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2021 Silly Season Trophy – interim results


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#1 SpaceHorseParty

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Posted 31 May 2020 - 16:57

This will be the place where I'll publish the interim results of the 2021 Silly Season Trophy, as news of contracts arrive.

 

First, I'll start with the situation as it was during the submission deadline (December 1). There were three confirmed contracts for 2021:

Assuming there will be no more than ten teams on the grid, the results were as follows:

Place Name             Points Exact Subm
  1   rodlamas          31.00   3     2 
  2   Marklar           31.00   3     4 
  3   Brawn BGP 001     31.00   3     5 
  4   GTA               31.00   3     6 
  5   Starchild         31.00   3     9 
  6   DutchQuicksilver  31.00   3    10 
  7   Grayson           31.00   3    11 
  8   noikeee           31.00   3    14 
  9   M2000-5           31.00   3    15 
      AVERAGE PICK      31.00   3       
 10   SpaceHorseParty   27.14   2     1 
 11   f1paul            27.14   2     3 
 12   scheivlak         27.14   2     7 
 13   Makarias          27.14   2    12 
 14   KWSN - DSM        27.14   2    13 
 15   Costaz            24.00   1     8 

As for the potential results, the initial situation was as follows:

Place Name             Points Exact Subm
  1   KWSN - DSM       139.86  19    13 
  2   rodlamas         135.43  20     2 
  3   GTA              133.71  20     6 
  4   scheivlak        133.71  19     7 
  5   Makarias         131.43  19    12 
  6   f1paul           131.43  19     3 
  7   noikeee          130.57  20    14 
  8   Marklar          128.43  20     4 
  9   Brawn BGP 001    128.14  20     5 
 10   M2000-5          127.57  20    15 
 11   DutchQuicksilver 127.14  20    10 
 12   Starchild        126.71  20     9 
      AVERAGE PICK     125.86  20       
 13   Grayson          124.29  20    11 
 14   SpaceHorseParty  121.00  19     1 
 15   Costaz           117.86  18     8 


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#2 SpaceHorseParty

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Posted 31 May 2020 - 18:58

Update #1: Leclerc confirmed at Ferrari

 

The first update came shortly before Christmas, as Ferrari confirmed Charles Leclerc's contract was extended until the end of 2024.

 

This was in no way a surprise, and every player placed Leclerc at Ferrari. So, everyone gets five points:

Place DPl Name             Points  DPt   Exact Subm
  1     0 rodlamas          36.00 + 5.00   4     2 
  2     0 Marklar           36.00 + 5.00   4     4 
  3     0 Brawn BGP 001     36.00 + 5.00   4     5 
  4     0 GTA               36.00 + 5.00   4     6 
  5     0 Starchild         36.00 + 5.00   4     9 
  6     0 DutchQuicksilver  36.00 + 5.00   4    10 
  7     0 Grayson           36.00 + 5.00   4    11 
  8     0 noikeee           36.00 + 5.00   4    14 
  9     0 M2000-5           36.00 + 5.00   4    15 
          AVERAGE PICK      36.00 + 5.00   4       
 10     0 SpaceHorseParty   32.14 + 5.00   3     1 
 11     0 f1paul            32.14 + 5.00   3     3 
 12     0 scheivlak         32.14 + 5.00   3     7 
 13     0 Makarias          32.14 + 5.00   3    12 
 14     0 KWSN - DSM        32.14 + 5.00   3    13 
 15     0 Costaz            29.00 + 5.00   2     8 

While nobody's potential points are changed:

Place DPl Name             Points  DPt   Exact Subm
  1     0 KWSN - DSM       139.86   0.00  19    13 
  2     0 rodlamas         135.43   0.00  20     2 
  3     0 GTA              133.71   0.00  20     6 
  4     0 scheivlak        133.71   0.00  19     7 
  5     0 Makarias         131.43   0.00  19    12 
  6     0 f1paul           131.43   0.00  19     3 
  7     0 noikeee          130.57   0.00  20    14 
  8     0 Marklar          128.43   0.00  20     4 
  9     0 Brawn BGP 001    128.14   0.00  20     5 
 10     0 M2000-5          127.57   0.00  20    15 
 11     0 DutchQuicksilver 127.14   0.00  20    10 
 12     0 Starchild        126.71   0.00  20     9 
          AVERAGE PICK     125.86   0.00  20       
 13     0 Grayson          124.29   0.00  20    11 
 14     0 SpaceHorseParty  121.00   0.00  19     1 
 15     0 Costaz           117.86   0.00  18     8 


#3 SpaceHorseParty

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Posted 31 May 2020 - 19:04

Update #2: Verstappen confirmed at Red Bull

 

Although an important piece in the puzzle that is the 2021 grid, Verstappen was mostly expected to stay at Red Bull. These expectations were confirmed in early January, when Red Bull announced the extension of his contract until the end of 2023.

