The standings after Germany:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Costaz 1110 100 2) Grayson 1101 91 3) Barty 1099 89 = thegforcemaybewithyou1099 89 5) scheivlak 1096 86 6) fisichella_2001 1093 84 7) DutchQuicksilver 1092 88 8) Bleu 1091 87 9) wattoroos 1089 79 10) Marklar 1087 84 = sladealonso 1087 77 12) noikeee 1086 87 13) SpaceHorseParty 1081 86 14) mark f1 1079 89 15) Kev00 1077 78 = M2000-5 1077 84 17) Brawn BGP 001 1070 70 18) Makarias 1069 68 19) f1paul 1065 73 20) KWSN-DSM 1043 76 21) Anderis 1041 83 22) GTA 1031 71 23) thequadge 1011 62Say goodbye to all the boring perfect scores! Many WDC points went to drivers who nobody has even heard of before, not even their team bosses.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Kvya 128,8 51,9 17 Sain 106,3 26,8 19 Stro 87,9 43,9 10 Kubi 85,2 14,3 10 Bott 84,5 67,2 4 Albo 81,2 32,6 9 Norr 73,9 17,9 11 Hami 68,9 59,0 0 Vers 64,0 53,3 0 Räik 44,0 26,6 0 Lecl 41,7 34,1 0 Vett 41,4 36,6 0 Gasl 34,2 24,7 0 Pere 33,3 16,0 1 Magn 32,1 18,8 0 Ricc 23,7 14,7 0 Hülk 21,6 14,3 0 Gros 13,1 8,2 0 Giov 3,0 1,2 0Congratulations to Daniil Kvyat and Carlos Sainz for becoming the first and second driver to beat their expectations this season!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Vettel Kvyat Stroll Sainz * Potential 410 * Potential 390 * Potential 277 * Potential 268 * Potential 298 * Forecast 305 M2000-5 381 * Forecast 52 wattoroos 40 Costaz 178 Marklar 299 Bleu 378 Costaz 51 DutchQuicksilver 36 SpaceHorseParty 111 Makarias 292 Brawn BGP 001 374 M2000-5 32 mark f1 35 * Forecast 92 Anderis 290 noikeee 365 noikeee 32 * Forecast 34 Brawn BGP 001 88 scheivlak 288 thequadge 353 Barty 30 Makarias 31 wattoroos 49 f1paul 286 DutchQuicksilver351 scheivlak 28 Costaz 30 * Current 48 sladealonso 275 GTA 351 Kev00 27 GTA 30 fisichella_2001 44 Kev00 270 Marklar 349 * Current 27 thegforcemaybewi 30 thegforcemaybewi 44 wattoroos 268 fisichella_2001 348 Grayson 25 fisichella_2001 29 DutchQuicksilver 43 GTA 267 Makarias 345 mark f1 25 Grayson 28 sladealonso 43 thegforcemaybewi266 Barty 342 SpaceHorseParty 25 Bleu 25 f1paul 41 noikeee 265 Anderis 340 Bleu 23 Anderis 20 Barty 40 mark f1 260 Grayson 340 DutchQuicksilver 23 KWSN-DSM 19 Grayson 40 DutchQuicksilver253 mark f1 340 Anderis 20 Marklar 18 scheivlak 38 KWSN-DSM 249 f1paul 329 KWSN-DSM 20 * Current 18 Makarias 37 M2000-5 248 thegforcemaybewi325 Marklar 20 Barty 15 noikeee 36 thequadge 243 sladealonso 322 thegforcemaybewi 20 noikeee 15 Bleu 35 Brawn BGP 001 234 Kev00 321 f1paul 14 scheivlak 14 Marklar 34 fisichella_2001 230 wattoroos 313 fisichella_2001 14 sladealonso 13 M2000-5 30 Bleu 226 scheivlak 311 sladealonso 14 Kev00 12 mark f1 30 Grayson 200 KWSN-DSM 310 wattoroos 13 M2000-5 12 Kev00 27 SpaceHorseParty 189 Costaz 299 Makarias 10 f1paul 10 KWSN-DSM 18 Barty 180 SpaceHorseParty 289 GTA 6 SpaceHorseParty 6 GTA 16 Costaz 170 * Forecast 267 Brawn BGP 001 5 Brawn BGP 001 3 Anderis 10 * Current 160 * Current 140 thequadge 5 thequadge 0 thequadge 7Kvyat, Stroll and Sainz all beat a good bunch of players this round.