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Guess the Pole 2019: Belgium


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 03 August 2019 - 14:16

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2019 standings

Five latest poles at Belgium:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2018  Hamilton     118.179
2017  Hamilton     102.553
2016  Rosberg      106.744
2015  Hamilton     107.197
2014  Rosberg      125.591

Driver values:
Dri  val
Hami   4
Bott   6
Vers   9
Lecl  13
REST  18

2019 data:
                  Time    2018 PP  2017 PP  2016 PP  2019/2018  2019/2017  2019/2016
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
OZ   Hami  Bott   80.486   81.164   82.188   83.837    99.165     97.929     96.003
BAH  Lecl  Vett   87.866   87.958   88.769   89.493    99.895     98.983     98.182
CHN  Bott  Hami   91.547   91.095   91.678   95.402   100.496     99.857     95.959
AZE  Bott  Hami  100.495  101.498  100.593  102.758    99.012     99.903     97.798
ESP  Bott  Hami   75.406   76.173   79.149   82.000    98.993     95.271     91.959
MON  Hami  Bott   70.166   70.810   72.178   73.622    99.091     97.212     95.306
CAN  Vett  Hami   70.240   70.764   71.459   72.812    99.260     98.294     96.468
FRA  Hami  Bott   88.319   90.029   ------   ------    98.101     ------     ------
AUT  Lecl  Hami   63.003   63.130   64.251   67.922    99.799     98.058     92.758
GB   Bott  Hami   85.093   85.892   86.600   89.287    99.070     98.260     95.303
GER  Hami  Vers   71.767   71.212   ------   74.363   100.779     ------     96.509
HUN  Vers  Bott   74.572   95.658   76.276   79.965    77.957     97.766     93.256
BEL                    0  118.179  102.553  106.744                                
ITA                    0   79.119   95.554   81.135                                
SIN                    0   96.015   99.491  102.584                                
RUS                    0   91.387   93.194   95.417                                
JAP                    0   87.760   87.319   90.647                                
MEX                    0   74.759   76.488   78.704                                
USA                    0   92.237   93.108   94.999                                
BRA                    0   67.281   68.322   70.736                                
ABU                    0   94.794   96.231   98.755                                
My guess for Belgium is 100.942 s by Lewis Hamilton.

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#2 rodlamas

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Posted 04 August 2019 - 11:58

Charles Leclerc 99.888