Yes I'm a pessimist. I've followed and supported Honda for over 30 years. I followed them through every twist and turn of their current and previous eras and I've taken a lot of flak and outright abuse on the McLaren threads as a result. Having followed them so closely I know they have weaknesses that I don't believe have necessarily been addressed that aren't the ones others usually focus on. So forgive me if I'm going to be hard on Honda.
I want them to be challenging for the championship next year and that is not an easy ask. Mercedes and Ferrari are and will continue to be extremely unforgiving competitors. They will both be looking VERY hard at their PU failures this year and will be adjusting their 2020 project to suit. Its noticeable that for both of them their 2019 failures are an outlier, both have had near bulletproof reliability over the past few seasons. It is also noticeable that most of their failures have been in their customer cars. I'm not a conspiracy theorist but I'd add that in a championship challenge whether a Ferrari or Merc blows up in an Alfa or Williams doesn't really matter, its when it blows up in the works cars that it counts. And it hasn't. Why? I have no idea. Maybe its just random but maybe its the way the engines are set up differently in a customer car that contributes to unreliability and not the PU itself.
As I said I am delighted that Honda are on par with their stated objectives pre-season and that development is going to plan, but as Honda themselves would readily admit 2020 is going to require yet another step up. I hope they do it but they can't merely repeat this season's performance and expect to challenge.
Honestly, I don't know what more Honda could do in less than one season to earn the praise it deserves. "I'm a pessimist", sure but you're highly negative of only them, not so much anyone else, curious... what are your thoughts on the Renault PU, I'm assuming you'll be equally pessimistic, if not worse considering this seasons track record..
And I'm sorry, but I'm really not on board with this "it only counts if it's a failure on the works team cars", how is that a valuable measure of ones reliability or performance? Unless you are suggesting they are not equal, which would be a violation of regs. Every installation is approved by Mercedes anyway and yet their engine has popped across two completely unrelated teams... And I would bet my last dollar that if a Honda pops on track this year, this whole thread will erupt with harsh criticism and scrutiny, even though they'd still have the title of most reliable.
Again, I find myself mentioning this a a worrying amount of times.. it's like people are only half watching the season or deliberately evading points that are highly relevant, only to emphasise their own point of argument. Honda's element usage bears no relation to failed components (this cannot be said for all)... please note all used items are a direct result of upgrades due to accelerated development, this was communicated in 2018 by RBR, again in pre-season this year by both RBR and Honda and MULTIPLE times throughout the season. They are pushing development hard this year in an attempt for solid 2020 season, and yet despite this, they have still proven reliability is solid and they are not deficient on power, at least to Renault. We'll see what the latest Spec's can do in the coming races.
I think it's well established and understood on this forum that no competitor will stand still, Honda's actions and honesty regarding their current position imply they definitely know that to be the case, hence the aggressive development strat. I think it's obvious they are aware of the step necessary for a 2020 challenge. So far RBR, notoriously vocal are still very happy with Honda's progress and I think on more than a few occasions have mentioned what they see in the pipeline is highly promising, and each step is delivering. There is reason to be excited for the second half and 2020. That much is starting to become clear.
And yes, there is pessimism but there is also selective disregard..
Edited by Ackhernar, 04 September 2019 - 23:46.