The standings after Malaysia:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) jjcale 1514 100 2) DutchQuicksilver 1507 98 3) fisichella_2001 1505 91 4) scheivlak 1504 98 5) Apex 1502 88 6) wattoroos 1499 93 7) Marklar 1498 97 8) noikeee 1494 93 9) Kev00 1491 97 10) Costaz 1487 83 = Makarias 1487 93 12) Barty 1482 86 13) milestone 11 1481 84 14) AcuraF1 1476 80 15) KWSN-DSM 1475 84 16) Grayson 1474 82 17) SpaceHorseParty 1473 85 18) thegforcemaybewithyou1468 100 19) Brawn BGP 001 1457 90 20) mark f1 1450 94 21) M2000-5 1398 90 22) markelov74 1391 94Finally the perfect scores are a thing of the past, for the first time this season we have a lone leader in jjcale.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Wehr 174,6 38,5 17 Vand 138,8 61,9 14 Gros 103,4 51,0 11 Ocon 95,2 56,4 10 Sain 93,8 62,3 8 Pere 92,8 69,7 8 Vett 88,5 72,4 3 Hami 85,0 73,0 2 Bott 84,5 72,1 2 Ricc 83,4 69,1 2 Hülk 71,4 42,0 3 Stro 70,9 38,6 4 Räik 64,0 45,1 0 Alon 56,6 26,3 4 Magn 53,4 15,5 5 Palm 45,2 22,2 0 Vers 42,5 34,8 0 Mass 37,4 22,0 0 Kvya 12,7 5,5 1Stoffel Vandoorne becomes the third driver to beat his expectations! His points scoring has picked up nicely in the far east.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2017 this is 22.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Hamilton Ricciardo Vettel Bottas markelov74 266 * Potential 406 * Potential 302 * Potential 372 * Potential 347 Makarias 245 Costaz 384 Makarias 255 markelov74 340 Costaz 307 thegforcemaybewi244 M2000-5 381 thegforcemaybewi250 M2000-5 338 * Forecast 296 fisichella_2001 238 * Forecast 375 Grayson 240 * Forecast 329 Barty 294 scheivlak 238 AcuraF1 366 * Forecast 236 noikeee 316 markelov74 293 Grayson 230 Kev00 365 jjcale 231 Brawn BGP 001 311 Grayson 290 DutchQuicksilver226 Grayson 360 Marklar 231 milestone 11 310 thegforcemaybewi290 jjcale 226 DutchQuicksilver354 M2000-5 227 AcuraF1 293 AcuraF1 288 Marklar 226 KWSN-DSM 350 wattoroos 223 scheivlak 292 Kev00 288 Barty 225 Makarias 346 markelov74 221 Marklar 289 DutchQuicksilver287 wattoroos 223 Apex 345 Apex 220 Kev00 286 M2000-5 287 Brawn BGP 001 222 scheivlak 340 mark f1 220 Makarias 283 Makarias 274 M2000-5 220 markelov74 338 fisichella_2001 219 mark f1 280 Marklar 270 mark f1 220 mark f1 336 scheivlak 217 fisichella_2001 276 Apex 260 * Potential 218 milestone 11 334 DutchQuicksilver216 SpaceHorseParty 275 mark f1 260 noikeee 216 noikeee 320 milestone 11 216 thegforcemaybewi270 milestone 11 257 milestone 11 214 thegforcemaybewi310 Barty 207 wattoroos 268 scheivlak 252 Apex 210 Marklar 308 Brawn BGP 001 203 jjcale 265 KWSN-DSM 250 Kev00 198 fisichella_2001 303 noikeee 196 DutchQuicksilver258 wattoroos 245 AcuraF1 192 wattoroos 301 KWSN-DSM 190 Barty 252 Brawn BGP 001 232 KWSN-DSM 190 Brawn BGP 001 299 SpaceHorseParty 185 Costaz 248 jjcale 230 Costaz 186 SpaceHorseParty 285 Kev00 181 * Current 247 noikeee 227 SpaceHorseParty 165 * Current 281 * Current 177 Apex 240 * Current 222 * Forecast 124 jjcale 280 AcuraF1 161 KWSN-DSM 236 fisichella_2001 212 * Current 93 Barty 274 Costaz 161 Grayson 220 SpaceHorseParty 190Hamilton starts beating guesses! Some players' scores will drop bigly now. Sad!