on course to finish 2nd probably) 

Ah, well Lewis actually winning the last 4 races is another matter. He has the ability to beat Nico in all 21 races, but he fluctuates too much as his head lets him down. That's why I'm saying the title is in his hands, it's in his power.



#4003 myattitude

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Posted 18 October 2016 - 18:15

Im sorry myattitude but this deluded outlook aint cutting it with most of us in this forum. Why have you guaranteed the thought that Nico will have bad results.

I've outlined why the odds would be stacked against Nico. Variables including: His nerve, the Red Bulls, Merc's tactical shortcomings, Merc's engineering shortcomings, dumb luck, will all together be sufficient to confidently fall Nico short of his points target if Lewis bags 100 points from here.



#4004 as65p

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Posted 18 October 2016 - 19:14

I've outlined why the odds would be stacked against Nico. Variables including: His nerve, the Red Bulls, Merc's tactical shortcomings, Merc's engineering shortcomings, dumb luck, will all together be sufficient to confidently fall Nico short of his points target if Lewis bags 100 points from here.

 

So far so good. Now please explain why Hamilton isn't affected by the last 4 variables, and nerves of his own. Maybe... a drawing? :D



#4005 thez

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Posted 18 October 2016 - 19:42

Its a big assumption that Hamilton is going to win the last 4 races though. In terms of 2014/15 results (i.e. when both are in the leading team together): 

 

USA

Poles: Rosberg 2; Hamilton 0

Wins: Rosberg 0; Hamilton 2

 

Mexico:

Poles: Rosberg 1; Hamilton 0

Wins: Rosberg 1; Hamilton 0

 

Brazil: 

Poles: Rosberg 2; Hamilton 0

Wins: Rosberg 2; Hamilton 0 

 

Abu Dhabi: 

Poles: Rosberg 2; Hamilton 0 

Wins: Rosberg 1; Hamilton 1

 

So in terms of poles Rosberg leads 7:0 and for wins he leads 4:3. And add in that this year Hamilton has been suffering worse starts, it is a tall tall order. I cannot see your confidence really. 

 

And in terms of finishing 2nd, Rosberg did finish 2nd in each of the races he didn't win, apart from Abu Dhabi 2014 when he retired with car failure (and was on course to finish 2nd probably) 

 

 

You should not have wasted so much time trying to explain this. Not even worth the reply clearly a troll post from him or maybe I overestimated intelligence on this forum



#4006 myattitude

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Posted 18 October 2016 - 19:57

So far so good. Now please explain why Hamilton isn't affected by the last 4 variables, and nerves of his own. Maybe... a drawing? :D

 

The only thing that can affect him outside of his power are mechanical failures or dumb luck. Yes they could hit him too but the odds are greatly reduced if he's sitting serenely out in front, while the odds are greatly increased for Nico out back. If Lewis does what his abilities should produce, then the Red Bulls won't affect him, Merc's aero sensitivity won't affect him and Merc's tactical limitations very likely won't affect him. Lewis needs to simply stay out in front and then the events that he needs to happen, will happen behind him. If Lewis does his part of the job, the trophy will sit on his shelf this Christmas. Odds on favourite.


Edited by myattitude, 18 October 2016 - 19:59.


#4007 jstrains

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Posted 18 October 2016 - 20:30

Who shall I bet for the WDC? Rosberg's 1.15 is quite low. Lewis has 4.50 that is quite attractive...



#4008 Marklar

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Posted 18 October 2016 - 20:34

Who shall I bet for the WDC? Rosberg's 1.15 is quite low. Lewis has 4.50 that is quite attractive...

I did Lewis last week for 4.75 (20 €) & Nico in the summer break for 4.00 (50 €). Whatever the outcome I win (either 25 € or 130 €).

#4009 Disgrace

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Posted 18 October 2016 - 20:45

Part V.