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Place The Points Competition 2019 after Hungary


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 10 August 2019 - 09:55

The standings after Hungary:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  Costaz               1203  93
2)  Grayson              1192  91
3)  Barty                1190  91
=   thegforcemaybewithyou1190  91
5)  scheivlak            1187  91
6)  fisichella_2001      1182  89
7)  Bleu                 1180  89
=   DutchQuicksilver     1180  88
=   wattoroos            1180  91
10) sladealonso          1178  91
=   SpaceHorseParty      1178  97
12) Marklar              1176  89
13) noikeee              1173  87
14) Brawn BGP 001        1170 100
15) Kev00                1167  90
=   mark f1              1167  88
17) M2000-5              1165  88
18) Makarias             1157  88
19) f1paul               1152  87
20) KWSN-DSM             1131  88
21) GTA                  1119  88
22) Anderis              1115  74
23) thequadge            1099  88
Ten points for Sainz equals ten points missed for most of the playing field. Sprinkle some random stuff on top of that.

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Kvya    128,8     51,9   17
Sain    128,4     32,4   20
Stro     87,9     43,9   10
Albo     86,6     34,8   11
Bott     86,3     68,6    4
Kubi     85,2     14,3   10
Norr     80,6     19,5   11
Hami     76,6     65,6    1
Vers     71,2     59,3    1
Räik     54,6     33,0    0
Lecl     46,0     37,6    0
Vett     45,8     40,6    0
Gasl     39,3     28,4    0
Pere     33,3     16,0    1
Magn     32,1     18,8    0
Ricc     23,7     14,7    0
Hülk     21,6     14,3    0
Gros     13,1      8,2    0
Giov      3,0      1,2    0
57.1% of the season has been run, so anyone above that on the Expect list looks promising to beat their expectations. Three 100% surprises coming, all from top cars?