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Albon Grosjean Magnussen Hamilton Kubica * Potential 265 * Potential 258 * Potential 268 * Potential 473 * Potential 251 Costaz 45 Costaz 97 SpaceHorseParty 95 * Forecast 426 KWSN-DSM 6 Barty 42 KWSN-DSM 82 KWSN-DSM 84 mark f1 377 Kev00 4 Marklar 31 noikeee 75 Costaz 80 M2000-5 358 Grayson 3 * Forecast 29 Brawn BGP 001 72 Barty 70 Bleu 356 f1paul 2 scheivlak 27 Kev00 72 noikeee 69 Makarias 356 fisichella_2001 2 Bleu 26 Marklar 72 f1paul 68 Kev00 353 mark f1 2 noikeee 25 Barty 70 wattoroos 67 Grayson 350 wattoroos 2 fisichella_2001 24 GTA 70 Grayson 60 thequadge 345 * Forecast 2 Grayson 20 M2000-5 68 thegforcemaybewi 60 GTA 340 Bleu 1 thegforcemaybewi 20 f1paul 65 DutchQuicksilver 58 sladealonso 336 Brawn BGP 001 1 f1paul 19 fisichella_2001 65 Kev00 58 DutchQuicksilver334 DutchQuicksilver 1 sladealonso 16 SpaceHorseParty 65 M2000-5 56 fisichella_2001 329 M2000-5 1 SpaceHorseParty 16 thequadge 58 scheivlak 56 Barty 326 Makarias 1 Anderis 15 wattoroos 58 fisichella_2001 51 wattoroos 326 Marklar 1 mark f1 15 thegforcemaybewi 55 Marklar 49 thegforcemaybewi317 * Current 1 * Current 15 sladealonso 54 sladealonso 49 noikeee 316 Anderis 0 M2000-5 14 Makarias 53 GTA 41 scheivlak 315 Barty 0 thequadge 14 scheivlak 52 mark f1 40 KWSN-DSM 309 Costaz 0 Brawn BGP 001 11 DutchQuicksilver 49 thequadge 40 f1paul 301 GTA 0 DutchQuicksilver 11 Grayson 40 Anderis 37 Marklar 300 noikeee 0 GTA 11 mark f1 40 Bleu 37 Brawn BGP 001 299 scheivlak 0 Kev00 8 Anderis 38 Makarias 37 Costaz 296 sladealonso 0 wattoroos 7 Bleu 37 * Forecast 34 SpaceHorseParty 267 SpaceHorseParty 0 KWSN-DSM 5 * Forecast 15 Brawn BGP 001 27 Anderis 238 thegforcemaybewi 0 Makarias 3 * Current 8 * Current 18 * Current 223 thequadge 0It's very nice to finally see Robert Kubica back in these listings!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Kev00 1779,2 -9,6 mark f1 1777,8 8,3 Grayson 1752,2 2,7 DutchQuicksilver 1745,6 2,3 scheivlak 1740,3 0,6 Makarias 1734,5 12,2 wattoroos 1728,5 3,2 M2000-5 1726,7 -5,4 GTA 1726,3 -3,0 Bleu 1725,5 9,0 sladealonso 1721,5 -14 thegforcemaybewithyou1714,5 7,0 Marklar 1711,9 15,4 Barty 1697,1 3,2 fisichella_2001 1693,2 7,2 noikeee 1676,5 1,6 KWSN-DSM 1663,2 -12,1 f1paul 1654,4 -9,2 Costaz 1653,5 71,6 Brawn BGP 001 1647,4 -13,1 thequadge 1620,7 -13,2 SpaceHorseParty 1588,1 -9,0 Anderis 1565,3 -6,2With several driver forecasts changing significantly this round I expected big changes to this list. Strangely however, only Costaz has a big time improvement here.
