The standings after Russia:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Grayson 1531 70 2) Barty 1530 65 3) DutchQuicksilver 1514 70 4) Kev00 1511 75 5) Bleu 1510 61 6) scheivlak 1505 58 7) mark f1 1503 72 8) thegforcemaybewithyou1498 60 9) fisichella_2001 1494 61 10) M2000-5 1492 67 11) wattoroos 1488 65 12) sladealonso 1484 61 13) Costaz 1469 27 14) Marklar 1468 43 15) KWSN-DSM 1465 70 16) GTA 1462 79 17) Makarias 1460 61 18) noikeee 1456 53 19) Brawn BGP 001 1441 48 20) f1paul 1412 41 21) thequadge 1402 55 22) SpaceHorseParty 1391 30 23) Anderis 1324 3327 to 79 points scored this round. Points are becoming scarcer and scarcer, isn't this the best part of the season?
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Albo 281,4 113,0 23 Kvya 157,5 63,5 22 Sain 146,1 36,9 20 Norr 117,5 28,5 18 Bott 114,7 91,1 18 Hami 98,2 84,1 10 Stro 92,8 46,3 11 Kubi 85,2 14,3 10 Pere 84,5 40,7 9 Vers 83,6 69,7 4 Lecl 75,3 61,6 1 Vett 56,8 50,3 0 Räik 54,6 33,0 0 Hülk 43,3 28,6 0 Gasl 43,2 31,2 0 Ricc 36,6 22,7 0 Magn 35,7 20,8 0 Gros 13,1 8,2 0 Giov 11,9 4,8 0Alexander Albon becomes the first 100% surprise of the season! Congratulations!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Bottas Leclerc Verstappen Albon * Potential 443 * Potential 372 sladealonso 345 * Potential 334 * Potential 177 * Forecast 417 * Forecast 324 Anderis 340 Marklar 299 * Forecast 68 mark f1 377 Grayson 270 * Potential 338 Makarias 292 * Current 52 M2000-5 358 GTA 264 thequadge 331 Anderis 290 Costaz 45 Bleu 356 Kev00 255 Brawn BGP 001 322 scheivlak 288 Barty 42 Makarias 356 Barty 250 f1paul 315 f1paul 286 Marklar 31 Kev00 353 KWSN-DSM 248 SpaceHorseParty 312 sladealonso 275 scheivlak 27 Grayson 350 * Current 247 noikeee 310 * Forecast 274 Bleu 26 thequadge 345 M2000-5 241 thegforcemaybewi299 Kev00 270 noikeee 25 GTA 340 mark f1 240 Marklar 298 wattoroos 268 fisichella_2001 24 sladealonso 336 DutchQuicksilver238 fisichella_2001 297 GTA 267 Grayson 20 DutchQuicksilver334 thequadge 228 GTA 290 thegforcemaybewi266 thegforcemaybewi 20 fisichella_2001 329 Bleu 224 * Forecast 280 noikeee 265 f1paul 19 Barty 326 fisichella_2001 208 Barty 276 mark f1 260 sladealonso 16 wattoroos 326 thegforcemaybewi208 scheivlak 276 DutchQuicksilver253 SpaceHorseParty 16 * Current 318 Makarias 207 mark f1 270 KWSN-DSM 249 Anderis 15 thegforcemaybewi317 scheivlak 207 Grayson 266 M2000-5 248 mark f1 15 noikeee 316 sladealonso 205 Bleu 263 thequadge 243 M2000-5 14 scheivlak 315 Costaz 202 wattoroos 259 Brawn BGP 001 234 thequadge 14 KWSN-DSM 309 wattoroos 201 Makarias 257 fisichella_2001 230 Brawn BGP 001 11 f1paul 301 Marklar 200 DutchQuicksilver256 Bleu 226 DutchQuicksilver 11 Marklar 300 Brawn BGP 001 189 M2000-5 251 * Current 209 GTA 11 Brawn BGP 001 299 noikeee 173 KWSN-DSM 250 Grayson 200 Kev00 8 Costaz 296 SpaceHorseParty 167 Kev00 242 SpaceHorseParty 189 wattoroos 7 SpaceHorseParty 267 Anderis 165 * Current 213 Barty 180 KWSN-DSM 5 Anderis 238 f1paul 164 Costaz 180 Costaz 170 Makarias 3Leclerc's chance at a 100% surprise evaporated. Costaz now has no points left to score from any of these five drivers, sorry mate!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Sainz Perez Norris Magnussen Hülkenberg * Potential 191 * Potential 158 * Potential 160 * Potential 145 * Potential 159 Costaz 178 KWSN-DSM 80 Costaz 122 SpaceHorseParty 95 thequadge 118 SpaceHorseParty 111 Makarias 75 SpaceHorseParty 83 KWSN-DSM 84 Anderis 107 Brawn BGP 001 88 DutchQuicksilver 61 Brawn BGP 001 62 Costaz 80 SpaceHorseParty 104 * Forecast 87 fisichella_2001 53 * Forecast 46 Barty 70 fisichella_2001 87 * Current 66 Bleu 52 Barty 40 noikeee 69 Brawn BGP 001 85 wattoroos 49 GTA 51 wattoroos 36 f1paul 68 KWSN-DSM 83 fisichella_2001 44 Grayson 50 * Current 35 wattoroos 67 Makarias 83 thegforcemaybewi 44 mark f1 50 f1paul 34 Grayson 60 scheivlak 82 DutchQuicksilver 43 thegforcemaybewi 50 Kev00 33 thegforcemaybewi 60 thegforcemaybewi 82 sladealonso 43 sladealonso 47 scheivlak 31 DutchQuicksilver 58 Barty 80 f1paul 41 * Forecast 43 sladealonso 30 Kev00 58 Grayson 80 Barty 40 wattoroos 40 Grayson 25 M2000-5 56 mark f1 80 Grayson 40 Costaz 36 thegforcemaybewi 25 scheivlak 56 M2000-5 78 scheivlak 38 Marklar 35 noikeee 24 fisichella_2001 51 GTA 77 Makarias 37 scheivlak 35 fisichella_2001 21 Marklar 49 Bleu 74 noikeee 36 * Current 33 Makarias 20 sladealonso 49 wattoroos 71 Bleu 35 Anderis 30 Bleu 19 GTA 41 sladealonso 70 Marklar 34 Kev00 26 Marklar 19 mark f1 40 DutchQuicksilver 68 M2000-5 30 noikeee 23 DutchQuicksilver 16 thequadge 40 noikeee 68 mark f1 30 Barty 20 Anderis 15 Anderis 37 f1paul 62 Kev00 27 Brawn BGP 001 20 M2000-5 13 Bleu 37 Costaz 61 KWSN-DSM 18 M2000-5 19 mark f1 10 Makarias 37 Kev00 57 GTA 16 SpaceHorseParty 17 thequadge 6 Brawn BGP 001 27 Marklar 50 Anderis 10 f1paul 16 KWSN-DSM 1 * Forecast 26 * Forecast 45 thequadge 7 thequadge 12 GTA 0 * Current 20 * Current 34On the plus side, Costaz has lots of points available to score from the McLarens. Congratulations!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- mark f1 1807,8 -23,5 Grayson 1777,4 -26,2 Kev00 1766,2 -30,0 sladealonso 1766,1 -22,7 GTA 1763,7 -23,7 thegforcemaybewithyou1759,0 -21,0 scheivlak 1757,2 -31,4 DutchQuicksilver 1755,1 -26,1 Bleu 1753,1 -24,5 Makarias 1737,8 -24,9 wattoroos 1737,1 -29,5 fisichella_2001 1731,0 -23,8 Barty 1730,9 -29,9 M2000-5 1729,2 -27,2 Marklar 1723,8 -29,1 noikeee 1700,4 -27,6 Brawn BGP 001 1686,0 -19,2 KWSN-DSM 1675,5 -24,5 f1paul 1666,1 -29,1 thequadge 1651,4 -25,2 Costaz 1641,7 -26,1 SpaceHorseParty 1611,0 -19,6 Anderis 1578,8 -29,1A Mercedes 1-2 is not what your forecast is wishing for.