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Guess the Pole 2020: Austria


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 17 June 2020 - 17:38

Welcome again to the 2020 Guess the Pole season! Winter has flown by very fast as usual.

As usual, the season opener is scored as a modified layout.

Due to the weird scheduling this season I'll allow guesses to the season opener here as default guesses for the Styrian GP the week after, but I'll as usual also post a new thread where you can make a new bespoke guess for Styria in case you want to make adjustments. Same procedure for the Silverstone races later on!

 

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500

The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:

Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2019 final standings



Five latest poles at Austria:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2019  Leclerc       63.003
2018  Bottas        63.130
2017  Bottas        64.251
2016  Hamilton      67.922
2015  Hamilton      68.455

Late 2019 front rows:
GP   Pole  #2  
JAP  Vett Lecl
MEX  Vers Lecl
USA  Bott Vett
BRA  Vers Vett
ABU  Hami Vers

Driver values:
Dri  val
Vers   6
Vett   6
Lecl   9
Bott  13
Hami  13
REST  18

2020 data:
                  Time    2019 PP  2018 PP  2017 PP  2020/2019  2020/2018  2020/2017
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
AUT                    0   63.003   63.130   64.251                                
STY                    0   63.003   63.130   64.251                                
HUN                    0   74.572   95.658   76.276                                
GB                     0   85.093   85.892   86.600                                
LXX                    0   85.093   85.892   86.600                                
ESP                    0   75.406   76.173   79.149                                
BEL                    0  102.519  118.179  102.553                                
ITA                    0   79.307   79.119   95.554                                

2019 data:
                  Time    2018 PP  2017 PP  2016 PP  2019/2018  2019/2017  2019/2016
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
OZ   Hami  Bott   80.486   81.164   82.188   83.837    99.165     97.929     96.003
BAH  Lecl  Vett   87.866   87.958   88.769   89.493    99.895     98.983     98.182
CHN  Bott  Hami   91.547   91.095   91.678   95.402   100.496     99.857     95.959
AZE  Bott  Hami  100.495  101.498  100.593  102.758    99.012     99.903     97.798
ESP  Bott  Hami   75.406   76.173   79.149   82.000    98.993     95.271     91.959
MON  Hami  Bott   70.166   70.810   72.178   73.622    99.091     97.212     95.306
CAN  Vett  Hami   70.240   70.764   71.459   72.812    99.260     98.294     96.468
FRA  Hami  Bott   88.319   90.029   ------   ------    98.101     ------     ------
AUT  Lecl  Hami   63.003   63.130   64.251   67.922    99.799     98.058     92.758
GB   Bott  Hami   85.093   85.892   86.600   89.287    99.070     98.260     95.303
GER  Hami  Vers   71.767   71.212   ------   74.363   100.779     ------     96.509
HUN  Vers  Bott   74.572   95.658   76.276   79.965    77.957     97.766     93.256
BEL  Lecl  Vett  102.519  118.179  102.553  106.744    86.749     99.967     96.042
ITA  Lecl  Hami   79.307   79.119   95.554   81.135   100.238     82.997     97.747
SIN  Lecl  Hami   96.217   96.015   99.491  102.584   100.210     96.709     93.793
RUS  Lecl  Hami   91.628   91.387   93.194   95.417   100.264     98.320     96.029
JAP  Vett  Lecl   87.064   87.760   87.319   90.647    99.207     99.708     96.047
MEX  Vers  Lecl   74.758   74.759   76.488   78.704    99.999     97.738     94.986
USA  Bott  Vett   92.029   92.237   93.108   94.999    99.774     98.841     96.874
BRA  Vers  Vett   67.508   67.281   68.322   70.736   100.337     98.809     95.437
ABU  Hami  Vers   94.779   94.794   96.231   98.755    99.984     98.491     95.974

My guess for Austria is 62.854 s by Lewis Hamilton.



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#2 rodlamas

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 17:39

Bottas 60.888


Edited by rodlamas, 29 June 2020 - 16:41.


#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 17:53

Before I post, correct me if I am wrong... We still have no idea of the calendar for 2020 is correct?

 

:cool:



#4 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 18 June 2020 - 17:54

62.711 - Verstappen

 

:cool:



#5 Marklar

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Posted 20 June 2020 - 12:17

Before I post, correct me if I am wrong... We still have no idea of the calendar for 2020 is correct?

 

:cool:

We know the first 8 races, we'll probably know the rest before Austria

Bottas 62.345



#6 f1paul

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Posted 26 June 2020 - 19:26

Verstappen 62.471



#7 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 27 June 2020 - 06:55

Verstappen 62.333

#8 MatthewTarrant

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Posted 27 June 2020 - 13:20

Bottas 62.657



#9 scheivlak

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Posted 28 June 2020 - 07:30

Hamilton 62.481



#10 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 30 June 2020 - 16:12

62.572 Lewis Hamilton



#11 alekracing

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Posted 01 July 2020 - 07:27

61.963 Hamilton



#12 2aron

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Posted 01 July 2020 - 12:17

63.109 Hamilton



#13 mark f1

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Posted 01 July 2020 - 22:24

62.804 Verstappen



#14 GTA

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 00:48

62.777 Bottas



#15 Bleu

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 13:50

62,687 Verstappen



#16 TomNokoe

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 19:43

61.909 Bottas

#17 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 02 July 2020 - 23:35

62.392  M Verstappen



#18 thequadge

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Posted Yesterday, 00:16

62.471 Verstappen



#19 thegforcemaybewithyou

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Posted Yesterday, 03:46

62.626 Hamilton



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#20 M2000-5

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Posted Yesterday, 04:49

62.732 Verstappen