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Guess the Pole 2020: Australia


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 07 March 2020 - 14:25

Welcome to the 2020 Guess the Pole season! No rule changes needed.

The season opener is scored as a Modified Layout, as usual.

 

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2019 final standings

Five latest poles at Australia:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2019  Hamilton      80.486
2018  Hamilton      81.164
2017  Hamilton      82.188
2016  Hamilton      83.837
2015  Hamilton      86.327

Late 2019 front rows:
GP   Pole  #2  
JAP  Vett Lecl
MEX  Vers Lecl
USA  Bott Vett
BRA  Vers Vett
ABU  Hami Vers

Driver values:
Dri  val
Vers   6
Vett   6
Lecl   9
Bott  13
Hami  13
REST  18

2020 data:
                  Time    2019 PP  2018 PP  2017 PP  2020/2019  2020/2018  2020/2017
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
OZ                     0   80.612   81.164   82.188                                
BAH                    0   87.116   87.958   88.769                                
VIE                    0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
NED                    0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
ESP                    0   75.377   76.173   79.149                                
MON                    0   71.156   70.810   72.178                                
AZE                    0   97.594  101.498  100.593                                
CAN                    0   69.980   70.764   71.459                                
FRA                    0   89.199   90.029   ------                          ------
AUT                    0   62.349   63.130   64.251                                
GB                     0   85.055   85.892   86.600                                
HUN                    0   74.717   95.658   76.276                                
BEL                    0  100.581  118.179  102.553                                
ITA                    0   78.685   79.119   95.554                                
SIN                    0   94.933   96.015   99.491                                
RUS                    0   91.617   91.387   93.194                                
JAP                    0   90.203   87.760   87.319                                
USA                    0   91.689   92.237   93.108                                
MEX                    0   74.336   74.759   76.488                                
BRA                    0   66.826   67.281   68.322                                
ABU                    0   94.654   94.794   96.231                                

2019 data:
                  Time    2018 PP  2017 PP  2016 PP  2019/2018  2019/2017  2019/2016
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
OZ   Hami  Bott   80.486   81.164   82.188   83.837    99.165     97.929     96.003
BAH  Lecl  Vett   87.866   87.958   88.769   89.493    99.895     98.983     98.182
CHN  Bott  Hami   91.547   91.095   91.678   95.402   100.496     99.857     95.959
AZE  Bott  Hami  100.495  101.498  100.593  102.758    99.012     99.903     97.798
ESP  Bott  Hami   75.406   76.173   79.149   82.000    98.993     95.271     91.959
MON  Hami  Bott   70.166   70.810   72.178   73.622    99.091     97.212     95.306
CAN  Vett  Hami   70.240   70.764   71.459   72.812    99.260     98.294     96.468
FRA  Hami  Bott   88.319   90.029   ------   ------    98.101     ------     ------
AUT  Lecl  Hami   63.003   63.130   64.251   67.922    99.799     98.058     92.758
GB   Bott  Hami   85.093   85.892   86.600   89.287    99.070     98.260     95.303
GER  Hami  Vers   71.767   71.212   ------   74.363   100.779     ------     96.509
HUN  Vers  Bott   74.572   95.658   76.276   79.965    77.957     97.766     93.256
BEL  Lecl  Vett  102.519  118.179  102.553  106.744    86.749     99.967     96.042
ITA  Lecl  Hami   79.307   79.119   95.554   81.135   100.238     82.997     97.747
SIN  Lecl  Hami   96.217   96.015   99.491  102.584   100.210     96.709     93.793
RUS  Lecl  Hami   91.628   91.387   93.194   95.417   100.264     98.320     96.029
JAP  Vett  Lecl   87.064   87.760   87.319   90.647    99.207     99.708     96.047
MEX  Vers  Lecl   74.758   74.759   76.488   78.704    99.999     97.738     94.986
USA  Bott  Vett   92.029   92.237   93.108   94.999    99.774     98.841     96.874
BRA  Vers  Vett   67.508   67.281   68.322   70.736   100.337     98.809     95.437
ABU  Hami  Vers   94.779   94.794   96.231   98.755    99.984     98.491     95.974
My guess for Australia is 80.026 s by Lewis Hamilton.

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#2 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 07 March 2020 - 14:54

79.678 leclerc

#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 07 March 2020 - 15:15

78.711 - Hamilton.

 

:cool:



#4 f12018

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Posted 07 March 2020 - 21:01

79.123 Hamilton



#5 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 08 March 2020 - 18:09

80.102 Valtteri Bottas



#6 Marklar

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Posted 08 March 2020 - 22:12

79.797 Bottas



#7 mark f1

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Posted 09 March 2020 - 03:06

79.925 Hamilton

BTW Mak, you have a mismatch with last year's pole times in the last 5 year's list and 2019 table, against what is in the 2020 table for the 2019 pole times.

Edited by mark f1, 09 March 2020 - 03:09.


#8 thegforcemaybewithyou

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Posted 09 March 2020 - 07:41

79.997 Hamilton



#9 GTA

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Posted 09 March 2020 - 23:52

79.450    Death,Taxes and Hamilton takes pole in Melbourne



#10 2aron

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Posted 10 March 2020 - 14:35

Hamilton 79.803



#11 alekracing

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Posted 10 March 2020 - 16:00

Hamilton 79.693



#12 rodlamas

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Posted 10 March 2020 - 18:08

Bottas 78.888



#13 scheivlak

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Posted 10 March 2020 - 21:42

Lewis Hamilton 79.378



#14 MatthewTarrant

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Posted 11 March 2020 - 23:25

80.188 Bottas

#15 fisichella_2001

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Posted 12 March 2020 - 09:33

79.881 Bottas



#16 M2000-5

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Posted 12 March 2020 - 21:57

79.627 Hamilton



#17 thequadge

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Posted 12 March 2020 - 23:19

80.114 Bottas

 

Can't believe I'm posting this as we still don't know if the race is happening 100mins before FP1!



#18 Andy35

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Posted 13 March 2020 - 18:59

I think the rules say you can post before FP1?

 

As FP1 has not started yet I am guessing

 

Lewis Hamilton   0.000s

 

 

Just give me the points Mak !

 

:clap:



#19 f1paul

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Posted 13 March 2020 - 21:13

I think going off the weather forecast it will be a wet qualifying.

 

Verstappen 92.762



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#20 Makarias

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Posted 17 June 2020 - 14:46

79.925 Hamilton

BTW Mak, you have a mismatch with last year's pole times in the last 5 year's list and 2019 table, against what is in the 2020 table for the 2019 pole times.

Cheers, I mistakenly copied the 2019 Popularity Pole (PP) times into the 2019 PP (Pole Position) column. Way to confuse myself!

 

This round is closed for entries btw! And cancelled!