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Place The Points Competition 2019 final standings after Abu Dhabi


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 02 December 2019 - 23:48

2019 final standings after Abu Dhabi:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  mark f1              1791  32
2)  Grayson              1769  29
3)  Kev00                1761  23
4)  DutchQuicksilver     1755  27
5)  Bleu                 1750  31
6)  sladealonso          1746  44
7)  GTA                  1743  40
8)  scheivlak            1737  43
9)  Makarias             1736  46
10) thegforcemaybewithyou1735  38
11) wattoroos            1728  35
12) M2000-5              1722  16
13) fisichella_2001      1711  31
14) Barty                1710  25
15) Marklar              1700  43
16) KWSN-DSM             1679  21
17) noikeee              1676  33
18) Brawn BGP 001        1666  29
19) f1paul               1642  43
20) Costaz               1639  17
21) thequadge            1619  25
22) SpaceHorseParty      1599  30
23) Anderis              1555  43
Congratulations to 2019 champion mark f1 :clap: :clap: :clap: who wins quite comfortably. Up from 17th last year!
Since he already won in 2015, he also becomes the second two times champion along with Costaz. Fantastic!
Congratulations also to runner-up Grayson :clap: :clap: Who was 15th equal last year and for once did better here than in Shareholders,
and to third place finisher Kev00 :clap:

Abu Dhabi scoring ranged from 16 to 46 points with a somewhat smug Makarias at the top end of that range.

The entries

All 23 players will score points in the 2019 Supercup.

PTPC Hall of Fame
Year  WDC   Game         Pl  Winner
 AD  Points  Win   %     #
2000   442   365  82.58  14  jack and gilles
2001   442   364  82.35  69  MrT, tacololo
2002   442   376  85.07  46  smarty
2003   624   537  86.06  41  arcsine
2004   702   554  78.98  48  Pioneer
2005   741   595  80.30  49  KWSN-DSM
2006   702   592  84.33  47  an1res
2007   663   563  84.92  40  turin
2008   702   597  85.04  39  AcuraF1
2009   731   518  70.86  29  D82
2010  1919  1674  87.23  34  Costaz
2011  1919  1664  86.71  25  Crazy Canuck
2012  2020  1706  84.46  28  Costaz
2013  1919  1656  86.29  27  scheivlak
2014  1919  1602  83.48  30  noikeee
2015  1919  1710  89.11* 25  mark f1
2016  2121  1751  82.56  25  Brawn BGP 001
2017  2020  1861  92.13  22  Kev00
2018  2121  1943  91.61  25  thegforcemaybewithyou
2019  2121  1791  84.41  23  mark f1
*2020 points in the guesses
2019 predictability dropped to lower, more pleasant levels than the previous two years, but wouldn't it be nice if there were more than three teams battling for the top spots?

