The standings after Britain:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Barty 1010 101 = Costaz 1010 101 = Grayson 1010 101 = scheivlak 1010 101 = sladealonso 1010 101 = thegforcemaybewithyou1010 101 = wattoroos 1010 101 8) fisichella_2001 1009 101 9) Bleu 1004 98 = DutchQuicksilver 1004 101 11) Marklar 1003 97 12) Makarias 1001 98 13) Brawn BGP 001 1000 99 14) Kev00 999 93 = noikeee 999 90 16) SpaceHorseParty 995 86 17) M2000-5 993 93 18) f1paul 992 83 19) mark f1 990 93 20) KWSN-DSM 967 93 21) GTA 960 91 22) Anderis 958 76 23) thequadge 949 91We're down to seven perfect scores as the first front runner, Valtteri Fitzgerald Bottas, starts to beat guesses.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bott 84,5 67,2 4 Sain 84,1 21,2 11 Norr 73,9 17,9 11 Hami 68,3 58,5 0 Kvya 57,3 23,1 4 Vers 54,0 45,0 0 Räik 44,0 26,6 0 Lecl 41,7 34,1 0 Albo 37,9 15,2 2 Vett 36,1 31,9 0 Gasl 34,2 24,7 0 Pere 33,3 16,0 1 Stro 29,3 14,6 2 Magn 25,0 14,6 0 Ricc 23,7 14,7 0 Hülk 21,6 14,3 0 Gros 3,3 2,0 0 Giov 3,0 1,2 0Bottas and Sainz are steadily nearing their 100% expectation marks.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Bottas Leclerc Gasly Verstappen * Potential 496 * Potential 457 * Potential 393 * Potential 328 * Potential 410 * Forecast 464 * Forecast 382 sladealonso 345 f1paul 214 Marklar 299 mark f1 377 Grayson 270 Anderis 340 wattoroos 179 Makarias 292 M2000-5 358 GTA 264 thequadge 331 Bleu 176 Anderis 290 Bleu 356 Kev00 255 Brawn BGP 001 322 Brawn BGP 001 172 scheivlak 288 Makarias 356 Barty 250 f1paul 315 DutchQuicksilver171 f1paul 286 Kev00 353 KWSN-DSM 248 SpaceHorseParty 312 sladealonso 165 * Forecast 284 Grayson 350 M2000-5 241 noikeee 310 thegforcemaybewi165 sladealonso 275 thequadge 345 mark f1 240 thegforcemaybewi299 Anderis 163 Kev00 270 GTA 340 DutchQuicksilver238 Marklar 298 noikeee 160 wattoroos 268 sladealonso 336 thequadge 228 fisichella_2001 297 thequadge 159 GTA 267 DutchQuicksilver334 Bleu 224 GTA 290 Kev00 158 thegforcemaybewi266 fisichella_2001 329 fisichella_2001 208 Barty 276 M2000-5 158 noikeee 265 Barty 326 thegforcemaybewi208 scheivlak 276 Makarias 153 mark f1 260 wattoroos 326 Makarias 207 mark f1 270 Barty 150 DutchQuicksilver253 thegforcemaybewi317 scheivlak 207 Grayson 266 Grayson 150 KWSN-DSM 249 noikeee 316 sladealonso 205 Bleu 263 KWSN-DSM 150 M2000-5 248 scheivlak 315 Costaz 202 wattoroos 259 mark f1 150 thequadge 243 KWSN-DSM 309 wattoroos 201 Makarias 257 Marklar 148 Brawn BGP 001 234 f1paul 301 Marklar 200 DutchQuicksilver256 GTA 140 fisichella_2001 230 Marklar 300 Brawn BGP 001 189 M2000-5 251 scheivlak 134 Bleu 226 Brawn BGP 001 299 * Current 182 KWSN-DSM 250 fisichella_2001 123 Grayson 200 Costaz 296 noikeee 173 * Forecast 248 SpaceHorseParty 119 SpaceHorseParty 189 SpaceHorseParty 267 SpaceHorseParty 167 Kev00 242 Costaz 112 Barty 180 Anderis 238 Anderis 165 Costaz 180 * Forecast 111 Costaz 170 * Current 221 f1paul 164 * Current 118 * Current 53 * Current 135Much needed points for Gasly. Leclerc's form curve is very encouraging.