The standings after Canada:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Barty 707 101 = Bleu 707 101 = Costaz 707 101 = DutchQuicksilver 707 101 = f1paul 707 101 = fisichella_2001 707 101 = Grayson 707 101 = Kev00 707 101 = M2000-5 707 101 = Marklar 707 101 = noikeee 707 101 = scheivlak 707 101 = sladealonso 707 101 = SpaceHorseParty 707 101 = thegforcemaybewithyou 707 101 = wattoroos 707 101 17) mark f1 705 101 18) Makarias 703 101 19) Anderis 699 101 = Brawn BGP 001 699 98 21) KWSN-DSM 694 101 22) GTA 689 100 23) thequadge 678 98Just a few points missed here and there due to Stroll and Kvyat.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bott 60,8 48,3 0 Hami 49,7 42,6 0 Kvya 47,7 19,2 3 Norr 40,3 9,8 4 Sain 39,8 10,1 3 Albo 37,9 15,2 2 Vers 35,2 29,3 0 Pere 33,3 16,0 1 Vett 29,6 26,2 0 Stro 29,3 14,6 2 Magn 25,0 14,6 0 Lecl 24,7 20,2 0 Räik 22,9 13,8 0 Gasl 21,9 15,8 0 Ricc 17,2 10,7 0 Hülk 15,3 10,1 0 Gros 3,3 2,0 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Vettel Leclerc Bottas Verstappen * Potential 511 * Potential 450 * Potential 420 * Potential 481 * Potential 438 * Forecast 483 M2000-5 381 sladealonso 345 * Forecast 393 Marklar 299 mark f1 377 Bleu 378 Anderis 340 Grayson 270 Makarias 292 M2000-5 358 Brawn BGP 001 374 thequadge 331 GTA 264 Anderis 290 Bleu 356 noikeee 365 Brawn BGP 001 322 Kev00 255 scheivlak 288 Makarias 356 thequadge 353 f1paul 315 Barty 250 f1paul 286 Kev00 353 DutchQuicksilver351 SpaceHorseParty 312 KWSN-DSM 248 sladealonso 275 Grayson 350 GTA 351 noikeee 310 M2000-5 241 Kev00 270 thequadge 345 Marklar 349 thegforcemaybewi299 mark f1 240 wattoroos 268 GTA 340 fisichella_2001 348 Marklar 298 DutchQuicksilver238 GTA 267 sladealonso 336 Makarias 345 fisichella_2001 297 thequadge 228 thegforcemaybewi266 DutchQuicksilver334 Barty 342 GTA 290 Bleu 224 noikeee 265 fisichella_2001 329 Anderis 340 Barty 276 fisichella_2001 208 * Forecast 264 Barty 326 Grayson 340 scheivlak 276 thegforcemaybewi208 mark f1 260 wattoroos 326 mark f1 340 mark f1 270 Makarias 207 DutchQuicksilver253 thegforcemaybewi317 f1paul 329 Grayson 266 scheivlak 207 KWSN-DSM 249 noikeee 316 thegforcemaybewi325 Bleu 263 sladealonso 205 M2000-5 248 scheivlak 315 sladealonso 322 wattoroos 259 Costaz 202 thequadge 243 KWSN-DSM 309 Kev00 321 Makarias 257 wattoroos 201 Brawn BGP 001 234 f1paul 301 wattoroos 313 DutchQuicksilver256 Marklar 200 fisichella_2001 230 Marklar 300 scheivlak 311 M2000-5 251 Brawn BGP 001 189 Bleu 226 Brawn BGP 001 299 KWSN-DSM 310 KWSN-DSM 250 noikeee 173 Grayson 200 Costaz 296 * Forecast 300 Kev00 242 SpaceHorseParty 167 SpaceHorseParty 189 SpaceHorseParty 267 Costaz 299 * Forecast 210 Anderis 165 Barty 180 Anderis 238 SpaceHorseParty 289 Costaz 180 f1paul 164 Costaz 170 * Current 161 * Current 100 * Current 70 * Current 131 * Current 8833 to go for Bottas now.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Ricciardo Hülkenberg Gasly Stroll Kvyat * Potential 366 * Potential 362 * Potential 384 * Potential 356 * Potential 360 thequadge 149 thequadge 118 f1paul 214 wattoroos 40 Costaz 51 SpaceHorseParty 128 Anderis 107 wattoroos 179 DutchQuicksilver 36 M2000-5 32 Anderis 118 SpaceHorseParty 104 Bleu 176 mark f1 35 noikeee 32 Makarias 108 fisichella_2001 87 Brawn BGP 001 172 Makarias 31 * Forecast 30 scheivlak 104 Brawn BGP 001 85 DutchQuicksilver171 Costaz 30 Barty 30 Barty 100 KWSN-DSM 83 sladealonso 165 GTA 30 scheivlak 28 Brawn BGP 001 100 Makarias 83 thegforcemaybewi165 thegforcemaybewi 30 Kev00 27 mark f1 100 scheivlak 82 Anderis 163 fisichella_2001 29 Grayson 25 fisichella_2001 98 thegforcemaybewi 82 noikeee 160 Grayson 28 mark f1 25 M2000-5 98 Barty 80 thequadge 159 Bleu 25 SpaceHorseParty 25 Grayson 92 Grayson 80 Kev00 158 Anderis 20 Bleu 23 Kev00 92 mark f1 80 M2000-5 158 KWSN-DSM 19 DutchQuicksilver 23 Bleu 89 M2000-5 78 Makarias 153 * Forecast 18 Anderis 20 KWSN-DSM 85 GTA 77 Barty 150 Marklar 18 KWSN-DSM 20 thegforcemaybewi 85 Bleu 74 Grayson 150 Barty 15 Marklar 20 Costaz 80 wattoroos 71 KWSN-DSM 150 noikeee 15 thegforcemaybewi 20 wattoroos 80 sladealonso 70 mark f1 150 scheivlak 14 f1paul 14 f1paul 78 DutchQuicksilver 68 Marklar 148 sladealonso 13 fisichella_2001 14 DutchQuicksilver 76 noikeee 68 GTA 140 Kev00 12 sladealonso 14 Marklar 75 f1paul 62 scheivlak 134 M2000-5 12 wattoroos 13 noikeee 74 Costaz 61 fisichella_2001 123 f1paul 10 Makarias 10 sladealonso 66 Kev00 57 SpaceHorseParty 119 SpaceHorseParty 6 * Current 10 GTA 64 Marklar 50 Costaz 112 * Current 6 GTA 6 * Forecast 48 * Forecast 36 * Forecast 102 Brawn BGP 001 3 Brawn BGP 001 5 * Current 16 * Current 12 * Current 34 thequadge 0 thequadge 5A much needed points boost for Renault, but they're still way behind expectations for this season.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- mark f1 1795 58,0 Kev00 1788 42,0 Grayson 1770 45,5 DutchQuicksilver 1758 45,5 M2000-5 1748 53,0 sladealonso 1743 33,0 GTA 1740 49,5 Bleu 1739 49,0 thegforcemaybewithyou1738 49,0 scheivlak 1736 35,5 wattoroos 1736 47,0 Makarias 1726 50,0 fisichella_2001 1707 42,5 Barty 1701 41,5 Marklar 1694 39,5 KWSN-DSM 1690 45,5 noikeee 1685 43,0 f1paul 1646 39,0 thequadge 1641 59,5 Brawn BGP 001 1619 42,5 Costaz 1615 16,0 Anderis 1553 50,0 SpaceHorseParty 1549 22,0The Renaults and Leclerc helped the forecasts up this time.