Why is it rolling the dice?
Ha... because its Honda. Of course its rolling the dice, they've made this move to end up challenging for World Championships. A distant 3rd or, heaven forbid, lose ground from the Renault days, isn't part of the plan.
You lot are talking like its a foregone conclusion they will be better than 2018. This season can't come quick enough.
Keep this in mind too - Honda, apart from the odd season here and there, have generally been garbage since the first McLaren Honda era. You count the years.
Red Bull have very high expectations. Sink or swim.
They were stuck between a rock and hard place with Renault. Trying to make it sound like Red Bull has ditched some top contending/works status PU is a bit daft to begin with. Renault has been talking a big game for quite some time now and have yet to deliver anything near a top level PU (continually struggling to get their new spec engines to work reliably). Maybe the Renault will come good in the next year or 2, but by then Red Bull may get stuck playing second fiddle (and the shenanigans that can come with that) to their supplier who has championship aspirations as well. And who knows how interested Honda would have been to stick around supplying a back marker for the next couple of years, all the while waiting for Red Bull to decide their future. Red Bull were basically cornered anyway you want to paint it.
As far as Honda having a poor record in the modern era - I agree to some extent, but times change and people change within the teams. Maybe Honda should have never entered the sport again if the ideology is that the past must dictate the future. Renault was solid in the V10 and V8 era but have been abysmal in this hybrid era....things don’t always coincide.