2019 final standings after Abu Dhabi:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) mark f1 1791 32 2) Grayson 1769 29 3) Kev00 1761 23 4) DutchQuicksilver 1755 27 5) Bleu 1750 31 6) sladealonso 1746 44 7) GTA 1743 40 8) scheivlak 1737 43 9) Makarias 1736 46 10) thegforcemaybewithyou1735 38 11) wattoroos 1728 35 12) M2000-5 1722 16 13) fisichella_2001 1711 31 14) Barty 1710 25 15) Marklar 1700 43 16) KWSN-DSM 1679 21 17) noikeee 1676 33 18) Brawn BGP 001 1666 29 19) f1paul 1642 43 20) Costaz 1639 17 21) thequadge 1619 25 22) SpaceHorseParty 1599 30 23) Anderis 1555 43Congratulations to 2019 champion mark f1
who wins quite comfortably. Up from 17th last year!Since he already won in 2015, he also becomes the second two times champion along with Costaz. Fantastic!
Congratulations also to runner-up Grayson
Who was 15th equal last year and for once did better here than in Shareholders,and to third place finisher Kev00
Abu Dhabi scoring ranged from 16 to 46 points with a somewhat smug Makarias at the top end of that range.
The entries
All 23 players will score points in the 2019 Supercup.
PTPC Hall of Fame
Year WDC Game Pl Winner AD Points Win % # 2000 442 365 82.58 14 jack and gilles 2001 442 364 82.35 69 MrT, tacololo 2002 442 376 85.07 46 smarty 2003 624 537 86.06 41 arcsine 2004 702 554 78.98 48 Pioneer 2005 741 595 80.30 49 KWSN-DSM 2006 702 592 84.33 47 an1res 2007 663 563 84.92 40 turin 2008 702 597 85.04 39 AcuraF1 2009 731 518 70.86 29 D82 2010 1919 1674 87.23 34 Costaz 2011 1919 1664 86.71 25 Crazy Canuck 2012 2020 1706 84.46 28 Costaz 2013 1919 1656 86.29 27 scheivlak 2014 1919 1602 83.48 30 noikeee 2015 1919 1710 89.11* 25 mark f1 2016 2121 1751 82.56 25 Brawn BGP 001 2017 2020 1861 92.13 22 Kev00 2018 2121 1943 91.61 25 thegforcemaybewithyou 2019 2121 1791 84.41 23 mark f1*2020 points in the guesses
2019 predictability dropped to lower, more pleasant levels than the previous two years, but wouldn't it be nice if there were more than three teams battling for the top spots?
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Albo 497,9 200,0 23 Sain 212,5 53,6 21 Kvya 176,6 71,2 22 Norr 164,5 39,8 20 Bott 150,4 119,6 23 Pere 133,2 64,2 18 Hami 125,7 107,7 23 Vers 110,0 91,7 17 Stro 102,5 51,2 13 Lecl 91,9 75,1 7 Kubi 85,2 14,3 10 Räik 75,7 45,7 5 Vett 70,4 62,3 0 Gasl 59,9 43,3 0 Ricc 58,1 36,0 0 Hülk 47,1 31,1 0 Giov 41,6 16,9 2 Magn 35,7 20,8 0 Gros 13,1 8,2 0 Russ 0,0 0,0 0The driver duos of McLaren, Mercedes, Racing Point, STR (initial pairing) and RBR (final pairing) all beat their expectation marks, so I guess these teams can be pleased with 2019.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Verstappen Leclerc Bottas Vettel * Potential 407 Marklar 299 sladealonso 345 * Potential 324 M2000-5 381 * Forecast 407 Makarias 292 Anderis 340 * Forecast 324 Bleu 378 * Current 407 Anderis 290 thequadge 331 * Current 324 Brawn BGP 001 374 mark f1 377 scheivlak 288 Brawn BGP 001 322 Grayson 270 noikeee 365 M2000-5 358 f1paul 286 f1paul 315 GTA 264 thequadge 353 Bleu 356 * Potential 275 SpaceHorseParty 312 Kev00 255 DutchQuicksilver351 Makarias 356 sladealonso 275 noikeee 310 Barty 250 GTA 351 Kev00 353 * Forecast 275 thegforcemaybewi299 