The standings after Australia:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Almost everyone 101 101 23) thequadge 99 99One entry didn't add up to 2121 points: thequadge had 2118 points. At least a couple of those could have been placed on Stroll, but alas...
The entries
The following list shows the maximum, average ("popularity poll") and minimum bets on each driver. Column "Diff" is Popularity Poll difference to 2018.
Name Max Pop Min Diff Vett 381 338 289 + 61 Hami 377 324 238 - 32 Lecl 345 283 180 +278 Vers 299 250 170 - 17 Bott 270 215 164 - 65 Gasl 214 155 112 +138 Ricc 149 93 64 -139 Hülk 118 79 50 +- 0 Gros 97 61 37 + 22 Räik 93 57 33 -116 Magn 95 56 27 + 21 Sain 178 45 7 - 26 Pere 80 39 12 - 12 Giov 82 34 8 + 34 Norr 122 30 0 + 30 Kvya 51 21 5 + 21 Stro 40 20 0 + 2 Albo 45 18 3 + 18 Russ 6 2 0 + 2 Kubi 6 1 0 + 1
Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team Pts Diff Ferr 621 +171 Merc 539 - 97 RBR 405 - 94 Rena 172 + 22 Haas 117 + 43 Alfa 91 + 85 McLa 75 - 63 RPoi 59 - 49 STR 39 + 11 Will 3 - 29Preseason testing results get old fast.
If the Popularity Poll turns out to be a 100% correct prediction, the final standings would look like this:
Pos Name Tot 1) thegforcemaybewithyou2049 2) fisichella_2001 2038 3) scheivlak 2022 4) wattoroos 2014 5) DutchQuicksilver 2013 6) Grayson 2006 7) sladealonso 2004 8) noikeee 2001 9) Barty 1993 10) M2000-5 1992 = Marklar 1992 12) Bleu 1991 = Kev00 1991 14) mark f1 1989 15) Makarias 1974 16) GTA 1964 17) f1paul 1959 = KWSN-DSM 1959 19) Brawn BGP 001 1930 20) thequadge 1922 21) Anderis 1877 22) SpaceHorseParty 1829 23) Costaz 1764Last year gforce and fisichella finished first and third overall. Is average the way to go for success?
How many players have guessed each driver for WDC?
Driver Players Vett 15 Hami 6 Lecl 3Vettel and Leclerc finished equal first in Anderis' entry.
Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner Owned <- = -> Hami 23 0 0 Bott Vers 23 0 0 Gasl Pere 22 1 0 stro Räik 22 0 1 Giov Ricc 21 0 2 Hülk Sain 20 1 2 Norr Vett 20 1 2 Lecl Kvya 13 1 9 Albo Gros 12 3 8 Magn Russ 9 9 5 KubiThree teams have interesting teammate battles to look forward to. Only Mercedes has continuity in their driver lineup.
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Magn 14,3 8,3 0 Bott 11,6 9,2 0 Stro 9,8 4,9 1 Hülk 7,6 5,0 0 Räik 7,0 4,3 0 Vers 6,0 5,0 0 Hami 5,6 4,8 0 Kvya 4,8 1,9 0 Vett 3,5 3,1 0 Lecl 3,5 2,9 0The excitement is only just beginning.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Bottas Hamilton Verstappen Vettel Leclerc * Forecast 525 * Potential 518 * Potential 515 * Potential 512 * Potential 510 * Potential 525 * Forecast 378 * Forecast 315 M2000-5 381 sladealonso 345 Grayson 270 mark f1 377 Marklar 299 Bleu 378 Anderis 340 GTA 264 M2000-5 358 Makarias 292 Brawn BGP 001 374 thequadge 331 Kev00 255 Bleu 356 Anderis 290 noikeee 365 Brawn BGP 001 322 Barty 250 Makarias 356 scheivlak 288 thequadge 353 f1paul 315 KWSN-DSM 248 Kev00 353 f1paul 286 DutchQuicksilver351 SpaceHorseParty 312 M2000-5 241 Grayson 350 sladealonso 275 GTA 351 noikeee 310 mark f1 240 thequadge 345 Kev00 270 Marklar 349 thegforcemaybewi299 