The standings after Mexico:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) KWSN-DSM 1825 58 2) thegforcemaybewithyou1819 69 3) Apex 1792 55 4) fisichella_2001 1790 65 5) Makarias 1789 68 6) RaikkonenFan96 1786 66 7) DutchQuicksilver 1774 61 8) Kev00 1769 65 9) wattoroos 1767 48 10) Bleu 1753 72 11) scheivlak 1748 59 12) AcuraF1 1736 65 13) Marklar 1734 52 14) Grayson 1724 59 15) mark f1 1717 51 16) f1paul 1714 43 17) Costaz 1708 43 18) Brawn BGP 001 1701 59 19) GTA 1700 55 20) M2000-5 1693 69 21) markelov74 1684 47 22) sladealonso 1679 59 23) SpaceHorseParty 1665 59 24) Barty 1659 49 25) noikeee 1652 59Highest round score: 72 for Bleu.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Eric 642,8 81,8 24 Lecl 592,0 168,8 25 Gasl 173,0 93,5 24 Magn 152,8 65,4 21 Räik 136,5 111,8 25 Pere 111,2 59,4 15 Vett 106,1 74,8 18 Hami 100,7 89,3 13 Hülk 86,9 62,2 5 Ocon 86,3 36,0 11 Vers 81,0 66,9 2 Bott 81,0 66,6 0 Gros 79,1 42,5 7 Sain 63,2 43,3 0 Ricc 62,9 51,4 0 Alon 57,9 37,6 2 Hart 38,2 15,4 4 Stro 32,7 7,4 4 Vand 23,3 12,0 0 Siro 7,1 2,4 1Sebastian Vettel and Lewis Hamilton pass their 100% expectation marks as the 7th and 8th driver this season.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2018 this is 25.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Vettel Räikkönen Hamilton Bottas GTA 322 M2000-5 392 * Potential 286 * Potential 408 GTA 340 Barty 315 * Potential 344 * Forecast 261 noikeee 400 sladealonso 336 f1paul 315 * Forecast 325 * Current 236 * Forecast 396 noikeee 335 Brawn BGP 001 313 fisichella_2001 314 thegforcemaybewi210 GTA 392 Barty 333 markelov74 300 AcuraF1 310 wattoroos 209 M2000-5 386 SpaceHorseParty 304 scheivlak 285 thegforcemaybewi310 fisichella_2001 200 Makarias 384 Marklar 302 Marklar 280 Bleu 308 KWSN-DSM 200 sladealonso 383 DutchQuicksilver301 fisichella_2001 277 Kev00 307 M2000-5 192 SpaceHorseParty 382 M2000-5 281 SpaceHorseParty 277 KWSN-DSM 300 Brawn BGP 001 187 Grayson 370 KWSN-DSM 280 Kev00 270 * Current 294 AcuraF1 185 thegforcemaybewi370 thegforcemaybewi280 M2000-5 270 Costaz 288 Makarias 184 scheivlak 368 scheivlak 279 mark f1 270 Makarias 285 Bleu 183 DutchQuicksilver367 * Potential 277 thegforcemaybewi270 RaikkonenFan96 283 Apex 180 RaikkonenFan96 366 RaikkonenFan96 277 wattoroos 268 Apex 280 Kev00 180 Brawn BGP 001 364 Bleu 272 * Potential 266 DutchQuicksilver278 DutchQuicksilver179 * Current 358 Makarias 272 noikeee 265 f1paul 276 f1paul 178 Bleu 353 wattoroos 271 RaikkonenFan96 261 Marklar 274 Marklar 170 Marklar 351 Apex 270 Makarias 259 Grayson 265 RaikkonenFan96 170 Apex 350 Grayson 270 sladealonso 256 scheivlak 265 Costaz 165 KWSN-DSM 350 fisichella_2001 266 Bleu 246 Brawn BGP 001 264 Barty 160 mark f1 350 markelov74 265 DutchQuicksilver246 wattoroos 256 mark f1 160 AcuraF1 343 AcuraF1 260 Grayson 245 markelov74 255 scheivlak 156 Kev00 343 mark f1 255 * Forecast 239 sladealonso 251 sladealonso 153 fisichella_2001 341 Brawn BGP 001 254 AcuraF1 224 mark f1 245 Grayson 150 markelov74 335 * Forecast 251 Apex 220 Barty 240 noikeee 150 f1paul 324 f1paul 241 * Current 216 SpaceHorseParty 231 GTA 149 wattoroos 317 Costaz 237 KWSN-DSM 213 GTA 225 SpaceHorseParty 147 Barty 310 Kev00 228 Costaz 200 noikeee 225 markelov74 125 Costaz 291 * Current 227Verstappen finally beats a couple of guesses and has a few more within reach. Bottas is also knocking on the door. Hamilton still has a chance at a 100% surprise.