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Sainz Ricciardo Räikkönen Kvyat Hülkenberg * Potential 313 * Potential 297 * Potential 300 * Potential 287 * Potential 292 Costaz 178 thequadge 149 Anderis 93 Costaz 51 thequadge 118 SpaceHorseParty 111 SpaceHorseParty 128 GTA 81 M2000-5 32 Anderis 107 Brawn BGP 001 88 Anderis 118 KWSN-DSM 81 noikeee 32 SpaceHorseParty 104 * Forecast 80 Makarias 108 Marklar 74 Barty 30 fisichella_2001 87 wattoroos 49 scheivlak 104 wattoroos 71 scheivlak 28 Brawn BGP 001 85 fisichella_2001 44 Barty 100 Barty 70 Kev00 27 KWSN-DSM 83 thegforcemaybewi 44 Brawn BGP 001 100 Kev00 70 * Forecast 25 Makarias 83 DutchQuicksilver 43 mark f1 100 scheivlak 69 Grayson 25 scheivlak 82 sladealonso 43 fisichella_2001 98 SpaceHorseParty 57 mark f1 25 thegforcemaybewi 82 f1paul 41 M2000-5 98 fisichella_2001 55 SpaceHorseParty 25 Barty 80 Barty 40 Grayson 92 noikeee 55 Bleu 23 Grayson 80 Grayson 40 Kev00 92 DutchQuicksilver 54 DutchQuicksilver 23 mark f1 80 scheivlak 38 Bleu 89 f1paul 54 Anderis 20 M2000-5 78 * Current 38 KWSN-DSM 85 * Forecast 53 KWSN-DSM 20 GTA 77 Makarias 37 thegforcemaybewi 85 Grayson 52 Marklar 20 Bleu 74 noikeee 36 Costaz 80 Bleu 46 thegforcemaybewi 20 wattoroos 71 Bleu 35 wattoroos 80 sladealonso 45 f1paul 14 sladealonso 70 Marklar 34 f1paul 78 Brawn BGP 001 43 fisichella_2001 14 DutchQuicksilver 68 M2000-5 30 DutchQuicksilver 76 Costaz 43 sladealonso 14 noikeee 68 mark f1 30 Marklar 75 thequadge 41 wattoroos 13 f1paul 62 Kev00 27 noikeee 74 mark f1 40 * Current 12 Costaz 61 KWSN-DSM 18 sladealonso 66 thegforcemaybewi 40 Makarias 10 Kev00 57 GTA 16 GTA 64 M2000-5 39 GTA 6 Marklar 50 Anderis 10 * Forecast 46 Makarias 33 Brawn BGP 001 5 * Forecast 36 thequadge 7 * Current 22 * Current 25 thequadge 5 * Current 17Brawny is currently winning the Sainz guessing competition by a landslide.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Kev00 1788,8 -2,5 mark f1 1769,5 -5,2 Grayson 1749,5 -3,5 DutchQuicksilver 1743,3 -3,0 scheivlak 1739,7 -7,3 sladealonso 1735,5 -6,8 M2000-5 1732,1 -0,2 GTA 1729,3 -3,0 wattoroos 1725,3 -3,0 Makarias 1722,3 -14,7 Bleu 1716,5 -8,2 thegforcemaybewithyou1707,5 -8,2 Marklar 1696,5 -12,8 Barty 1693,9 0,2 fisichella_2001 1686,0 -4,7 KWSN-DSM 1675,3 -3,0 noikeee 1674,9 0,2 f1paul 1663,6 -2,7 Brawn BGP 001 1660,5 5,8 thequadge 1633,9 -2,1 SpaceHorseParty 1597,1 6,4 Costaz 1581,9 -9,1 Anderis 1571,5 -9,5Gasly and Ricciardo improvements didn't outweigh Vettel's big failure.