KWSN-DSM 248 Marklar 349 Grayson 350 * Current 275 Marklar 298 M2000-5 241 fisichella_2001 348 thequadge 345 Kev00 270 fisichella_2001 297 mark f1 240 Makarias 345 GTA 340 wattoroos 268 GTA 290 DutchQuicksilver238 Barty 342 sladealonso 336 GTA 267 Barty 276 thequadge 228 Anderis 340 DutchQuicksilver334 thegforcemaybewi266 scheivlak 276 Bleu 224 Grayson 340 fisichella_2001 329 noikeee 265 mark f1 270 fisichella_2001 208 mark f1 340 Barty 326 mark f1 260 Grayson 266 thegforcemaybewi208 f1paul 329 wattoroos 326 DutchQuicksilver253 Bleu 263 Makarias 207 thegforcemaybewi325 thegforcemaybewi317 KWSN-DSM 249 * Potential 260 scheivlak 207 sladealonso 322 noikeee 316 M2000-5 248 * Forecast 260 sladealonso 205 Kev00 321 scheivlak 315 thequadge 243 * Current 260 Costaz 202 wattoroos 313 KWSN-DSM 309 Brawn BGP 001 234 wattoroos 259 wattoroos 201 scheivlak 311 f1paul 301 fisichella_2001 230 Makarias 257 Marklar 200 KWSN-DSM 310 Marklar 300 Bleu 226 DutchQuicksilver256 Brawn BGP 001 189 Costaz 299 Brawn BGP 001 299 Grayson 200 M2000-5 251 noikeee 173 SpaceHorseParty 289 Costaz 296 SpaceHorseParty 189 KWSN-DSM 250 SpaceHorseParty 167 * Potential 238 SpaceHorseParty 267 Barty 180 Kev00 242 Anderis 165 * Forecast 238 Anderis 238 Costaz 170 Costaz 180 f1paul 164 * Current 238Familiar faces, updated scores.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Albon Perez Norris Kvyat Sainz * Potential 92 KWSN-DSM 80 Costaz 122 Costaz 51 Costaz 178 * Forecast 92 Makarias 75 SpaceHorseParty 83 * Potential 37 SpaceHorseParty 111 * Current 92 DutchQuicksilver 61 Brawn BGP 001 62 * Forecast 37 * Potential 96 Costaz 45 fisichella_2001 53 * Potential 49 * Current 37 * Forecast 96 Barty 42 * Potential 52 * Forecast 49 M2000-5 32 * Current 96 Marklar 31 Bleu 52 * Current 49 noikeee 32 Brawn BGP 001 88 scheivlak 27 * Forecast 52 Barty 40 Barty 30 wattoroos 49 Bleu 26 * Current 52 wattoroos 36 scheivlak 28 fisichella_2001 44 noikeee 25 GTA 51 f1paul 34 Kev00 27 thegforcemaybewi 44 fisichella_2001 24 Grayson 50 Kev00 33 Grayson 25 DutchQuicksilver 43 Grayson 20 mark f1 50 scheivlak 31 mark f1 25 sladealonso 43 thegforcemaybewi 20 thegforcemaybewi 50 sladealonso 30 SpaceHorseParty 25 f1paul 41 f1paul 19 sladealonso 47 Grayson 25 Bleu 23 Barty 40 sladealonso 16 wattoroos 40 thegforcemaybewi 25 DutchQuicksilver 23 Grayson 40 SpaceHorseParty 16 Costaz 36 noikeee 24 Anderis 20 scheivlak 38 Anderis 15 Marklar 35 fisichella_2001 21 KWSN-DSM 20 Makarias 37 mark f1 15 scheivlak 35 Makarias 20 Marklar 20 noikeee 36 M2000-5 14 Anderis 30 Bleu 19 thegforcemaybewi 20 Bleu 35 thequadge 14 Kev00 26 Marklar 19 f1paul 14 Marklar 34 Brawn BGP 001 11 noikeee 23 DutchQuicksilver 16 fisichella_2001 14 M2000-5 30 DutchQuicksilver 11 Barty 20 Anderis 15 sladealonso 14 mark f1 30 GTA 11 Brawn BGP 001 20 M2000-5 13 wattoroos 13 Kev00 27 Kev00 8 M2000-5 19 mark f1 10 Makarias 10 KWSN-DSM 18 wattoroos 7 SpaceHorseParty 17 thequadge 6 GTA 6 GTA 16 KWSN-DSM 5 f1paul 16 KWSN-DSM 1 Brawn BGP 001 5 Anderis 10 Makarias 3 thequadge 12 GTA 0 thequadge 5 thequadge 7Perez scored 39 of his 52 points from Belgium onwards and turned his season around nicely. He actually outscored Sainz by one point over that period!