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Hülkenberg Leclerc Vandoorne Ericsson Gasly * Potential 119 * Potential 77 Costaz 99 * Potential 59 * Potential 79 Barty 110 * Forecast 30 Brawn BGP 001 77 Barty 10 * Forecast 32 Brawn BGP 001 96 * Current 27 Kev00 76 * Forecast 10 wattoroos 30 AcuraF1 95 Apex 15 SpaceHorseParty 74 * Current 9 * Current 29 Costaz 95 RaikkonenFan96 14 Apex 70 Apex 5 f1paul 27 Bleu 92 scheivlak 12 Grayson 70 Grayson 5 Makarias 26 fisichella_2001 87 f1paul 8 mark f1 70 mark f1 4 Apex 25 Kev00 85 markelov74 8 noikeee 65 wattoroos 3 Grayson 25 mark f1 85 wattoroos 7 * Potential 62 scheivlak 2 KWSN-DSM 24 markelov74 85 DutchQuicksilver 6 markelov74 60 thegforcemaybewi 2 scheivlak 23 scheivlak 84 Grayson 6 sladealonso 59 DutchQuicksilver 1 RaikkonenFan96 22 SpaceHorseParty 83 mark f1 6 f1paul 58 fisichella_2001 1 Costaz 21 RaikkonenFan96 82 Barty 5 Makarias 56 KWSN-DSM 1 noikeee 17 Grayson 80 fisichella_2001 5 Barty 50 sladealonso 1 Bleu 16 noikeee 80 sladealonso 5 fisichella_2001 50 AcuraF1 0 DutchQuicksilver 16 wattoroos 78 thegforcemaybewi 3 DutchQuicksilver 43 Bleu 0 Barty 15 sladealonso 77 AcuraF1 2 AcuraF1 40 Brawn BGP 001 0 mark f1 15 DutchQuicksilver 76 Bleu 2 RaikkonenFan96 40 Costaz 0 markelov74 15 * Forecast 76 Brawn BGP 001 2 scheivlak 40 f1paul 0 GTA 14 Apex 75 Kev00 2 wattoroos 38 GTA 0 Kev00 14 Marklar 70 KWSN-DSM 2 Bleu 36 Kev00 0 Marklar 13 Makarias 69 M2000-5 1 Marklar 33 M2000-5 0 sladealonso 13 * Current 69 Makarias 1 KWSN-DSM 25 Makarias 0 SpaceHorseParty 12 f1paul 65 noikeee 1 GTA 20 markelov74 0 fisichella_2001 11 GTA 65 SpaceHorseParty 1 M2000-5 20 Marklar 0 AcuraF1 8 KWSN-DSM 60 Costaz 0 thegforcemaybewi 20 noikeee 0 thegforcemaybewi 8 thegforcemaybewi 60 GTA 0 * Forecast 13 RaikkonenFan96 0 M2000-5 5 M2000-5 50 Marklar 0 * Current 12 SpaceHorseParty 0 Brawn BGP 001 4Vandoorne was last seen scoring points in Azerbaijan, when dodos and mammoths roamed the earth. Ericsson and Gasly are both two points short of a 100% surprise.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- thegforcemaybewithyou1935,8 -4,8 KWSN-DSM 1897,4 -19,9 fisichella_2001 1894,9 5,3 Makarias 1892,7 0,2 RaikkonenFan96 1884,1 2,4 DutchQuicksilver 1878,8 -1,3 Apex 1861,8 -13,0 Bleu 1859,8 2,0 wattoroos 1853,7 8,4 Kev00 1848,8 7,1 scheivlak 1847,8 5,3 M2000-5 1825,2 5,7 AcuraF1 1824,8 -11,0 Grayson 1818,7 7,2 GTA 1816,5 -2,6 Marklar 1812,7 0,2 mark f1 1809,8 1,2 Brawn BGP 001 1791,5 5,5 sladealonso 1788,3 5,6 f1paul 1781,8 2,6 noikeee 1779,6 -1,1 markelov74 1776,7 3,7 SpaceHorseParty 1772,9 5,9 Costaz 1762,3 -8,4 Barty 1752,8 2,5Another stinky result for Haas makes KWSN's forecast plummet and gforce now looks like the clear favourite for the title.