The standings after Germany:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) RaikkonenFan96 1105 99 2) scheivlak 1104 99 3) wattoroos 1103 99 4) Apex 1097 101 5) KWSN-DSM 1096 99 6) Makarias 1094 99 7) Costaz 1093 99 8) fisichella_2001 1092 99 9) GTA 1089 99 10) markelov74 1088 93 = thegforcemaybewithyou1088 99 12) Kev00 1086 99 = mark f1 1086 100 14) f1paul 1085 99 = Grayson 1085 101 16) Marklar 1083 99 = sladealonso 1083 98 18) DutchQuicksilver 1082 99 = SpaceHorseParty 1082 99 20) Barty 1079 93 21) noikeee 1077 89 22) Brawn BGP 001 1060 92 23) Bleu 1057 96 24) AcuraF1 1052 99 25) M2000-5 1038 90Pretty good scores still, a typical 99 comes from missing out on the Ericsson points.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Eric 357,1 45,5 22 Lecl 285,0 81,3 23 Magn 112,4 48,1 17 Gasl 107,4 58,1 16 Räik 75,8 62,1 1 Hülk 65,5 46,8 1 Vett 61,7 43,5 0 Pere 58,5 31,3 3 Hami 52,9 46,9 0 Ocon 51,1 21,3 1 Gros 51,0 27,4 3 Alon 46,3 30,1 0 Ricc 45,7 37,3 0 Bott 43,5 35,8 0 Vers 39,4 32,5 0 Sain 39,3 26,9 0 Stro 21,8 4,9 3 Hart 19,1 7,7 2 Vand 15,5 8,0 0Ericsson sneaks past his teammate to the top of the list AND THE SWEDISH CROWD GOES WILD
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2018 this is 25.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Bottas Räikkönen Verstappen Hülkenberg * Potential 438 * Potential 372 * Potential 381 * Potential 355 * Potential 302 noikeee 400 GTA 340 * Forecast 250 GTA 322 Barty 110 GTA 392 sladealonso 336 thegforcemaybewi210 Barty 315 * Forecast 99 M2000-5 386 noikeee 335 wattoroos 209 f1paul 315 Brawn BGP 001 96 Makarias 384 Barty 333 fisichella_2001 200 Brawn BGP 001 313 AcuraF1 95 sladealonso 383 SpaceHorseParty 304 KWSN-DSM 200 markelov74 300 Costaz 95 SpaceHorseParty 382 Marklar 302 M2000-5 192 scheivlak 285 Bleu 92 Grayson 370 DutchQuicksilver301 Brawn BGP 001 187 Marklar 280 fisichella_2001 87 thegforcemaybewi370 M2000-5 281 AcuraF1 185 fisichella_2001 277 Kev00 85 scheivlak 368 KWSN-DSM 280 Makarias 184 SpaceHorseParty 277 mark f1 85 DutchQuicksilver367 thegforcemaybewi280 Bleu 183 Kev00 270 markelov74 85 RaikkonenFan96 366 scheivlak 279 Apex 180 M2000-5 270 scheivlak 84 Brawn BGP 001 364 RaikkonenFan96 277 Kev00 180 mark f1 270 SpaceHorseParty 83 * Forecast 359 Bleu 272 DutchQuicksilver179 thegforcemaybewi270 RaikkonenFan96 82 Bleu 353 Makarias 272 f1paul 178 wattoroos 268 Grayson 80 Marklar 351 wattoroos 271 Marklar 170 noikeee 265 noikeee 80 Apex 350 Apex 270 RaikkonenFan96 170 RaikkonenFan96 261 wattoroos 78 KWSN-DSM 350 Grayson 270 Costaz 165 Makarias 259 sladealonso 77 mark f1 350 fisichella_2001 266 Barty 160 sladealonso 256 DutchQuicksilver 76 AcuraF1 343 markelov74 265 mark f1 160 Bleu 246 Apex 75 Kev00 343 AcuraF1 260 scheivlak 156 DutchQuicksilver246 Marklar 70 fisichella_2001 341 mark f1 255 sladealonso 153 Grayson 245 Makarias 69 markelov74 335 Brawn BGP 001 254 Grayson 150 AcuraF1 224 f1paul 65 f1paul 324 f1paul 241 noikeee 150 Apex 220 GTA 65 wattoroos 317 Costaz 237 GTA 149 KWSN-DSM 213 KWSN-DSM 60 Barty 310 * Forecast 233 SpaceHorseParty 147 * Forecast 200 thegforcemaybewi 60 Costaz 291 Kev00 228 * Current 131 Costaz 200 * Current 52 * Current 188 * Current 122 markelov74 125 * Current 105 M2000-5 50Kimi beats markelov74's guess, who becomes the first unfortunate victim of any driver in the top three teams. A bit less crucially, Hülkenberg takes M2000-5 as his first victim.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Grosjean Perez Ocon Ericsson Hartley * Potential 270 * Potential 280 * Potential 279 * Potential 255 * Potential 252 GTA 72 Bleu 95 AcuraF1 135 Barty 10 Grayson 25 Costaz 70 AcuraF1 81 Bleu 92 * Forecast 10 wattoroos 22 noikeee 64 Barty 70 Barty 80 Apex 5 f1paul 21 wattoroos 61 KWSN-DSM 70 mark f1 75 Grayson 5 Apex 15 Marklar 57 DutchQuicksilver 68 KWSN-DSM 70 * Current 5 Barty 15 KWSN-DSM 50 mark f1 66 Apex 65 mark f1 4 KWSN-DSM 15 Makarias 46 thegforcemaybewi 65 thegforcemaybewi 65 wattoroos 3 mark f1 15 Brawn BGP 001 44 Costaz 63 GTA 61 scheivlak 2 RaikkonenFan96 15 SpaceHorseParty 41 Apex 60 markelov74 60 thegforcemaybewi 2 scheivlak 15 thegforcemaybewi 40 markelov74 60 DutchQuicksilver 58 DutchQuicksilver 1 GTA 12 sladealonso 39 * Forecast 57 RaikkonenFan96 58 fisichella_2001 1 Marklar 12 fisichella_2001 38 GTA 54 scheivlak 56 KWSN-DSM 1 Costaz 9 * Forecast 38 Grayson 50 Kev00 55 sladealonso 1 sladealonso 9 DutchQuicksilver 36 Kev00 47 * Forecast 55 AcuraF1 0 AcuraF1 8 f1paul 36 RaikkonenFan96 45 Grayson 50 Bleu 0 DutchQuicksilver 8 Kev00 36 fisichella_2001 44 Costaz 47 Brawn BGP 001 0 Makarias 8 RaikkonenFan96 36 wattoroos 43 fisichella_2001 47 Costaz 0 noikeee 8 markelov74 35 Marklar 42 Makarias 45 f1paul 0 thegforcemaybewi 8 scheivlak 34 Makarias 41 SpaceHorseParty 45 GTA 0 Bleu 6 Apex 30 scheivlak 40 f1paul 43 Kev00 0 fisichella_2001 6 mark f1 30 M2000-5 36 Marklar 43 M2000-5 0 * Forecast 4 AcuraF1 22 SpaceHorseParty 33 wattoroos 43 Makarias 0 SpaceHorseParty 4 Grayson 20 f1paul 32 M2000-5 37 markelov74 0 Kev00 3 * Current 20 * Current 30 sladealonso 34 Marklar 0 markelov74 2 Bleu 17 sladealonso 29 Brawn BGP 001 33 noikeee 0 * Current 2 M2000-5 14 Brawn BGP 001 24 * Current 29 RaikkonenFan96 0 M2000-5 1 Barty 12 noikeee 23 noikeee 22 SpaceHorseParty 0 Brawn BGP 001 0Grosjean has finally found points form after his horrible start to the season. Ericsson has a shot at a 100% surprise, six points to go!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- KWSN-DSM 1922,4 44,0 fisichella_2001 1920,3 4,7 thegforcemaybewithyou1918,6 32,8 RaikkonenFan96 1896,5 16,1 Apex 1889,9 8,1 Kev00 1889,5 1,7 Makarias 1879,0 23,1 DutchQuicksilver 1878,8 23,0 Bleu 1862,5 17,7 scheivlak 1858,5 14,1 wattoroos 1849,1 6,5 AcuraF1 1843,5 28,3 Costaz 1834,9 32,3 Marklar 1827,5 9,6 mark f1 1824,9 8,1 Grayson 1822,2 2,5 Brawn BGP 001 1821,5 26,7 M2000-5 1811,2 -31,1 f1paul 1804,3 -3,3 markelov74 1796,1 4,1 GTA 1786,4 50,6 sladealonso 1778,7 16,2 SpaceHorseParty 1770,7 16,2 noikeee 1762,7 16,2 Barty 1753,0 37,8Oh dear, say it isn't so!