 

noikeee was the only one not to place him at Red Bull, and loses one place in the standings for that:

Place DPl Name             Points  DPt   Exact Subm
  1     0 rodlamas          41.14 + 5.14   5     2 
  2     0 Marklar           41.14 + 5.14   5     4 
  3     0 Brawn BGP 001     41.14 + 5.14   5     5 
  4     0 GTA               41.14 + 5.14   5     6 
  5     0 Starchild         41.14 + 5.14   5     9 
  6     0 DutchQuicksilver  41.14 + 5.14   5    10 
  7     0 Grayson           41.14 + 5.14   5    11 
  8   + 1 M2000-5           41.14 + 5.14   5    15 
          AVERAGE PICK      41.14 + 5.14   5       
  9   - 1 noikeee           38.00 + 2.00   4    14 
 10     0 SpaceHorseParty   37.29 + 5.15   4     1 
 11     0 f1paul            37.29 + 5.15   4     3 
 12     0 scheivlak         37.29 + 5.15   4     7 
 13     0 Makarias          37.29 + 5.15   4    12 
 14     0 KWSN - DSM        37.29 + 5.15   4    13 
 15     0 Costaz            34.14 + 5.14   3     8 

He also drops down a few places in the potential standings:

Place DPl Name             Points  DPt   Exact Subm
  1     0 KWSN - DSM       139.86   0.00  19    13 
  2     0 rodlamas         135.43   0.00  20     2 
  3     0 GTA              133.71   0.00  20     6 
  4     0 scheivlak        133.71   0.00  19     7 
  5     0 Makarias         131.43   0.00  19    12 
  6     0 f1paul           131.43   0.00  19     3 
  7   + 1 Marklar          128.43   0.00  20     4 
  8   + 1 Brawn BGP 001    128.14   0.00  20     5 
  9   + 1 M2000-5          127.57   0.00  20    15 
 10   + 1 DutchQuicksilver 127.14   0.00  20    10 
 11   + 1 Starchild        126.71   0.00  20     9 
          AVERAGE PICK     125.86   0.00  20       
 12   - 5 noikeee          125.57 - 5.00  19    14 
 13     0 Grayson          124.29   0.00  20    11 
 14     0 SpaceHorseParty  121.00   0.00  19     1 
 15     0 Costaz           117.86   0.00  18     8 


#4 SpaceHorseParty

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Posted 01 June 2020 - 04:55

Update #3: Norris confirmed at McLaren

 

This really should have been a part of the initial points calculation, but I admit I used Wikipedia to check what was confirmed when. Norris's contract expires at the end of 2022, and that was announced last August.

 

Most players expected him to stay at McLaren, anyway:

Place DPl Name             Points  DPt   Exact Subm
  1     0 rodlamas          46.43 + 5.29   6     2 
  2     0 Marklar           46.43 + 5.29   6     4 
  3     0 Brawn BGP 001     46.43 + 5.29   6     5 
  4     0 GTA               46.43 + 5.29   6     6 
  5     0 Starchild         46.43 + 5.29   6     9 
  6     0 DutchQuicksilver  46.43 + 5.29   6    10 
  7     0 Grayson           46.43 + 5.29   6    11 
  8     0 M2000-5           46.43 + 5.29   6    15 
          AVERAGE PICK      46.43 + 5.29   6       
  9     0 noikeee           43.29 + 5.29   5    14 
 10     0 SpaceHorseParty   42.57 + 5.28   5     1 
 11   + 2 Makarias          42.57 + 5.28   5    12 
 12   + 2 KWSN - DSM        42.57 + 5.28   5    13 
 13   + 2 Costaz            39.43 + 5.29   4     8 
 14   - 2 scheivlak         39.36 + 2.07   4     7 
 15   - 4 f1paul            37.29   0.00   4     3 

scheivlak and f1paul lose out on big points for Bottas or Alonso joining McLaren:

