The standings after Italy:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Costaz 1384 80 2) Barty 1379 93 3) Grayson 1374 93 4) Bleu 1367 92 5) scheivlak 1364 82 6) thegforcemaybewithyou1361 82 7) DutchQuicksilver 1357 92 8) fisichella_2001 1356 81 9) Marklar 1348 79 10) mark f1 1344 92 11) Kev00 1343 92 12) sladealonso 1341 79 13) wattoroos 1340 75 14) M2000-5 1338 86 15) noikeee 1326 70 16) Makarias 1322 80 17) Brawn BGP 001 1310 69 18) KWSN-DSM 1308 92 19) SpaceHorseParty 1298 55 20) GTA 1296 92 21) f1paul 1288 69 22) thequadge 1261 86 23) Anderis 1226 5955 to 93 points scored this round.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Albo 184,0 73,9 21 Kvya 157,5 63,5 22 Sain 128,4 32,4 20 Bott 101,7 80,8 13 Stro 92,8 46,3 11 Hami 86,8 74,3 2 Kubi 85,2 14,3 10 Norr 83,9 20,3 12 Vers 72,8 60,7 2 Pere 69,2 33,3 8 Lecl 63,6 52,0 0 Räik 54,6 33,0 0 Vett 49,4 43,7 0 Gasl 40,6 29,3 0 Hülk 39,5 26,1 0 Ricc 36,6 22,7 0 Magn 32,1 18,8 0 Gros 13,1 8,2 0 Giov 8,9 3,6 0Valtteri Bottas becomes the fourth driver to beat his expectation mark this season!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Leclerc Bottas Hamilton Ricciardo Hülkenberg * Potential 355 * Potential 394 * Potential 456 * Potential 209 * Potential 206 sladealonso 345 * Forecast 329 * Forecast 422 thequadge 149 thequadge 118 Anderis 340 Grayson 270 mark f1 377 SpaceHorseParty 128 Anderis 107 thequadge 331 GTA 264 M2000-5 358 Anderis 118 SpaceHorseParty 104 Brawn BGP 001 322 Kev00 255 Bleu 356 Makarias 108 fisichella_2001 87 f1paul 315 Barty 250 Makarias 356 scheivlak 104 Brawn BGP 001 85 SpaceHorseParty 312 KWSN-DSM 248 Kev00 353 Barty 100 KWSN-DSM 83 noikeee 310 M2000-5 241 Grayson 350 Brawn BGP 001 100 Makarias 83 thegforcemaybewi299 mark f1 240 thequadge 345 mark f1 100 scheivlak 82 Marklar 298 DutchQuicksilver238 GTA 340 fisichella_2001 98 thegforcemaybewi 82 fisichella_2001 297 thequadge 228 sladealonso 336 M2000-5 98 Barty 80 GTA 290 Bleu 224 DutchQuicksilver334 Grayson 92 Grayson 80 Barty 276 * Current 219 fisichella_2001 329 Kev00 92 mark f1 80 scheivlak 276 fisichella_2001 208 Barty 326 Bleu 89 M2000-5 78 mark f1 270 thegforcemaybewi208 wattoroos 326 KWSN-DSM 85 GTA 77 * Forecast 270 Makarias 207 thegforcemaybewi317 thegforcemaybewi 85 Bleu 74 Grayson 266 scheivlak 207 noikeee 316 Costaz 80 wattoroos 71 Bleu 263 sladealonso 205 scheivlak 315 wattoroos 80 sladealonso 70 wattoroos 259 Costaz 202 KWSN-DSM 309 f1paul 78 DutchQuicksilver 68 Makarias 257 wattoroos 201 f1paul 301 DutchQuicksilver 76 noikeee 68 DutchQuicksilver256 Marklar 200 Marklar 300 Marklar 75 f1paul 62 M2000-5 251 Brawn BGP 001 189 Brawn BGP 001 299 noikeee 74 Costaz 61 KWSN-DSM 250 noikeee 173 Costaz 296 sladealonso 66 Kev00 57 Kev00 242 SpaceHorseParty 167 * Current 281 GTA 64 Marklar 50 Costaz 180 Anderis 165 SpaceHorseParty 267 * Forecast 51 * Forecast 47 * Current 180 f1paul 164 Anderis 238 * Current 34 * Current 31A good weekend for Renault isn't enough to improve their forecasts above the point of 100% disappointment.