The standings after Japan:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) DutchQuicksilver 1594 87 2) scheivlak 1593 89 3) Apex 1592 90 4) Marklar 1591 93 5) fisichella_2001 1586 81 = jjcale 1586 72 7) Kev00 1581 90 8) noikeee 1580 86 = wattoroos 1580 81 10) Makarias 1571 84 11) KWSN-DSM 1569 94 12) milestone 11 1565 84 13) Costaz 1564 77 14) Grayson 1561 87 15) thegforcemaybewithyou1559 91 16) AcuraF1 1557 81 17) Barty 1549 67 18) mark f1 1537 87 19) Brawn BGP 001 1535 78 20) SpaceHorseParty 1534 61 21) M2000-5 1485 87 22) markelov74 1478 87Things are changing rapidly now, jjcale dropping quickly from the lead and never likely to recover.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Wehr 174,6 38,5 17 Vand 138,8 61,9 14 Gros 111,3 54,9 13 Ocon 108,5 64,4 15 Pere 100,1 75,2 11 Sain 93,8 62,3 8 Hami 92,6 79,5 6 Ricc 90,5 75,0 5 Bott 89,1 76,0 5 Vett 88,5 72,4 3 Magn 72,8 21,1 8 Hülk 71,4 42,0 3 Stro 70,9 38,6 4 Räik 68,6 48,4 1 Alon 56,6 26,3 4 Vers 50,7 41,6 0 Palm 45,2 22,2 0 Mass 38,5 22,7 0 Kvya 12,7 5,5 1Esteban Ocon and Sergio Perez make it past their 100% marks! The Force Indias have both been very consistent points scorers this season.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2017 this is 22.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Verstappen Ricciardo Bottas Räikkönen * Potential 406 markelov74 266 * Potential 292 * Potential 334 Barty 305 Costaz 384 Makarias 245 Makarias 255 Costaz 307 Brawn BGP 001 254 * Forecast 383 thegforcemaybewi244 thegforcemaybewi250 Barty 294 noikeee 250 M2000-5 381 fisichella_2001 238 Grayson 240 * Forecast 293 thegforcemaybewi250 AcuraF1 366 scheivlak 238 * Forecast 240 markelov74 293 * Potential 248 Kev00 365 Grayson 230 jjcale 231 Grayson 290 jjcale 246 Grayson 360 DutchQuicksilver226 Marklar 231 thegforcemaybewi290 M2000-5 243 DutchQuicksilver354 jjcale 226 M2000-5 227 AcuraF1 288 mark f1 240 KWSN-DSM 350 Marklar 226 wattoroos 223 Kev00 288 milestone 11 237 Makarias 346 Barty 225 markelov74 221 DutchQuicksilver287 wattoroos 233 Apex 345 wattoroos 223 Apex 220 M2000-5 287 KWSN-DSM 225 scheivlak 340 Brawn BGP 001 222 mark f1 220 Makarias 274 Marklar 222 markelov74 338 M2000-5 220 fisichella_2001 219 Marklar 270 Makarias 212 mark f1 336 mark f1 220 scheivlak 217 Apex 260 Apex 210 milestone 11 334 noikeee 216 DutchQuicksilver216 mark f1 260 scheivlak 208 noikeee 320 milestone 11 214 milestone 11 216 milestone 11 257 fisichella_2001 204 thegforcemaybewi310 * Potential 211 Barty 207 scheivlak 252 DutchQuicksilver201 Marklar 308 Apex 210 Brawn BGP 001 203 KWSN-DSM 250 SpaceHorseParty 200 * Current 306 Kev00 198 noikeee 196 wattoroos 245 * Forecast 185 fisichella_2001 303 AcuraF1 192 * Current 192 * Current 234 Grayson 180 wattoroos 301 KWSN-DSM 190 KWSN-DSM 190 Brawn BGP 001 232 Kev00 179 Brawn BGP 001 299 Costaz 186 SpaceHorseParty 185 jjcale 230 markelov74 158 SpaceHorseParty 285 SpaceHorseParty 165 Kev00 181 noikeee 227 AcuraF1 150 jjcale 280 * Forecast 139 AcuraF1 161 fisichella_2001 212 * Current 148 Barty 274 * Current 111 Costaz 161 SpaceHorseParty 190 Costaz 141Kimi beats his first guess in a rather underwhelming season.