I think the best is to count the number of rallies for each driver, not years.
Which I did in the first post, then I was asked about first rally, so I answered that. Now it's back to number of rallies. See post #3 and #6
so how many rallies did Kubica do when he was 20 ? because if I read your arguments that's when he started his rally career even if following years he had nothing.
One single rally. As I have written, the first year he did more than one rally in the same calendar year was 2009. And, if that is what you read, you really need to read better. I wrote "Professionally start rallying was not the question I answered as far as I understood it". Again. He did his first rally at age 20, that was what I answered - I would put somewhere around 09/10 when the rallying started to "take off", but that was not the initial question I answered many posts ago. Again. That was first rally.
But you are using double standard "Loeb did no rallies in 95 or 96" but you don't apply the same for RK.
Because Robert Kubica did a rally at age 20 in 2004. Sebastien Loeb did not do any rallies in 95 or 96 or any year before that. Sebastien Loeb's first rally was in 1997. How is it double standards? One did participate a rally, another one did not participate.
On top of that counting rallies is one but it should be rather for each surface. RK initial rallying in Italy which is on tarmac in huge majority but you still count it, even tho WRC is mostly on other surfaces on which he had no experience
Which would've been a perfectly fine thing, if he'd actually been consistently much better on tarmac than on loose surface. The 2014 Alsace rally, was probably the best rally Kubica did in a WRC-car. He was consistent, fast and would've had a safe 4th place, but retired on the power stage with a crash. Other than that, his standout moments are from Monte Carlo on the stages with variable surface and the first day of Rally Catalunya 2015, which was on gravel.
food for thought:
"Question to Kubica: do you remember the first time you saw Ogier? What did you think?
RK: I remember him driving in the JWRC. I was following rallies, but I was quite busy in F1. You always follow the results, but never that close. In all my life I had only been twice to watch rallying - in Sardinia in 2007 and then in Catalunya. Actually, three rallies. I was also in Corsica when the Suzuki [SX4 WRC] came for the first time; that was an interesting car to watch at shakedown!"
so looking at his answer I don't know what kind of rally you mention at 20 because that would make it in 2004 but RK says in 2007 he was only watching it?
2004 Rajd Barboka. A sprintrally in Poland. Some of the big Polish rally names were present, Michal Solowow,Thomas Kuchar, Krzysztof Holowczyc. Kubica beat Holowczyc. In 2005 he was the last course car in Wawelski, in a proper rally car he would've done proper speeds, but not being in the competition, proper rally over 2 days and 220km.
Question to Kubica: what about next year?
RK: I don't know. It's too early. I have a lot to learn and a lot to discover. I also have a lot of bad moments to live in order to learn. I have a new goal after the accident and I would like to achieve it. It depends on the conditions of the WRC and how I will be able to compete. It's no secret that you need a lot of experience and I need a lot of time to learn; I am coming from zero.
I can use 10 per cent of my experience from circuits. Maybe a bit more on Tarmac, but on gravel I drove for the first time last March after just 150 kilometres of testing. It's quite a lot to learn and for that reason I need more time
so once again from his answer how can you compare his experience with experience of other WRC drivers ? he says he drove on gravel for the first time in 2013 although I am not sure if he meant 2014
How can I do that? He had his first gravel rally in 2013, in the FAFE Rally Sprint as a pre event, event for rally Portugal - so you can be sure it was 2013 that was "last march" and this was before the 2014 season.
It is a lot to learn. Then back to how I can compare, in 2015, starting in Sweden, that was Kubica's 18th event on loose surface, and the 18th with a 4WD car. In 2009, Ogier started in Norway, it was his 14th loose surface rally. And it was his 4th(overall, not just loose surface) with a 4WD car. In his 20th rally on loose surface he was 2nd overall. That was his 9th rally in a 4WD car. And his 42nd rally of his career. Even if you remove every rally before 2012 from Kubica, and don't count the Italian shows, he had that amount of rallies in mid 2015, and more loose surface rallies than Ogier at the same point in their careers.
RK:Eighty per cent of rallies are gravel and I only had eight rallies on gravel in my life
so by august 2014 he had only 8 rallies on gravel, so can I ask you Myrvold how many Ogier/Loeb and other WRC already had ?
Already had when joining WRC. Ogier had 13 (including the Rally GB in 08 as "pre-WRC", even though it was with a WRC car) as Kubica includes his Rally GB in 13 in his 8th before the 2014 season, again though. Ogier had one single of them with a 4WD car. Kubica had all.
Loeb had 14 events on loose surface before 2002 and his first WRC season. 0 of them in anything other than a FWD car.
The reason I chose those drivers to compare is that they are top drivers, with a tarmac background, and joining WRC at a surprisingly "high" age. Loeb was actually just about to be 28 years old when he did his first 4WD event on loose surface in Sweden 02.
SO: What do you miss from racing and reverse: what do you get in rallying you didn't get in racing?
RK: It's a completely different world. In F1 you get everything at the maximum: performance from the car, the organisation, the teams, the people. Everybody is working much more on the details. I grew up with people working on the very small details and then you come to rallies where it matters, but it's not such an important thing – especially at the beginning.
My mentality is trying to maximise and improve everything I can. I have to understand it's too early for me to do this in rallying. In order for me to fight at the top like Seb, you need to work on the very small details and be very precise – but on the circuit, you go nowhere without these details. On the circuit, on one lap of five kilometres, three tenths of a second is the difference between an average driver and an F1 driver.
SO: Without the right car in F1 you go nowhere, but in rallying, like you say, it's much more about experience.
Ogier says himself here:but in rallying, like you say, it's much more about experience.
Of course, experience is important. But as seen with the VW cars, you need the "right car". Or like in the early 00's. Not a chance Loeb would've been that good in a Hyundai Accent or Skoda Octavia.
And what I am trying to show is that in terms of number of rallies, Kubica wasn't that massively inexperienced. And when 2015 came around, his rally experience should've meant that he did better than what he actually did.
look at what Ogier says next:
Maybe the gap [to move to circuit racing] is not as big as for Robert to move the other way. It takes a long time to build the experience of rallies – you only get it by competing and doing rallies and rallies and rallies all the time.
You keep repeating that 50 rallies is enough but why then Ogier repeats 3 times "It takes a long time to build the experience of rallies – you only get it by competing and doing rallies and rallies and rallies all the time"
Experience are important, and you need to do rallies to get it. But like I said. Ogier had 35 rallies when he started on his first WRC campaign. In his 42nd he was 2nd. In his 56th rally he won. Having two podiums in between those achievements.
Kubica had glimpses of good speed, but was very erratic, not consistent and it didn't seem to get much better no matter how much experience he got. In 2013 he was good. In 2014 he showed potential, in 2015, he wasn't able to actually get better. In broad terms he either went slow (in between the fast guys and the gentleman drivers( or went off. Note again: In broad terms. At that point of his rally career he should've been better.
I checked Sordo as well, as he are the only driver I can think of that have a fairly OK level, that haven't struggled for years to get in to a WRC seat, and are from an area with mainly tarmac events.
Dani Sordo had just over 60 rallies when he got his first WRC start. Many of those had been in a Gr.N car. Not easy to pinpoint exactly the number of loose surface rallies, somewhere between 10 and 15. In his 2nd WRC rally on loose surface he was 4th, then 3rd in his 4th loose surface rally in WRC.
Anyway, this feels slightly pointless to be honest.