The PTPC forecast after Brazil
Name Forecast +/- mark f1 1799,7 7,0 Grayson 1780,5 15,3 Kev00 1775,8 39,0 DutchQuicksilver 1767,2 24,1 Bleu 1759,5 18,3 GTA 1753,5 21,1 sladealonso 1752,8 25,3 thegforcemaybewithyou1744,3 15,0 scheivlak 1744,0 25,5 wattoroos 1742,2 34,2 Makarias 1740,9 26,6 M2000-5 1734,7 19,4 Barty 1722,1 12,0 fisichella_2001 1720,5 10,5 Marklar 1707,0 25,5 KWSN-DSM 1690,2 25,2 noikeee 1688,1 20,6 Brawn BGP 001 1673,5 11,1 Costaz 1654,5 34,7 f1paul 1649,0 25,4 thequadge 1628,3 1,2 SpaceHorseParty 1613,1 25,3 Anderis 1562,0 25,5Well, it is what it is.
The best guesses on each driver
X # ! Y Hami 407 377 mark f1 Bott 324 270 Grayson Vers 275 275 sladealonso Lecl 260 259 wattoroos Vett 238 289 SpaceHorseParty Sain 96 88 Brawn BGP 001 Gasl 93 112 Costaz Albo 92 45 Costaz Ricc 54 64 GTA Pere 52 52 Bleu Norr 49 40 Barty Räik 43 43 Brawn BGP 001, Costaz Kvya 37 32 M2000-5, noikeee Hülk 37 50 Marklar Stro 21 20 Anderis Magn 20 27 Brawn BGP 001 Giov 14 14 Brawn BGP 001 Gros 8 37 Bleu Kubi 1 1 6 players Russ 0 0 8 playersBrawn BGP figures here a whopping SIX times, including nailing all the Alfa Romeo and Williams scores, without doing particularly well overall. Frontrunners matter!
NB: FL points not included in the WDC scores in this game.
Reality check on some of our predictions
Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team Pred Off Ferr 621 -123 Merc 539 +192 RBR 405 + 7 Rena 172 - 81 Haas 117 - 89 Alfa 91 - 34 McLa 75 + 70 RPoi 59 + 14 STR 39 + 46 Will 3 - 2A + in the "off" column means the prediction was outscored.
The Ferrari preseason hype was obviously overblown. We also expected the midfield to close in on the frontrunners more than they eventually did.
Haas: horrible!
Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner Owned Comment <- = -> Hami 23 0 0 Bott Correct Vers 23 0 0 Gasl Correct Pere 22 1 0 Stro Correct Räik 22 0 1 Giov Correct Ricc 21 0 2 Hülk Correct Sain 20 1 2 Norr Correct Vett 20 1 2 Lecl Wrong Kvya 13 1 9 Albo Wrong Gros 12 3 8 Magn Wrong Russ 9 9 5 Kubi WrongWell, Kvyat did outscore Albon as long as they were in the same car...
Thank you for participating! Enjoy your offseason and welcome back in 2020!