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Ocon Perez Magnussen Grosjean Massa * Potential 165 * Potential 182 * Potential 115 * Potential 128 KWSN-DSM 149 SpaceHorseParty 100 AcuraF1 108 SpaceHorseParty 70 SpaceHorseParty 50 * Potential 134 Costaz 99 Costaz 104 KWSN-DSM 40 fisichella_2001 40 SpaceHorseParty 125 AcuraF1 82 * Forecast 103 Barty 38 KWSN-DSM 40 jjcale 121 * Forecast 81 SpaceHorseParty 100 fisichella_2001 34 * Forecast 35 DutchQuicksilver103 noikeee 79 M2000-5 98 Apex 25 scheivlak 33 milestone 11 103 jjcale 67 KWSN-DSM 95 Grayson 25 Apex 30 wattoroos 98 Marklar 67 fisichella_2001 88 Kev00 24 Grayson 30 Brawn BGP 001 97 Kev00 66 markelov74 88 scheivlak 24 jjcale 30 mark f1 94 * Current 65 Kev00 87 * Forecast 19 Kev00 30 noikeee 89 Brawn BGP 001 63 mark f1 85 Marklar 19 Makarias 30 markelov74 87 Apex 60 thegforcemaybewi 85 noikeee 19 * Current 28 Marklar 87 Barty 60 jjcale 82 wattoroos 18 AcuraF1 27 Apex 80 fisichella_2001 60 * Current 82 Costaz 15 wattoroos 27 Grayson 80 KWSN-DSM 60 Barty 80 jjcale 15 DutchQuicksilver 25 M2000-5 79 DutchQuicksilver 55 DutchQuicksilver 79 thegforcemaybewi 15 milestone 11 25 Costaz 77 thegforcemaybewi 55 scheivlak 78 * Current 15 Barty 24 Kev00 76 wattoroos 51 wattoroos 75 DutchQuicksilver 14 Costaz 22 scheivlak 76 Grayson 50 Makarias 74 milestone 11 14 M2000-5 20 Barty 70 Makarias 49 Marklar 72 Makarias 12 noikeee 19 AcuraF1 66 milestone 11 48 Apex 70 mark f1 10 Marklar 16 thegforcemaybewi 65 scheivlak 48 Grayson 70 AcuraF1 8 thegforcemaybewi 15 Makarias 64 mark f1 45 milestone 11 69 M2000-5 8 Brawn BGP 001 10 fisichella_2001 58 markelov74 38 noikeee 65 Brawn BGP 001 6 mark f1 10 * Forecast 43 M2000-5 16 Brawn BGP 001 52 markelov74 0 markelov74 0 * Current 34Haas has scored pretty much according to expectations so far, no big sophomore slump.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Kev00 1838,0 8,7 DutchQuicksilver 1826,8 11,4 Grayson 1823,5 15,2 Makarias 1819,8 16,4 scheivlak 1817,0 13,7 AcuraF1 1813,5 13,2 M2000-5 1809,5 -2,8 Marklar 1804,5 13,8 Apex 1800,0 13,7 milestone 11 1792,5 10,2 Costaz 1790,5 19,8 thegforcemaybewithyou1783,0 13,7 noikeee 1773,8 8,4 fisichella_2001 1768,3 6,9 mark f1 1749,8 7,8 wattoroos 1748,0 9,7 KWSN-DSM 1739,0 17,7 jjcale 1735,8 10,1 markelov74 1733,5 -15,2 Barty 1728,0 9,7 SpaceHorseParty 1714,3 12,6 Brawn BGP 001 1703,0 4,7Verstappen's late season recovery keeps improving the forecasts. M2000-5 and markelov74 however have the top Vettel guesses and lose out from his DNF.