DutchQuicksilver238 GTA 340 wattoroos 268 fisichella_2001 348 Marklar 298 thequadge 228 sladealonso 336 GTA 267 Makarias 345 fisichella_2001 297 Bleu 224 DutchQuicksilver334 thegforcemaybewi266 Barty 342 GTA 290 fisichella_2001 208 fisichella_2001 329 noikeee 265 Anderis 340 Barty 276 thegforcemaybewi208 Barty 326 mark f1 260 Grayson 340 scheivlak 276 Makarias 207 wattoroos 326 DutchQuicksilver253 mark f1 340 mark f1 270 scheivlak 207 thegforcemaybewi317 KWSN-DSM 249 f1paul 329 Grayson 266 sladealonso 205 noikeee 316 M2000-5 248 thegforcemaybewi325 Bleu 263 Costaz 202 scheivlak 315 thequadge 243 sladealonso 322 wattoroos 259 wattoroos 201 KWSN-DSM 309 Brawn BGP 001 234 Kev00 321 Makarias 257 Marklar 200 f1paul 301 fisichella_2001 230 wattoroos 313 DutchQuicksilver256 Brawn BGP 001 189 Marklar 300 Bleu 226 scheivlak 311 M2000-5 251 noikeee 173 Brawn BGP 001 299 Grayson 200 KWSN-DSM 310 KWSN-DSM 250 SpaceHorseParty 167 Costaz 296 SpaceHorseParty 189 Costaz 299 Kev00 242 Anderis 165 SpaceHorseParty 267 Barty 180 SpaceHorseParty 289 * Forecast 210 f1paul 164 Anderis 238 Costaz 170 * Forecast 252 Costaz 180 * Current 25 * Current 18 * Current 15 * Current 12 * Current 10It'll take a good while before these drivers start nibbling at the lowest of the guesses on them.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Magnussen Hülkenberg Räikkönen Stroll Kvyat * Potential 508 * Potential 506 * Potential 504 * Potential 502 * Potential 501 * Forecast 168 * Forecast 126 Anderis 93 * Forecast 42 Costaz 51 SpaceHorseParty 95 thequadge 118 * Forecast 84 wattoroos 40 M2000-5 32 KWSN-DSM 84 Anderis 107 GTA 81 DutchQuicksilver 36 noikeee 32 Costaz 80 SpaceHorseParty 104 KWSN-DSM 81 mark f1 35 Barty 30 Barty 70 fisichella_2001 87 Marklar 74 Makarias 31 scheivlak 28 noikeee 69 Brawn BGP 001 85 wattoroos 71 Costaz 30 Kev00 27 f1paul 68 KWSN-DSM 83 Barty 70 GTA 30 Grayson 25 wattoroos 67 Makarias 83 Kev00 70 thegforcemaybewi 30 mark f1 25 Grayson 60 scheivlak 82 scheivlak 69 fisichella_2001 29 SpaceHorseParty 25 thegforcemaybewi 60 thegforcemaybewi 82 SpaceHorseParty 57 Grayson 28 Bleu 23 DutchQuicksilver 58 Barty 80 fisichella_2001 55 Bleu 25 DutchQuicksilver 23 Kev00 58 Grayson 80 noikeee 55 Anderis 20 * Forecast 21 M2000-5 56 mark f1 80 DutchQuicksilver 54 KWSN-DSM 19 Anderis 20 scheivlak 56 M2000-5 78 f1paul 54 Marklar 18 KWSN-DSM 20 fisichella_2001 51 GTA 77 Grayson 52 Barty 15 Marklar 20 Marklar 49 Bleu 74 Bleu 46 noikeee 15 thegforcemaybewi 20 sladealonso 49 wattoroos 71 sladealonso 45 scheivlak 14 f1paul 14 GTA 41 sladealonso 70 Brawn BGP 001 43 sladealonso 13 fisichella_2001 14 mark f1 40 DutchQuicksilver 68 Costaz 43 Kev00 12 sladealonso 14 thequadge 40 noikeee 68 thequadge 41 M2000-5 12 wattoroos 13 Anderis 37 f1paul 62 mark f1 40 f1paul 10 Makarias 10 Bleu 37 Costaz 61 thegforcemaybewi 40 SpaceHorseParty 6 GTA 6 Makarias 37 Kev00 57 M2000-5 39 Brawn BGP 001 3 Brawn BGP 001 5 Brawn BGP 001 27 Marklar 50 Makarias 33 * Current 2 thequadge 5 * Current 8 * Current 6 * Current 4 thequadge 0 * Current 1Eight teams in the WCC points already is quite fun.
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Spanish GP.