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Guess the Pole 2018: USA


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 06 October 2018 - 07:23

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2018 standings

Five latest poles at USA-Austin:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2017  Hamilton      93.108
2016  Hamilton      94.999
2015  Rosberg      116.824
2014  Rosberg       96.067
2013  Vettel        96.338

Driver values:
Dri  val
Hami   4
Bott   9
Vett   9
Räik  13
Vers  13
REST  18

2018 data:
                  Time    2017 PP  2016 PP  2015 PP  2018/2017  2018/2016  2018/2015
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
OZ   Hami  Räik   81.164   82.188   83.837   86.327    98.754     96.812     94.019
BAH  Vett  Räik   87.958   88.769   89.493   92.571    99.086     98.285     95.017
CHN  Vett  Räik   91.095   91.678   95.402   95.782    99.364     95.485     95.107
AZE  Vett  Hami  101.498  100.593  102.758   ------   100.900     98.774     ------
ESP  Hami  Bott   76.173   79.149   82.000   84.681    96.240     92.894     89.953
MON  Ricc  Vett   70.810   72.178   73.622   75.098    98.105     96.180     94.290
CAN  Vett  Bott   70.764   71.459   72.812   74.393    99.027     97.187     95.122
FRA  Hami  Bott   90.029   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
AUT  Bott  Hami   63.130   64.251   67.922   68.455    98.255     92.945     92.221
GB   Hami  Vett   85.892   86.600   89.287   92.248    99.182     96.198     93.110
GER  Vett  Bott   71.212   ------   74.363   ------    ------     95.763     ------
HUN  Hami  Bott   95.658   76.276   79.965   82.020   125.410    119.625    116.628
BEL  Hami  Vett  118.179  102.553  106.744  107.197   115.237    110.713    110.245
ITA  Räik  Vett   79.119   95.554   81.135   83.397    82.800     97.515     94.870
SIN  Hami  Vers   96.015   99.491  102.584  103.885    96.506     93.596     92.424
RUS  Bott  Hami   91.387   93.194   95.417   97.113    98.061     95.776     94.104
JAP  Hami  Bott   87.760   87.319   90.647   92.584   100.505     96.815     94.790
USA                    0   93.108   94.999  116.824                                
MEX                    0   76.488   78.704   79.480                                
BRA                    0   68.322   70.736   71.282                                
ABU                    0   96.231   98.755  100.237                                
My guess for USA is 90.651 s by Lewis Hamilton.

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#2 rodlamas

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Posted 07 October 2018 - 15:01

Hamilton 90.888



#3 fisichella_2001

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Posted 12 October 2018 - 08:40

91.887 Hamilton



#4 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 15 October 2018 - 22:27

100.711 Hamilton

 

:cool:



#5 mark f1

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Posted 16 October 2018 - 10:07

Hamilton 91.059



#6 Andy35

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Posted 17 October 2018 - 13:35

 

Thanks Michael for that.  Not that windy then, only 15 million trees down!  Sevenoaks where I live became Oneoak.. true story.  I was at college and remember telling my future wife whilst drunk that "it's a bit windy outside"

 

 

Getting to back to the USA, looks currently like there will be some rain, not a wash out like 2015 but not dry.  I would recommend guessing last minute and people who have already guessed keeping an eye out and perhaps modifying their guess. I've always said Makarias going first was always a disadvantage....

 

Andy


Edited by Andy35, 17 October 2018 - 13:40.


#7 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 17 October 2018 - 17:15

1:04.771 - Lewis Hamilton

#8 2aron

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Posted 18 October 2018 - 08:01

91.695 Hamilton



#9 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 18 October 2018 - 17:42

Ricciardo 99.270

#10 Grayson

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Posted 18 October 2018 - 18:39

Hamilton 93.000



#11 thegforcemaybewithyou

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Posted 18 October 2018 - 19:25

91.919



#12 M2000-5

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Posted 18 October 2018 - 19:47

91.241 Hamilton



#13 scheivlak

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Posted 18 October 2018 - 19:55

Hamilton 100.043



#14 Kev00

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Posted 18 October 2018 - 22:21

Hamilton 108.540

#15 GTA

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Posted 18 October 2018 - 22:42

Lewis 97.444



#16 AcuraF1

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Posted 18 October 2018 - 23:02

Vettel 107.272



#17 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 19 October 2018 - 00:13

Hamilton 91.292

#18 Barty

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Posted 19 October 2018 - 07:22

Verstappen 110.166



#19 thequadge

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Posted 19 October 2018 - 08:13

91.813 Hamilton



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#20 Andy35

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Posted 19 October 2018 - 08:35

I still haven't a clue whether it is going to be wet or dry, showers might be dying out though and it is a late start for some odd reason.

 

Lewis 92.444s



#21 Bleu

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Posted 19 October 2018 - 08:45

Hamilton 91.711



#22 Marklar

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Posted 19 October 2018 - 10:19

92.000 Vettel



#23 f1paul

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Posted 19 October 2018 - 12:05

107.777 Verstappen 



#24 Costaz

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Posted 19 October 2018 - 12:37

Bottas 91.484



#25 alekracing

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Posted 19 October 2018 - 14:17

Hamilton 92.639



#26 thequadge

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Posted 19 October 2018 - 21:21

1:04.771 - Lewis Hamilton

 

I think even Lewis will struggle to do a 64s lap!  :p  :p  :p



#27 f1paul

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Posted 19 October 2018 - 21:23

 

Thanks Michael for that.  Not that windy then, only 15 million trees down!  Sevenoaks where I live became Oneoak.. true story.  I was at college and remember telling my future wife whilst drunk that "it's a bit windy outside"

 

 

Getting to back to the USA, looks currently like there will be some rain, not a wash out like 2015 but not dry.  I would recommend guessing last minute and people who have already guessed keeping an eye out and perhaps modifying their guess. I've always said Makarias going first was always a disadvantage....

 

Andy

Yet he still does better than most people!

 ;)