The standings after Japan:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Grayson 1608 77 2) Barty 1578 48 3) Kev00 1571 60 4) DutchQuicksilver 1568 54 5) Bleu 1564 54 6) mark f1 1557 54 7) fisichella_2001 1544 50 = M2000-5 1544 52 = scheivlak 1544 39 10) sladealonso 1538 54 11) thegforcemaybewithyou1537 39 12) wattoroos 1535 47 13) GTA 1533 71 14) Makarias 1514 54 15) Costaz 1512 43 16) Marklar 1507 39 17) KWSN-DSM 1505 40 18) noikeee 1493 37 19) Brawn BGP 001 1488 47 20) thequadge 1454 52 21) f1paul 1449 37 22) SpaceHorseParty 1438 47 23) Anderis 1361 3737 to 77 points scored this round.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Albo 346,3 139,1 23 Sain 168,2 42,5 20 Kvya 157,5 63,5 22 Bott 126,3 100,4 23 Norr 117,5 28,5 18 Hami 102,9 88,1 13 Stro 92,8 46,3 11 Pere 89,6 43,2 9 Kubi 85,2 14,3 10 Vers 83,6 69,7 4 Lecl 77,4 63,3 1 Vett 62,1 55,0 0 Räik 54,6 33,0 0 Gasl 45,8 33,0 0 Ricc 45,2 28,0 0 Hülk 44,5 29,4 0 Magn 35,7 20,8 0 Gros 13,1 8,2 0 Giov 11,9 4,8 0Valtteri Bottas becomes the second 100% surprise of the season! Congratulations! Lewis Hamilton becomes the sixth driver to beat his expectation mark this season!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Bottas Vettel Hamilton Albon Sainz * Potential 372 M2000-5 381 * Potential 433 * Potential 164 Costaz 178 * Forecast 336 Bleu 378 * Forecast 411 * Forecast 79 * Potential 176 * Current 272 Brawn BGP 001 374 mark f1 377 * Current 64 SpaceHorseParty 111 Grayson 270 noikeee 365 M2000-5 358 Costaz 45 * Forecast 94 GTA 264 thequadge 353 Bleu 356 Barty 42 Brawn BGP 001 88 Kev00 255 DutchQuicksilver351 Makarias 356 Marklar 31 * Current 76 Barty 250 GTA 351 Kev00 353 scheivlak 27 wattoroos 49 KWSN-DSM 248 Marklar 349 Grayson 350 Bleu 26 fisichella_2001 44 M2000-5 241 fisichella_2001 348 thequadge 345 noikeee 25 thegforcemaybewi 44 mark f1 240 Makarias 345 GTA 340 fisichella_2001 24 DutchQuicksilver 43 DutchQuicksilver238 Barty 342 sladealonso 336 Grayson 20 sladealonso 43 thequadge 228 Anderis 340 DutchQuicksilver334 thegforcemaybewi 20 f1paul 41 Bleu 224 Grayson 340 * Current 333 f1paul 19 Barty 40 fisichella_2001 208 mark f1 340 fisichella_2001 329 sladealonso 16 Grayson 40 thegforcemaybewi208 f1paul 329 Barty 326 SpaceHorseParty 16 scheivlak 38 Makarias 207 thegforcemaybewi325 wattoroos 326 Anderis 15 Makarias 37 scheivlak 207 sladealonso 322 thegforcemaybewi317 mark f1 15 noikeee 36 sladealonso 205 Kev00 321 noikeee 316 M2000-5 14 Bleu 35 Costaz 202 wattoroos 313 scheivlak 315 thequadge 14 Marklar 34 wattoroos 201 scheivlak 311 KWSN-DSM 309 Brawn BGP 001 11 M2000-5 30 Marklar 200 * Potential 310 f1paul 301 DutchQuicksilver 11 mark f1 30 Brawn BGP 001 189 KWSN-DSM 310 Marklar 300 GTA 11 Kev00 27 noikeee 173 Costaz 299 Brawn BGP 001 299 Kev00 8 KWSN-DSM 18 SpaceHorseParty 167 SpaceHorseParty 289 Costaz 296 wattoroos 7 GTA 16 Anderis 165 * Forecast 259 SpaceHorseParty 267 KWSN-DSM 5 Anderis 10 f1paul 164 * Current 210 Anderis 238 Makarias 3 thequadge 7Sebastian Vettel can beat out at most two guesses this season.