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Perez Vandoorne Stroll Massa Ocon * Potential 201 * Potential 138 * Potential 157 * Potential 158 * Potential 182 AcuraF1 108 thegforcemaybewi 20 AcuraF1 82 KWSN-DSM 149 SpaceHorseParty 100 Costaz 104 * Forecast 17 Costaz 78 SpaceHorseParty 125 Costaz 99 * Forecast 101 Apex 15 Brawn BGP 001 77 jjcale 121 AcuraF1 82 SpaceHorseParty 100 Grayson 15 wattoroos 72 DutchQuicksilver103 noikeee 79 M2000-5 98 Marklar 15 Grayson 55 milestone 11 103 * Forecast 76 KWSN-DSM 95 fisichella_2001 14 markelov74 51 wattoroos 98 jjcale 67 fisichella_2001 88 noikeee 14 SpaceHorseParty 50 Brawn BGP 001 97 Marklar 67 markelov74 88 jjcale 13 fisichella_2001 46 mark f1 94 Kev00 66 Kev00 87 Kev00 13 mark f1 45 noikeee 89 Brawn BGP 001 63 mark f1 85 * Current 13 thegforcemaybewi 45 markelov74 87 Apex 60 thegforcemaybewi 85 DutchQuicksilver 11 jjcale 43 Marklar 87 Barty 60 jjcale 82 scheivlak 11 Marklar 43 Apex 80 fisichella_2001 60 Barty 80 Brawn BGP 001 10 * Forecast 43 Grayson 80 KWSN-DSM 60 DutchQuicksilver 79 Costaz 10 noikeee 41 M2000-5 79 * Current 57 scheivlak 78 Makarias 8 Apex 40 Costaz 77 DutchQuicksilver 55 * Current 76 milestone 11 8 KWSN-DSM 40 Kev00 76 thegforcemaybewi 55 wattoroos 75 KWSN-DSM 6 DutchQuicksilver 38 scheivlak 76 wattoroos 51 Makarias 74 markelov74 6 Makarias 36 Barty 70 Grayson 50 Marklar 72 SpaceHorseParty 5 scheivlak 35 AcuraF1 66 Makarias 49 Apex 70 M2000-5 4 * Current 32 thegforcemaybewi 65 milestone 11 48 Grayson 70 wattoroos 4 Barty 30 Makarias 64 scheivlak 48 milestone 11 69 AcuraF1 2 milestone 11 23 fisichella_2001 58 mark f1 45 noikeee 65 Barty 2 Kev00 12 * Forecast 44 markelov74 38 Brawn BGP 001 52 mark f1 0 M2000-5 12 * Current 33 M2000-5 16All of a sudden Vandoorne has a chance at a 100% surprise.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Kev00 1829,3 18,6 DutchQuicksilver 1815,3 12,8 M2000-5 1812,3 6,2 Grayson 1808,3 36,6 Makarias 1803,3 16,3 scheivlak 1803,3 8,0 AcuraF1 1800,3 25,0 Marklar 1790,7 18,0 Apex 1786,3 12,0 milestone 11 1782,3 11,8 Costaz 1770,7 19,1 thegforcemaybewithyou1769,3 26,3 noikeee 1765,3 9,0 fisichella_2001 1761,3 7,8 markelov74 1748,7 17,5 mark f1 1742,0 11,7 wattoroos 1738,3 12,5 jjcale 1725,7 16,7 KWSN-DSM 1721,3 8,8 Barty 1718,3 4,2 SpaceHorseParty 1701,7 5,1 Brawn BGP 001 1698,3 10,8Verstappen finally scored big points and all forecasts improved.
... the forcast is for a steep drop starting next round!