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Albon Perez Verstappen Giovinazzi Norris * Potential 209 * Potential 202 * Potential 357 * Potential 178 * Potential 200 * Forecast 51 KWSN-DSM 80 Marklar 299 Anderis 82 Costaz 122 Costaz 45 Makarias 75 Makarias 292 SpaceHorseParty 71 SpaceHorseParty 83 Barty 42 DutchQuicksilver 61 Anderis 290 scheivlak 48 Brawn BGP 001 62 * Current 34 fisichella_2001 53 scheivlak 288 Marklar 47 Barty 40 Marklar 31 Bleu 52 f1paul 286 f1paul 45 * Forecast 38 scheivlak 27 GTA 51 sladealonso 275 fisichella_2001 40 wattoroos 36 Bleu 26 Grayson 50 * Forecast 273 KWSN-DSM 40 f1paul 34 noikeee 25 mark f1 50 Kev00 270 wattoroos 40 Kev00 33 fisichella_2001 24 thegforcemaybewi 50 wattoroos 268 Costaz 39 scheivlak 31 Grayson 20 sladealonso 47 GTA 267 noikeee 35 sladealonso 30 thegforcemaybewi 20 * Forecast 41 thegforcemaybewi266 Kev00 34 Grayson 25 f1paul 19 wattoroos 40 noikeee 265 Bleu 32 thegforcemaybewi 25 sladealonso 16 Costaz 36 mark f1 260 thegforcemaybewi 30 * Current 25 SpaceHorseParty 16 Marklar 35 DutchQuicksilver253 Grayson 28 noikeee 24 Anderis 15 scheivlak 35 KWSN-DSM 249 sladealonso 26 fisichella_2001 21 mark f1 15 Anderis 30 M2000-5 248 M2000-5 23 Makarias 20 M2000-5 14 * Current 27 thequadge 243 GTA 22 Bleu 19 thequadge 14 Kev00 26 Brawn BGP 001 234 Barty 20 Marklar 19 Brawn BGP 001 11 noikeee 23 fisichella_2001 230 DutchQuicksilver 19 DutchQuicksilver 16 DutchQuicksilver 11 Barty 20 Bleu 226 Makarias 19 Anderis 15 GTA 11 Brawn BGP 001 20 Grayson 200 Brawn BGP 001 14 M2000-5 13 Kev00 8 M2000-5 19 SpaceHorseParty 189 mark f1 12 mark f1 10 wattoroos 7 SpaceHorseParty 17 * Current 182 thequadge 8 thequadge 6 KWSN-DSM 5 f1paul 16 Barty 180 * Forecast 5 KWSN-DSM 1 Makarias 3 thequadge 12 Costaz 170 * Current 3 GTA 0Two bad weekends in a row drops Verstappen behind schedule for a 100% surprise.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- mark f1 1823,5 25,3 Grayson 1798,5 19,9 Kev00 1787,0 -2,3 DutchQuicksilver 1776,5 7,8 GTA 1775,5 22,5 sladealonso 1771,5 25,6 Bleu 1770,5 20,6 scheivlak 1770,5 4,0 thegforcemaybewithyou1765,0 26,1 wattoroos 1761,5 10,2 Makarias 1752,0 -2,2 M2000-5 1744,0 2,0 Barty 1743,0 16,2 fisichella_2001 1743,0 23,4 Marklar 1733,5 4,0 noikeee 1711,5 17,4 KWSN-DSM 1693,5 4,3 Brawn BGP 001 1685,5 20,8 f1paul 1676,0 4,3 Costaz 1660,5 -4,5 thequadge 1657,0 21,0 SpaceHorseParty 1614,0 9,5 Anderis 1588,5 2,9Mostly positive development thanks to the good Renault weekend.