Place DPl Name             Points  DPt   Exact Subm
  1     0 KWSN - DSM       139.86   0.00  19    13 
  2     0 rodlamas         135.43   0.00  20     2 
  3     0 GTA              133.71   0.00  20     6 
  4   + 1 Makarias         131.43   0.00  19    12 
  5   - 1 scheivlak        128.79 - 4.92  18     7 
  6   + 1 Marklar          128.43   0.00  20     4 
  7   + 1 Brawn BGP 001    128.14   0.00  20     5 
  8   + 1 M2000-5          127.57   0.00  20    15 
  9   + 1 DutchQuicksilver 127.14   0.00  20    10 
 10   + 1 Starchild        126.71   0.00  20     9 
 11   - 5 f1paul           126.43 - 5.00  18     3 
          AVERAGE PICK     125.86   0.00  20       
 12     0 noikeee          125.57   0.00  19    14 
 13     0 Grayson          124.29   0.00  20    11 
 14     0 SpaceHorseParty  121.00   0.00  19     1 
 15     0 Costaz           117.86   0.00  18     8 


#5 SpaceHorseParty

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Posted 01 June 2020 - 04:58

Update #4: Vettel to leave Ferrari

 

Ferrari's announcement that Sebastian Vettel would leave Ferrari at the end of 2020 really got the silly season going.

 

The confirmed points do not change, but the potential ones do. The players who expected Vettel to stay at Ferrari (and there weren't many) are the biggest losers. Despite that, KWSN - DSM still has the most potential points.

Place DPl Name             Points  DPt   Exact Subm
  1     0 KWSN - DSM       135.79 - 4.07  18    13 
  2     0 rodlamas         135.43   0.00  20     2 
  3     0 GTA              133.71   0.00  20     6 
  4     0 Makarias         131.43   0.00  19    12 
  5     0 scheivlak        128.79   0.00  18     7 
  6     0 Marklar          128.43   0.00  20     4 
  7     0 Brawn BGP 001    128.14   0.00  20     5 
  8     0 M2000-5          127.57   0.00  20    15 
  9   + 3 noikeee          125.57   0.00  19    14 
 10   + 1 f1paul           125.00 - 1.43  18     3 
 11   - 2 DutchQuicksilver 123.07 - 4.07  19    10 
 12   + 1 Grayson          122.86 - 1.43  20    11 
 13   - 3 Starchild        122.64 - 4.07  19     9 
          AVERAGE PICK     121.79 - 4.07  19       
 14     0 SpaceHorseParty  121.00   0.00  19     1 
 15     0 Costaz           117.86   0.00  18     8 


#6 SpaceHorseParty

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Posted 01 June 2020 - 05:16

Update #5: Ricciardo confirmed at McLaren

 

Soon after Ferrari's announcement, the expectation was that either Ricciardo or Sainz would get the vacant seat. McLaren announced they would replace Sainz with Ricciardo in 2021 and beyond, thus all but confirming Ferrari's line-up as well.

 

Nobody saw that coming, as every player placed Sainz at McLaren. However, everyone gets two points, as everyone expected Ricciardo to stay in F1 in 2021.

Place DPl Name             Points  DPt   Exact Subm
  1     0 rodlamas          48.43 + 2.00   6     2 
  2     0 Marklar           48.43 + 2.00   6     4 
  3     0 Brawn BGP 001     48.43 + 2.00   6     5 
  4     0 GTA               48.43 + 2.00   6     6 
  5     0 Starchild         48.43 + 2.00   6     9 
  6     0 DutchQuicksilver  48.43 + 2.00   6    10 
  7     0 Grayson           48.43 + 2.00   6    11 
  8     0 M2000-5           48.43 + 2.00   6    15 
          AVERAGE PICK      48.43 + 2.00   6       
  9     0 noikeee           45.29 + 2.00   5    14 
 10     0 SpaceHorseParty   44.57 + 2.00   5     1 
 11     0 Makarias          44.57 + 2.00   5    12 
 12     0 KWSN - DSM        44.57 + 2.00   5    13 
 13     0 Costaz            41.43 + 2.00   4     8 
 14     0 scheivlak         41.36 + 2.00   4     7 
 15     0 f1paul            39.29 + 2.00   4     3 

Large swings in the potential points standings, as this not only takes up the only remaining McLaren seat, but also messes with everyone's plans for Ricciardo.