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton               Verstappen             Vettel                 Leclerc                Sainz               
* Potential     473    * Potential     403    M2000-5         381    * Potential     355    * Potential     283
* Forecast      434    * Forecast      312    * Potential     380    sladealonso     345    Costaz          178
mark f1         377    Marklar         299    Bleu            378    Anderis         340    SpaceHorseParty 111
M2000-5         358    Makarias        292    Brawn BGP 001   374    thequadge       331    * Forecast      102
Bleu            356    Anderis         290    noikeee         365    Brawn BGP 001   322    Brawn BGP 001    88
Makarias        356    scheivlak       288    thequadge       353    f1paul          315    * Current        58
Kev00           353    f1paul          286    DutchQuicksilver351    SpaceHorseParty 312    wattoroos        49
Grayson         350    sladealonso     275    GTA             351    noikeee         310    fisichella_2001  44
thequadge       345    Kev00           270    Marklar         349    thegforcemaybewi299    thegforcemaybewi 44
GTA             340    wattoroos       268    fisichella_2001 348    Marklar         298    DutchQuicksilver 43
sladealonso     336    GTA             267    Makarias        345    fisichella_2001 297    sladealonso      43
DutchQuicksilver334    thegforcemaybewi266    Barty           342    GTA             290    f1paul           41
fisichella_2001 329    noikeee         265    Anderis         340    Barty           276    Barty            40
Barty           326    mark f1         260    Grayson         340    scheivlak       276    Grayson          40
wattoroos       326    DutchQuicksilver253    mark f1         340    mark f1         270    scheivlak        38
thegforcemaybewi317    KWSN-DSM        249    f1paul          329    Grayson         266    Makarias         37
noikeee         316    M2000-5         248    thegforcemaybewi325    Bleu            263    noikeee          36
scheivlak       315    thequadge       243    sladealonso     322    wattoroos       259    Bleu             35
KWSN-DSM        309    Brawn BGP 001   234    Kev00           321    Makarias        257    Marklar          34
f1paul          301    fisichella_2001 230    wattoroos       313    DutchQuicksilver256    M2000-5          30
Marklar         300    Bleu            226    scheivlak       311    M2000-5         251    mark f1          30
Brawn BGP 001   299    Grayson         200    KWSN-DSM        310    KWSN-DSM        250    Kev00            27
Costaz          296    SpaceHorseParty 189    Costaz          299    Kev00           242    KWSN-DSM         18
SpaceHorseParty 267    Barty           180    SpaceHorseParty 289    * Forecast      228    GTA              16
* Current       248    * Current       178    * Forecast      271    Costaz          180    Anderis          10
Anderis         238    Costaz          170    * Current       155    * Current       130    thequadge         7
With no points left to score from Hamilton, Anderis will find it hard to get into the top 21 again. Vettel has no chance of becoming a 100% surprise anymore.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Gasly                  Räikkönen              Bottas                 Norris                 Albon               
* Potential     286    * Potential     256    * Potential     411    * Potential     249    * Potential     241
f1paul          214    Anderis          93    * Forecast      326    Costaz          122    Costaz           45
wattoroos       179    GTA              81    Grayson         270    SpaceHorseParty  83    Barty            42
Bleu            176    KWSN-DSM         81    GTA             264    Brawn BGP 001    62    Marklar          31
Brawn BGP 001   172    Marklar          74    Kev00           255    * Forecast       42    * Forecast       28
DutchQuicksilver171    wattoroos        71    Barty           250    Barty            40    scheivlak        27
sladealonso     165    Barty            70    KWSN-DSM        248    wattoroos        36    Bleu             26
thegforcemaybewi165    Kev00            70    M2000-5         241    f1paul           34    noikeee          25
Anderis         163    scheivlak        69    mark f1         240    Kev00            33    fisichella_2001  24
noikeee         160    SpaceHorseParty  57    DutchQuicksilver238    scheivlak        31    Grayson          20
thequadge       159    fisichella_2001  55    thequadge       228    sladealonso      30    thegforcemaybewi 20
Kev00           158    noikeee          55    Bleu            224    Grayson          25    f1paul           19
M2000-5         158    DutchQuicksilver 54    fisichella_2001 208    thegforcemaybewi 25    sladealonso      16
Makarias        153    f1paul           54    thegforcemaybewi208    noikeee          24    SpaceHorseParty  16
Barty           150    * Forecast       54    Makarias        207    * Current        24    * Current        16
Grayson         150    Grayson          52    scheivlak       207    fisichella_2001  21    Anderis          15
KWSN-DSM        150    Bleu             46    sladealonso     205    Makarias         20    mark f1          15
mark f1         150    sladealonso      45    Costaz          202    Bleu             19    M2000-5          14
Marklar         148    Brawn BGP 001    43    wattoroos       201    Marklar          19    thequadge        14
GTA             140    Costaz           43    Marklar         200    DutchQuicksilver 16    Brawn BGP 001    11
scheivlak       134    thequadge        41    Brawn BGP 001   189    Anderis          15    DutchQuicksilver 11
fisichella_2001 123    mark f1          40    * Current       186    M2000-5          13    GTA              11
SpaceHorseParty 119    thegforcemaybewi 40    noikeee         173    mark f1          10    Kev00             8
Costaz          112    M2000-5          39    SpaceHorseParty 167    thequadge         6    wattoroos         7
* Forecast      107    Makarias         33    Anderis         165    KWSN-DSM          1    KWSN-DSM          5
* Current        61    * Current        31    f1paul          164    GTA               0    Makarias          3
Meh.

The PTPC forecast
Name               Forecast  +/-
Kev00                1784,8   5,6
mark f1              1774,0  -3,8
Grayson              1755,5   3,3
DutchQuicksilver     1748,3   2,6
scheivlak            1746,0   5,7
Makarias             1733,8  -0,8
GTA                  1732,0   5,7
wattoroos            1731,3   2,7
M2000-5              1728,0   1,3
Bleu                 1724,8  -0,8
sladealonso          1720,8  -0,8
Marklar              1717,0   5,1
thegforcemaybewithyou1713,8  -0,8
Barty                1704,3   7,2
fisichella_2001      1698,8   5,6
noikeee              1684,0   7,5
KWSN-DSM             1668,8   5,6
f1paul               1661,8   7,4
Costaz               1656,0   2,5
Brawn BGP 001        1651,5   4,1
thequadge            1622,0   1,3
SpaceHorseParty      1605,8  17,7
Anderis              1571,0   5,7
No big changes.

Summer break! Brace yourselves!


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#2 Costaz

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Posted 10 August 2019 - 10:38

Looking at the standings: Hooray!
Looking at the prediction: oh... :-(

#3 Anderis

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Posted 10 August 2019 - 11:44

Anderis will find it hard to get into the top 21 again.
Thanks for being honest, although I knew it would be unlikely to finish in the top21 as far back as Sunday after Australian GP.  ;)

Edited by Anderis, 10 August 2019 - 11:50.


#4 Makarias

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Posted 10 August 2019 - 16:10

There's nothing wrong with rubbing it in for about half a year or so.