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Ricciardo Leclerc Gasly Perez Hülkenberg thequadge 149 sladealonso 345 f1paul 214 * Potential 135 * Potential 135 * Potential 142 Anderis 340 wattoroos 179 KWSN-DSM 80 thequadge 118 SpaceHorseParty 128 thequadge 331 Bleu 176 Makarias 75 Anderis 107 Anderis 118 Brawn BGP 001 322 Brawn BGP 001 172 DutchQuicksilver 61 SpaceHorseParty 104 Makarias 108 * Potential 319 * Potential 171 fisichella_2001 53 fisichella_2001 87 scheivlak 104 f1paul 315 DutchQuicksilver171 Bleu 52 Brawn BGP 001 85 Barty 100 SpaceHorseParty 312 sladealonso 165 GTA 51 KWSN-DSM 83 Brawn BGP 001 100 noikeee 310 thegforcemaybewi165 Grayson 50 Makarias 83 mark f1 100 thegforcemaybewi299 Anderis 163 mark f1 50 scheivlak 82 fisichella_2001 98 Marklar 298 noikeee 160 thegforcemaybewi 50 thegforcemaybewi 82 M2000-5 98 fisichella_2001 297 thequadge 159 sladealonso 47 Barty 80 Grayson 92 GTA 290 Kev00 158 * Forecast 43 Grayson 80 Kev00 92 Barty 276 M2000-5 158 wattoroos 40 mark f1 80 Bleu 89 scheivlak 276 Makarias 153 Costaz 36 M2000-5 78 KWSN-DSM 85 * Forecast 271 Barty 150 Marklar 35 GTA 77 thegforcemaybewi 85 mark f1 270 Grayson 150 scheivlak 35 Bleu 74 Costaz 80 Grayson 266 KWSN-DSM 150 * Current 35 wattoroos 71 wattoroos 80 Bleu 263 mark f1 150 Anderis 30 sladealonso 70 f1paul 78 wattoroos 259 Marklar 148 Kev00 26 DutchQuicksilver 68 DutchQuicksilver 76 Makarias 257 GTA 140 noikeee 23 noikeee 68 Marklar 75 DutchQuicksilver256 scheivlak 134 Barty 20 f1paul 62 noikeee 74 M2000-5 251 fisichella_2001 123 Brawn BGP 001 20 Costaz 61 sladealonso 66 KWSN-DSM 250 SpaceHorseParty 119 M2000-5 19 Kev00 57 GTA 64 Kev00 242 Costaz 112 SpaceHorseParty 17 Marklar 50 * Forecast 52 * Current 219 * Forecast 88 f1paul 16 * Forecast 43 * Current 42 Costaz 180 * Current 71 thequadge 12 * Current 35Will a Renault driver beat a guess this season? Stay tuned for another episode of "Snowball's chance in Hell", airing Sundays!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- mark f1 1813,2 5,4 Grayson 1784,0 6,6 Kev00 1762,5 -3,7 DutchQuicksilver 1761,8 6,6 Bleu 1759,8 6,6 GTA 1752,5 -11,2 thegforcemaybewithyou1749,5 -9,5 sladealonso 1749,0 -17,1 scheivlak 1743,8 -13,4 M2000-5 1739,1 9,9 wattoroos 1733,9 -3,2 Barty 1733,6 2,7 Makarias 1730,6 -7,1 fisichella_2001 1728,5 -2,5 Marklar 1706,8 -17,0 noikeee 1692,8 -7,7 Brawn BGP 001 1683,8 -2,2 KWSN-DSM 1683,5 8,0 thequadge 1650,6 -0,8 Costaz 1650,4 8,7 f1paul 1649,0 -17,1 SpaceHorseParty 1614,7 3,7 Anderis 1561,8 -17,0uh