Place DPl Name             Points  DPt   Exact Subm
  1     0 KWSN - DSM       128.93 - 6.86  16    13 
  2     0 rodlamas         128.14 - 7.29  18     2 
  3     0 GTA              126.86 - 6.85  18     6 
  4     0 Makarias         124.14 - 7.29  17    12 
  5   + 1 Marklar          121.14 - 7.29  18     4 
  6   + 1 Brawn BGP 001    120.86 - 7.28  18     5 
  7   + 1 M2000-5          120.29 - 7.28  18    15 
  8   + 4 Grayson          119.00 - 3.86  19    11 
  9     0 noikeee          118.71 - 6.86  17    14 
 10   - 5 scheivlak        117.07 -11.72  15     7 
 11   + 3 SpaceHorseParty  116.71 - 4.29  18     1 
 12   - 1 DutchQuicksilver 116.21 - 6.86  17    10 
 13     0 Starchild        115.79 - 6.85  17     9 
          AVERAGE PICK     114.93 - 6.86  17       
 14   + 1 Costaz           111.00 - 6.86  16     8 
 15   - 5 f1paul           110.50 -14.50  15     3 


#7 SpaceHorseParty

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Posted 01 June 2020 - 05:20

Update #6: Sainz confirmed at Ferrari

 

It didn't take long after that for Ferrari to confirm Carlos Sainz would join the team in 2021. While many players expected Vettel to leave Ferrari, nobody guessed Sainz would be the one to replace him. Six players had picked Ricciardo for the seat, and one each for Hamilton, Hülkenberg, Norris, and Ocon.

 

Again, two points for correctly predicting Sainz would remain in F1:

Place DPl Name             Points  DPt   Exact Subm
  1     0 rodlamas          50.43 + 2.00   6     2 
  2     0 Marklar           50.43 + 2.00   6     4 
  3     0 Brawn BGP 001     50.43 + 2.00   6     5 
  4     0 GTA               50.43 + 2.00   6     6 
  5     0 Starchild         50.43 + 2.00   6     9 
  6     0 DutchQuicksilver  50.43 + 2.00   6    10 
  7     0 Grayson           50.43 + 2.00   6    11 
  8     0 M2000-5           50.43 + 2.00   6    15 
          AVERAGE PICK      50.43 + 2.00   6       
  9     0 noikeee           47.29 + 2.00   5    14 
 10     0 SpaceHorseParty   46.57 + 2.00   5     1 
 11     0 Makarias          46.57 + 2.00   5    12 
 12     0 KWSN - DSM        46.57 + 2.00   5    13 
 13     0 Costaz            43.43 + 2.00   4     8 
 14     0 scheivlak         43.36 + 2.00   4     7 
 15     0 f1paul            41.29 + 2.00   4     3 

And some changes in the potential standings, as the Ferrari seat is now taken:

Place DPl Name             Points  DPt   Exact Subm
  1     0 KWSN - DSM       128.93   0.00  16    13 
  2     0 rodlamas         128.14   0.00  18     2 
  3   + 1 Makarias         124.14   0.00  17    12 
  4   - 1 GTA              122.79 - 4.07  17     6 
  5     0 Marklar          121.14   0.00  18     4 
  6     0 Brawn BGP 001    120.86   0.00  18     5 
  7     0 M2000-5          120.29   0.00  18    15 
  8   + 2 scheivlak        117.07   0.00  15     7 
  9   + 3 DutchQuicksilver 116.21   0.00  17    10 
 10   - 2 Grayson          116.00 - 3.00  18    11 
 11   + 2 Starchild        115.79   0.00  17     9 
          AVERAGE PICK     114.93   0.00  17       
 12   - 1 SpaceHorseParty  113.71 - 3.00  17     1 
 13   - 4 noikeee          113.71 - 5.00  16    14 
 14     0 Costaz           111.00   0.00  16     8 
 15     0 f1paul           110.14 - 0.36  15     3 


#8 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 07 June 2020 - 13:02

I take my run of glory for as long as it lasts.

 

:cool: