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Guess the Pole 2019: Australia


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 04 March 2019 - 23:28

Hello and welcome to Guess the Pole 2019! Same rules as last year, no innovation to upset anyone.

As usual, the season opener is scored as a Modified Layout.

 

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2018 final standings

Five latest poles at Australia:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2018  Hamilton      81.164
2017  Hamilton      82.188
2016  Hamilton      83.837
2015  Hamilton      86.327
2014  Hamilton     104.231

Late 2018 front rows:
GP   Pole  #2  
JAP  Hami Bott
USA  Hami Vett
MEX  Ricc Vers
BRA  Hami Vett
ABU  Hami Bott

Driver values:
Dri  val
Hami   4
Bott   9
Vett   9
Ricc  13
Vers  13
REST  18

2019 data:
                  Time    2018 PP  2017 PP  2016 PP  2019/2018  2019/2017  2019/2016
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
OZ                     0   81.164   82.188   83.837                                
BAH                    0   87.958   88.769   89.493                                
CHN                    0   91.095   91.678   95.402                                
AZE                    0  101.498  100.593  102.758                                
ESP                    0   76.173   79.149   82.000                                
MON                    0   70.810   72.178   73.622                                
CAN                    0   70.764   71.459   72.812                                
FRA                    0   90.029   ------   ------               ------     ------
AUT                    0   63.130   64.251   67.922                                
GB                     0   85.892   86.600   89.287                                
GER                    0   71.212   ------   74.363               ------           
HUN                    0   95.658   76.276   79.965                                
BEL                    0  118.179  102.553  106.744                                
ITA                    0   79.119   95.554   81.135                                
SIN                    0   96.015   99.491  102.584                                
RUS                    0   91.387   93.194   95.417                                
JAP                    0   87.760   87.319   90.647                                
MEX                    0   74.759   76.488   78.704                                
USA                    0   92.237   93.108   94.999                                
BRA                    0   67.281   68.322   70.736                                
ABU                    0   94.794   96.231   98.755                                

2018 data:
                  Time    2017 PP  2016 PP  2015 PP  2018/2017  2018/2016  2018/2015
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
OZ   Hami  Räik   81.164   82.188   83.837   86.327    98.754     96.812     94.019
BAH  Vett  Räik   87.958   88.769   89.493   92.571    99.086     98.285     95.017
CHN  Vett  Räik   91.095   91.678   95.402   95.782    99.364     95.485     95.107
AZE  Vett  Hami  101.498  100.593  102.758   ------   100.900     98.774     ------
ESP  Hami  Bott   76.173   79.149   82.000   84.681    96.240     92.894     89.953
MON  Ricc  Vett   70.810   72.178   73.622   75.098    98.105     96.180     94.290
CAN  Vett  Bott   70.764   71.459   72.812   74.393    99.027     97.187     95.122
FRA  Hami  Bott   90.029   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
AUT  Bott  Hami   63.130   64.251   67.922   68.455    98.255     92.945     92.221
GB   Hami  Vett   85.892   86.600   89.287   92.248    99.182     96.198     93.110
GER  Vett  Bott   71.212   ------   74.363   ------    ------     95.763     ------
HUN  Hami  Bott   95.658   76.276   79.965   82.020   125.410    119.625    116.628
BEL  Hami  Vett  118.179  102.553  106.744  107.197   115.237    110.713    110.245
ITA  Räik  Vett   79.119   95.554   81.135   83.397    82.800     97.515     94.870
SIN  Hami  Vers   96.015   99.491  102.584  103.885    96.506     93.596     92.424
RUS  Bott  Hami   91.387   93.194   95.417   97.113    98.061     95.776     94.104
JAP  Hami  Bott   87.760   87.319   90.647   92.584   100.505     96.815     94.790
USA  Hami  Vett   92.237   93.108   94.999  116.824    99.065     97.093     78.954
MEX  Ricc  Vers   74.759   76.488   78.704   79.480    97.740     94.988     94.060
BRA  Hami  Vett   67.281   68.322   70.736   71.282    98.476     95.116     94.387
ABU  Hami  Bott   94.794   96.231   98.755  100.237    98.507     95.989     94.570
My guess for Australia is 80.349 s by Charles Leclerc.

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#2 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 04 March 2019 - 23:52

80.711 - Vettel

 

:cool: 



#3 mark f1

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Posted 05 March 2019 - 10:47

Vettel - 80.999



#4 thegforcemaybewithyou

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Posted 05 March 2019 - 14:31

Vettel 80.808



#5 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 05 March 2019 - 17:59

80.726 - Sebastian Vettel

#6 rodlamas

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Posted 05 March 2019 - 19:08

Lewis Hamilton 80.388


Edited by rodlamas, 05 March 2019 - 19:08.


#7 brunopascal

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Posted 10 March 2019 - 15:11

Hamilton 80.000



#8 fisichella_2001

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Posted 11 March 2019 - 10:33

81.023 Vettel



#9 scheivlak

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Posted 11 March 2019 - 18:31

Vettel 80.724



#10 f1paul

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Posted 12 March 2019 - 15:58

Leclerc 81.564



#11 2aron

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Posted 13 March 2019 - 14:37

80.607



#12 GTA

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Posted 13 March 2019 - 17:41

81.007 Charles Leclerc



#13 alekracing

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 00:18

Vettel 80.479



#14 M2000-5

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 07:27

Vettel 80.513



#15 Andy35

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 09:30

Weather looking nice and sunny it seems.

 

Leclerc  79.616s


Edited by Andy35, 14 March 2019 - 09:42.


#16 Kev00

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 13:26

Vettel 80.960

#17 Marklar

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 18:16

80.414 Vettel



#18 Grayson

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 20:10

Vettel 80.500



#19 Costaz

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 20:27

Vettel 81.163


Edited by Costaz, 14 March 2019 - 20:27.


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#20 milestone 11

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 20:38

80.517 Vettel



#21 Barty

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 21:03

Bottas 80.166



#22 Bleu

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 22:00

Vettel 80.352



#23 lonestarstraits

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 22:00

Vettel 80.104



#24 AcuraF1

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 22:16

Vettel 80.272



#25 thequadge

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 22:28

80.464 Vettel



#26 wattoroos

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 23:42

80.650 Vettel



#27 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 14 March 2019 - 23:48

Vettel 80.746

#28 Fudce

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Posted 15 March 2019 - 00:41

Leclerc 81.311