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Albo    497,9    200,0   23
Sain    212,5     53,6   21
Kvya    176,6     71,2   22
Norr    164,5     39,8   20
Bott    150,4    119,6   23
Pere    133,2     64,2   18
Hami    125,7    107,7   23
Vers    110,0     91,7   17
Stro    102,5     51,2   13
Lecl     91,9     75,1    7
Kubi     85,2     14,3   10
Räik     75,7     45,7    5
Vett     70,4     62,3    0
Gasl     59,9     43,3    0
Ricc     58,1     36,0    0
Hülk     47,1     31,1    0
Giov     41,6     16,9    2
Magn     35,7     20,8    0
Gros     13,1      8,2    0
Russ      0,0      0,0    0
The driver duos of McLaren, Mercedes, Racing Point, STR (initial pairing) and RBR (final pairing) all beat their expectation marks, so I guess these teams can be pleased with 2019.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton               Verstappen             Leclerc                Bottas                 Vettel              
* Potential     407    Marklar         299    sladealonso     345    * Potential     324    M2000-5         381
* Forecast      407    Makarias        292    Anderis         340    * Forecast      324    Bleu            378
* Current       407    Anderis         290    thequadge       331    * Current       324    Brawn BGP 001   374
mark f1         377    scheivlak       288    Brawn BGP 001   322    Grayson         270    noikeee         365
M2000-5         358    f1paul          286    f1paul          315    GTA             264    thequadge       353
Bleu            356    * Potential     275    SpaceHorseParty 312    Kev00           255    DutchQuicksilver351
Makarias        356    sladealonso     275    noikeee         310    Barty           250    GTA             351
Kev00           353    * Forecast      275    thegforcemaybewi299    KWSN-DSM        248    Marklar         349
Grayson         350    * Current       275    Marklar         298    M2000-5         241    fisichella_2001 348
thequadge       345    Kev00           270    fisichella_2001 297    mark f1         240    Makarias        345
GTA             340    wattoroos       268    GTA             290    DutchQuicksilver238    Barty           342
sladealonso     336    GTA             267    Barty           276    thequadge       228    Anderis         340
DutchQuicksilver334    thegforcemaybewi266    scheivlak       276    Bleu            224    Grayson         340
fisichella_2001 329    noikeee         265    mark f1         270    fisichella_2001 208    mark f1         340
Barty           326    mark f1         260    Grayson         266    thegforcemaybewi208    f1paul          329
wattoroos       326    DutchQuicksilver253    Bleu            263    Makarias        207    thegforcemaybewi325
thegforcemaybewi317    KWSN-DSM        249    * Potential     260    scheivlak       207    sladealonso     322
noikeee         316    M2000-5         248    * Forecast      260    sladealonso     205    Kev00           321
scheivlak       315    thequadge       243    * Current       260    Costaz          202    wattoroos       313
KWSN-DSM        309    Brawn BGP 001   234    wattoroos       259    wattoroos       201    scheivlak       311
f1paul          301    fisichella_2001 230    Makarias        257    Marklar         200    KWSN-DSM        310
Marklar         300    Bleu            226    DutchQuicksilver256    Brawn BGP 001   189    Costaz          299
Brawn BGP 001   299    Grayson         200    M2000-5         251    noikeee         173    SpaceHorseParty 289
Costaz          296    SpaceHorseParty 189    KWSN-DSM        250    SpaceHorseParty 167    * Potential     238
SpaceHorseParty 267    Barty           180    Kev00           242    Anderis         165    * Forecast      238
Anderis         238    Costaz          170    Costaz          180    f1paul          164    * Current       238
Familiar faces, updated scores.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Albon                  Perez                  Norris                 Kvyat                  Sainz               
* Potential      92    KWSN-DSM         80    Costaz          122    Costaz           51    Costaz          178
* Forecast       92    Makarias         75    SpaceHorseParty  83    * Potential      37    SpaceHorseParty 111
* Current        92    DutchQuicksilver 61    Brawn BGP 001    62    * Forecast       37    * Potential      96
Costaz           45    fisichella_2001  53    * Potential      49    * Current        37    * Forecast       96
Barty            42    * Potential      52    * Forecast       49    M2000-5          32    * Current        96
Marklar          31    Bleu             52    * Current        49    noikeee          32    Brawn BGP 001    88
scheivlak        27    * Forecast       52    Barty            40    Barty            30    wattoroos        49
Bleu             26    * Current        52    wattoroos        36    scheivlak        28    fisichella_2001  44
noikeee          25    GTA              51    f1paul           34    Kev00            27    thegforcemaybewi 44
fisichella_2001  24    Grayson          50    Kev00            33    Grayson          25    DutchQuicksilver 43
Grayson          20    mark f1          50    scheivlak        31    mark f1          25    sladealonso      43
thegforcemaybewi 20    thegforcemaybewi 50    sladealonso      30    SpaceHorseParty  25    f1paul           41
f1paul           19    sladealonso      47    Grayson          25    Bleu             23    Barty            40
sladealonso      16    wattoroos        40    thegforcemaybewi 25    DutchQuicksilver 23    Grayson          40
SpaceHorseParty  16    Costaz           36    noikeee          24    Anderis          20    scheivlak        38
Anderis          15    Marklar          35    fisichella_2001  21    KWSN-DSM         20    Makarias         37
mark f1          15    scheivlak        35    Makarias         20    Marklar          20    noikeee          36
M2000-5          14    Anderis          30    Bleu             19    thegforcemaybewi 20    Bleu             35
thequadge        14    Kev00            26    Marklar          19    f1paul           14    Marklar          34
Brawn BGP 001    11    noikeee          23    DutchQuicksilver 16    fisichella_2001  14    M2000-5          30
DutchQuicksilver 11    Barty            20    Anderis          15    sladealonso      14    mark f1          30
GTA              11    Brawn BGP 001    20    M2000-5          13    wattoroos        13    Kev00            27
Kev00             8    M2000-5          19    mark f1          10    Makarias         10    KWSN-DSM         18
wattoroos         7    SpaceHorseParty  17    thequadge         6    GTA               6    GTA              16
KWSN-DSM          5    f1paul           16    KWSN-DSM          1    Brawn BGP 001     5    Anderis          10
Makarias          3    thequadge        12    GTA               0    thequadge         5    thequadge         7
Perez scored 39 of his 52 points from Belgium onwards and turned his season around nicely. He actually outscored Sainz by one point over that period!

The PTPC forecast after Brazil
Name               Forecast  +/-
mark f1              1799,7   7,0
Grayson              1780,5  15,3
Kev00                1775,8  39,0
DutchQuicksilver     1767,2  24,1
Bleu                 1759,5  18,3
GTA                  1753,5  21,1
sladealonso          1752,8  25,3
thegforcemaybewithyou1744,3  15,0
scheivlak            1744,0  25,5
wattoroos            1742,2  34,2
Makarias             1740,9  26,6
M2000-5              1734,7  19,4
Barty                1722,1  12,0
fisichella_2001      1720,5  10,5
Marklar              1707,0  25,5
KWSN-DSM             1690,2  25,2
noikeee              1688,1  20,6
Brawn BGP 001        1673,5  11,1
Costaz               1654,5  34,7
f1paul               1649,0  25,4
thequadge            1628,3   1,2
SpaceHorseParty      1613,1  25,3
Anderis              1562,0  25,5
Well, it is what it is.

The best guesses on each driver
 X    #   !  Y
Hami 407 377 mark f1
Bott 324 270 Grayson
Vers 275 275 sladealonso
Lecl 260 259 wattoroos
Vett 238 289 SpaceHorseParty
Sain  96  88 Brawn BGP 001
Gasl  93 112 Costaz
Albo  92  45 Costaz
Ricc  54  64 GTA
Pere  52  52 Bleu
Norr  49  40 Barty
Räik  43  43 Brawn BGP 001, Costaz
Kvya  37  32 M2000-5, noikeee
Hülk  37  50 Marklar
Stro  21  20 Anderis
Magn  20  27 Brawn BGP 001
Giov  14  14 Brawn BGP 001
Gros   8  37 Bleu
Kubi   1   1 6 players
Russ   0   0 8 players
Brawn BGP figures here a whopping SIX times, including nailing all the Alfa Romeo and Williams scores, without doing particularly well overall. Frontrunners matter!
NB: FL points not included in the WDC scores in this game.

Reality check on some of our predictions

Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team   Pred  Off
Ferr   621  -123
Merc   539  +192
RBR    405  +  7
Rena   172  - 81
Haas   117  - 89
Alfa    91  - 34
McLa    75  + 70
RPoi    59  + 14
STR     39  + 46
Will     3  -  2
A + in the "off" column means the prediction was outscored.
The Ferrari preseason hype was obviously overblown. We also expected the midfield to close in on the frontrunners more than they eventually did.
Haas: horrible!

Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner               Owned Comment
     <-     =    ->
Hami  23    0    0  Bott  Correct
Vers  23    0    0  Gasl  Correct
Pere  22    1    0  Stro  Correct
Räik  22    0    1  Giov  Correct
Ricc  21    0    2  Hülk  Correct
Sain  20    1    2  Norr  Correct
Vett  20    1    2  Lecl  Wrong
Kvya  13    1    9  Albo  Wrong
Gros  12    3    8  Magn  Wrong
Russ   9    9    5  Kubi  Wrong
Well, Kvyat did outscore Albon as long as they were in the same car...

Thank you for participating! Enjoy your offseason and welcome back in 2020! :)

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#2 KWSN - DSM

KWSN - DSM
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Posted 03 December 2019 - 00:23

Congratulations mark F1.... and thanks to Makarias for once again running this game.

 

:cool:



#3 Anderis

Anderis
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Posted 04 December 2019 - 10:48

I'm never going to underestimate Merc again. :rotfl: